Sewanee
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#401) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 925 (#434) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 846 (#655) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#274) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.2 (#558) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.138 (#612) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.188 (#454) | NetEff -11.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.104 (#542) | AdjNet -18.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.095 (#542) | AdjNet -19.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.230 (#555) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.224 (#649) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.184 (#607) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.190 (#610) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 821 (#479) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 46 - 115 |
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Lipscomb | L | 46 - 105 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Wesleyan (GA) | W | 110 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Piedmont | L | 72 - 93 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | LaGrange | L | 76 - 84 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Maryville (TN) | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Huntingdon | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Covenant | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Covenant | W | 95 - 86 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Berea | L | 68 - 88 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Millsaps | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 57 - 78 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Berry | L | 39 - 71 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 65 - 94 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | L | 51 - 86 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Trinity (TX) | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Berry | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Falvey | - | 20 | 27.7 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 13.3 | 5.5 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.1 | 36.3 | 30.5 | 71.9 | -0.02 | 47.7 | 42.3 |
| Hannah Cleveland | - | 20 | 26.5 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 10.2 | 9.3 | -33 | -1.4 | -7.8 | 46.6 | 34.9 | 80.3 | -1.36 | 58.9 | 53.9 |
| Janie Boyd | - | 20 | 27.2 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.8 | 35.1 | 76.8 | 2.11 | 53.4 | 49.3 |
| Cydney Wright | - | 9 | 20.2 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 10.0 | 17 | 2.4 | 30.9 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 68.8 | 0.27 | 54.6 | 48.0 |
| Brianna Keating-Rendon | - | 20 | 17.4 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 | -67 | -2.9 | -26.1 | 34.9 | 36.1 | 75.0 | -0.21 | 52.0 | 51.4 |
| Micha Lovelace | - | 20 | 19.0 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 3.2 | -20 | -1.0 | -6.7 | 46.6 | 42.9 | 79.4 | -1.08 | 59.1 | 52.7 |
| Eliza Everett | - | 20 | 23.6 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 8.8 | -21 | -1.0 | -5.8 | 42.4 | 12.5 | 61.5 | -0.71 | 48.7 | 43.2 |
| Adison Howard | - | 20 | 26.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 4.2 | -120 | -5.7 | -23.7 | 32.3 | 28.0 | 84.0 | 0.45 | 46.1 | 37.7 |
| Grace Gavin | - | 20 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 2.8 | -27 | -1.2 | -13.1 | 28.7 | 24.2 | 69.2 | -1.78 | 36.7 | 33.8 |
| Elliott Porter | - | 17 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -47 | -2.4 | -36.4 | 37.0 | 16.7 | 80.0 | 0.69 | 42.8 | 38.9 |
| Jenny Gamez | - | 12 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -27 | -2.7 | -92.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.75 | 17.6 | 0.0 |
| Grace Potter | - | 13 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -23 | -2.1 | -86.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.96 | 17.1 | 14.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG