San Francisco
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 949 (#187) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 943 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 940 (#226) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#187) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.3 (#177) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.284 (#244) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.422 (#176) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.420 (#176) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.435 (#187) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.437 (#201) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.409 (#197) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.410 (#197) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 923 (#208) | RD 150 | GP 29 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-18 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | W | 71 - 70 |
| 1998-11-23 | vs | Saint Louis | W | 61 - 53 |
| 1998-11-26 | N | UCLA | L | 62 - 69 |
| 1998-11-28 | N | Xavier | W | 82 - 69 |
| 1998-12-01 | vs | Montana State | W | 74 - 67 |
| 1998-12-04 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 58 - 42 |
| 1998-12-05 | vs | Weber State | W | 67 - 60 |
| 1998-12-08 | @ | Montana State | L | 66 - 81 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ | Fairfield | L | 73 - 95 |
| 1998-12-20 | @ | Indiana | L | 54 - 106 |
| 1998-12-23 | @ | Rhode Island | L | 55 - 74 |
| 1998-12-27 | vs | Nebraska | L | 52 - 62 |
| 1998-12-29 | N | Saint Joseph's | L | 50 - 63 |
| 1998-12-30 | N | Santa Clara | W | 66 - 52 |
| 1999-01-08 | vs | San Diego | L | 47 - 74 |
| 1999-01-09 | vs | Saint Mary's | L | 65 - 66 |
| 1999-01-15 | @ | Loyola Marymount | L | 84 - 96 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Pepperdine | L | 70 - 79 |
| 1999-01-22 | vs | Gonzaga | L | 71 - 83 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Portland | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1999-01-28 | @ | Portland | L | 51 - 65 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 52 - 78 |
| 1999-02-03 | @ | Santa Clara | L | 56 - 59 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | Santa Clara | L | 61 - 68 |
| 1999-02-12 | vs | Pepperdine | W | 56 - 44 |
| 1999-02-13 | vs | Loyola Marymount | W | 83 - 71 |
| 1999-02-18 | @ | Saint Mary's | W | 75 - 72 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ | San Diego | L | 51 - 52 |
| 1999-02-27 | N | Pepperdine | L | 65 - 67 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.