San Francisco
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1060 (#124) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1025 (#144) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1053 (#93) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.7 (#126) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.4 (#85) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.527 (#142) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.587 (#131) | AdjNet +3.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.588 (#130) | AdjNet +3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.548 (#130) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.572 (#93) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.598 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.602 (#101) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1059 (#121) | RD 146 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 51 - 77 |
| 2002-11-26 | vs | Nevada | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Southern | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2002-12-04 | @ | Sacramento State | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Fresno State | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Pacific | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2002-12-23 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | California | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2003-01-02 | @ | Michigan | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Brown | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Saint Mary's | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2003-01-17 | vs | Portland | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2003-01-19 | vs | Gonzaga | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Santa Clara | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | San Diego | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2003-01-31 | vs | Pepperdine | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Loyola Marymount | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Saint Mary's | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2003-02-13 | @ | Portland | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2003-02-21 | vs | Santa Clara | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | San Diego | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2003-02-28 | @ | Loyola Marymount | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Pepperdine | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2003-03-08 | N | Loyola Marymount | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2003-03-09 | @ | San Diego | L | 63 - 72 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.