Shenandoah
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1155 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1299 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1133 (#70) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.5 (#79) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.6 (#156) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.914 (#229) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.890 (#169) | NetEff +15.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.928 (#187) | AdjNet +22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.929 (#188) | AdjNet +21.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.752 (#203) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 55.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.762 (#82) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 53.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.851 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.846 (#101) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1268 (#36) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Gettysburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Elizabethtown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Salisbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addisyn Banks | - | 18 | 32.7 | 18.2 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 15.8 | 13.7 | 77 | 3.5 | 15.3 | 40.5 | 32.1 | 68.2 | 2.58 | 49.5 | 44.9 |
| Emily Williams | - | 18 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 10.2 | 16.4 | 86 | 3.9 | 17.7 | 59.6 | 31.2 | 71.7 | 2.07 | 63.0 | 60.9 |
| Brynna Nesselrodt | - | 18 | 28.7 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 60 | 2.9 | 13.7 | 38.8 | 36.8 | 82.4 | 0.8 | 50.8 | 49.3 |
| Skai Bayless | - | 18 | 30.0 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 67 | 3.0 | 15.8 | 41.5 | 23.8 | 81.8 | 1.41 | 50.6 | 43.6 |
| Taylor Moran | - | 16 | 23.2 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 61 | 3.2 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 21.7 | 91.7 | 2.11 | 36.1 | 33.2 |
| Jessica Littlejohn | - | 14 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 81 | 4.5 | 20.8 | 36.7 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 2.97 | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| Reagan Smith | - | 4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 45 | 2.2 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.68 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Mya Martin | - | 15 | 11.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | -17 | -0.9 | -11.1 | 31.8 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.83 | 37.9 | 31.8 |
| Tristan Shavers | - | 14 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 9 | 0.6 | 11.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 71.4 | 1.12 | 57.3 | 50.0 |
| Maddie Belan | - | 3 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Lily Berger | - | 18 | 10.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.4 | 5.9 | 36.4 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Lydia Pedersen | - | 8 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 0.8 | 15.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.9 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Anaya Wilson | - | 11 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | -0.5 | -18 | -1.4 | -26.9 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.2 | 15.1 | 15.8 |
| Kiersten Hostetter | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -94.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wren Wheeler | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mackenzie Bloomfield | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Florian | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG