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San Francisco

Also known as: San Francisco Dons, San Francisco
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 960 (#178) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 967 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 981 (#186) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +0.9 (#146) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -0.0 (#163) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.459 (#177) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.1 More โ†’ 0.531 (#151) AdjNet +1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.1 More โ†’ 0.532 (#150) AdjNet +1.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.511 (#155) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 68.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.491 (#171) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.496 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.492 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 25 More โ†’ 987 (#169) RD 153 | GP 25

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Seton Hall L 79 - 87
2001-11-19 @ Cal State Fullerton W 70 - 43
2001-11-24 vs UC Santa Barbara L 49 - 69
2001-11-28 @ Nevada L 59 - 84
2001-12-01 vs Xavier L 72 - 87
2001-12-04 @ Fresno State L 65 - 75
2001-12-15 vs Pacific L 69 - 72
2001-12-20 @ Southern W 93 - 78
2001-12-29 N Michigan W 55 - 47
2002-01-02 @ Brigham Young L 51 - 65
2002-01-11 vs Loyola Marymount W 75 - 66
2002-01-12 vs Pepperdine L 68 - 74
2002-01-16 @ Saint Mary's W 63 - 46
2002-01-19 vs Saint Mary's W 84 - 67
2002-01-24 @ Gonzaga L 73 - 93
2002-01-26 @ Portland W 77 - 69
2002-02-01 vs San Diego W 87 - 71
2002-02-02 vs Santa Clara W 77 - 59
2002-02-08 @ Pepperdine L 72 - 79
2002-02-09 @ Loyola Marymount W 80 - 67
2002-02-14 @ Santa Clara L 67 - 77
2002-02-16 @ San Diego L 55 - 88
2002-02-22 vs Gonzaga L 54 - 70
2002-02-23 vs Portland W 97 - 81
2002-03-02 @ San Diego L 67 - 69

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.