San Francisco
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 960 (#178) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 967 (#186) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 981 (#186) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.9 (#146) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.0 (#163) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.459 (#177) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.531 (#151) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.532 (#150) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.511 (#155) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.491 (#171) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.496 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.492 (#167) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 987 (#169) | RD 153 | GP 25 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | vs | Seton Hall | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2001-11-19 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 70 - 43 |
| 2001-11-24 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2001-11-28 | @ | Nevada | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Xavier | L | 72 - 87 |
| 2001-12-04 | @ | Fresno State | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2001-12-15 | vs | Pacific | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2001-12-20 | @ | Southern | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2001-12-29 | N | Michigan | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2002-01-11 | vs | Loyola Marymount | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | Pepperdine | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2002-01-16 | @ | Saint Mary's | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Saint Mary's | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2002-01-24 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Portland | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2002-02-01 | vs | San Diego | W | 87 - 71 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Santa Clara | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2002-02-08 | @ | Pepperdine | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Loyola Marymount | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2002-02-14 | @ | Santa Clara | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2002-02-16 | @ | San Diego | L | 55 - 88 |
| 2002-02-22 | vs | Gonzaga | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Portland | W | 97 - 81 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | San Diego | L | 67 - 69 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.