🐻⬇️🏀

Shaw

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Shaw
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 920 (#437) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 940 (#367) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 897 (#618) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -12.0 (#258) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -8.2 (#486) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.264 (#455) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.8 More → 0.117 (#392) NetEff -12.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.4 More → 0.211 (#517) AdjNet -11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.208 (#520) AdjNet -11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.353 (#507) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.339 (#584) AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.242 (#572) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.258 (#564) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 20 More → 911 (#357) RD 107 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ N.C. A&T L 28 - 77
2025-11-16 vs Shepherd L 52 - 81
2025-11-17 vs East Stroudsburg L 61 - 67
2025-11-20 @ Morris L 0 - 0
2025-11-25 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 68 - 57
2025-11-29 @ Lincoln (PA) W 61 - 57
2025-11-30 @ Virginia St. L 66 - 67
2025-12-01 @ Norfolk St. L 48 - 86
2025-12-06 vs Barton L 44 - 56
2025-12-09 @ Elizabeth City St. W 56 - 49
2025-12-13 @ Bluefield St. L 54 - 79
2025-12-16 @ Virginia St. L 45 - 63
2025-12-21 @ Virginia Union W 79 - 73
2026-01-12 vs Bowie St. L 45 - 49
2026-01-17 vs Winston-Salem L 54 - 64
2026-01-21 @ Johnson C. Smith L 42 - 50
2026-01-24 vs Claflin L 0 - 0
2026-01-29 vs Livingstone W 66 - 58
2026-02-04 vs Claflin L 44 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Claflin L 45 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bruni Martinez - 1 40.0 25.0 13.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 20.0 72 4.8 37.1 54.5 0 100.0 0.98 55.7 54.5
D'Ayzha Atkinson - 17 33.2 14.6 5.8 1.4 1.7 0.2 3.4 15.2 5.2 -3 -0.2 -3.8 35.3 27.9 82.8 -0.43 43.9 39.0
Maya Robinson - 1 32.0 13.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 29 2.4 21.9 55.6 0.0 100.0 0.28 63.0 55.6
De'aisjah Somerville - 1 27.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 2.0 -12 -0.9 -24.0 36.4 25.0 75.0 -0.18 47.0 40.9
Serenity Johnson - 1 25.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 -20 -1.5 -37.2 44.4 60.0 0 -0.05 61.1 61.1
Leasia Matthews - 17 22.6 10.3 2.9 1.7 1.8 0.1 3.6 10.4 2.8 -39 -2.8 -59.1 32.2 30.5 72.0 0.68 44.0 39.3
Ashara Spruill - 17 25.8 6.8 7.2 0.6 1.2 0.5 2.9 5.5 7.9 -3 -0.2 -3.9 46.2 0.0 57.7 1.33 50.1 46.2
Mikyah Finley - 16 23.4 6.8 2.9 1.2 1.4 0.1 3.9 8.4 0.1 -17 -1.2 -24.3 26.9 25.9 93.8 -0.08 38.3 34.7
Arianna Lopez - 17 22.9 5.2 1.3 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.0 6.5 -0.2 -23 -1.8 -43.4 23.4 22.8 72.7 0.64 35.5 29.3
Hailey Blackwell - 1 27.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 11.0 39 2.6 19.2 16.7 33.3 100.0 2.22 36.3 25.0
Karimah Nix - 1 21.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 30 2.0 17.2 50.0 0 50.0 2.49 52.1 50.0
Skylar Adams - 15 16.2 2.9 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.9 4.1 0.5 18 1.5 226.2 18.0 20.6 88.2 -0.95 32.1 23.8
Jazzmen Robinson - 16 11.4 2.5 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.2 2.3 2.1 -25 -1.7 -93.0 40.5 100.0 64.3 -2.02 46.3 41.9
Ashley Gonzalez - 1 18.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -2.0 36 3.0 17.8 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.75 15.8 0.0
Tanila Marshall - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 0.01 100.0 100.0
Sokhna Toure - 7 14.9 1.6 4.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 2.6 2.7 3.0 -1 -0.1 -3.9 21.1 0.0 50.0 -0.23 25.4 21.1
Mahogany Collins - 17 26.6 1.2 8.2 0.3 0.7 6.2 1.6 2.7 12.3 -40 -2.7 -53.8 17.4 14.3 23.1 0.81 19.3 18.5
Constance Ogbeide - 14 8.4 0.9 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.5 -18 -1.6 -219.3 19.0 0 28.6 0.38 22.1 19.0
Jaelyn Richardson - 11 4.8 0.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 -29 -2.6 -246.8 33.3 0.0 75.0 -0.31 41.8 33.3
Jocelynn Thompson - 5 7.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.0 -3 -0.2 -2.0 0.0 0 75.0 -0.45 31.5 0.0
Indiya Spooner - 12 4.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.6 -0.8 - - - 14.3 0.0 100.0 - 20.2 14.3
Ramsey Cureton - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 12 0.7 8.9 0.0 0.0 0 1.94 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG