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San Fran. St.

Also known as: San Fran. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 808 (#364) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 767 (#362) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More β†’ -1.2 (#218) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.100 (#537) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.8 More β†’ 0.264 (#286) NetEff -7.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.2 More β†’ 0.216 (#511) AdjNet -11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More β†’ 0.214 (#518) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 More β†’ 0.341 (#516) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 76 - 48
2024-11-06 vs Biola W 75 - 30
2024-11-08 @ Academy of Art L 72 - 78
2024-11-09 @ Menlo W 71 - 60
2024-11-12 @ San Jose St. L 65 - 92
2024-11-15 vs Fresno Pacific L 61 - 78
2024-11-16 @ Dominican (CA) L 49 - 77
2024-11-22 vs Jessup W 62 - 50
2024-11-30 vs Cal St. East Bay L 71 - 75
2024-12-05 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 55 - 59
2024-12-07 @ Chico St. L 70 - 84
2024-12-22 @ Cal St. East Bay W 80 - 77
2025-01-02 vs Sonoma St. L 60 - 67
2025-01-04 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 71 - 65
2025-01-09 vs Stanislaus St. W 64 - 56
2025-01-11 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 49 - 38
2025-01-16 @ Cal State LA L 49 - 79
2025-01-18 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 47 - 93
2025-01-23 vs CSUSB L 57 - 66
2025-01-25 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 36 - 71
2025-01-30 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 64 - 63
2025-02-01 @ Stanislaus St. W 82 - 71
2025-02-06 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 55 - 72
2025-02-08 @ Sonoma St. W 67 - 63
2025-02-13 vs Chico St. L 69 - 74
2025-02-15 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 58 - 59
2025-02-20 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 49 - 71
2025-02-22 @ CSUSB L 53 - 78
2025-02-27 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 61 - 84
2025-03-01 vs Cal State LA L 59 - 60

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alysa Lopez - 1 32.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 17.0 9.0 24 0.8 0.9 41.2 20.0 66.7 0.84 48.4 44.1
Alexsandra Alvarado - 27 31.3 16.0 3.7 2.7 2.9 0.4 3.4 13.8 8.5 -50 -1.9 -1.8 36.6 33.3 78.6 -0.12 49.9 43.4
Breanna Hurt - 1 15.0 16.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 13.0 -13 -0.5 -0.6 75.0 0 80.0 0.14 78.4 75.0
Ava Ranson - 1 19.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 0.0 - 82.9 87.5
Erin Houpt - 1 17.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 100.0 - 102.8 100.0
Adryana Quezada - 1 22.0 12.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 17.0 - - - 55.6 0 50.0 - 55.8 55.6
Truitt Reilly - 1 21.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 77.3 66.7
Jayla Green - 1 24.0 12.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 -39 -1.4 -1.9 55.6 100.0 50.0 -0.14 60.7 61.1
Ana Daniels - 26 28.5 11.2 4.8 0.8 1.7 1.0 2.1 11.2 6.2 -36 -1.4 -1.5 40.5 16.7 63.5 -0.23 44.3 40.7
Kim Villalobos - 1 20.0 11.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 0 75.0 - 62.8 57.1
Sydney Peterson - 1 20.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 -6 -0.2 -0.5 83.3 0 50.0 -0.03 79.9 83.3
Khylee Pepe - 1 14.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 75.3 50.0
Veronica Sheffey - 1 21.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 44.4 0 100.0 - 47.7 44.4
Jennifer Moreno - 1 28.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 1.0 6 0.2 0.3 36.4 16.7 0 0.08 40.9 40.9
Natalia Martinez - 1 17.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 75.0 - 46.9 20.0
Kylie Horstmeyer - 1 24.0 8.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 14.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 40.5 33.3
Anisa Rillo - 1 24.0 8.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 4.0 -86 -3.1 -3.4 30.0 40.0 0 -0.8 40.0 40.0
Jayme Blackard - 1 31.0 8.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 -6 -0.2 -0.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.21 33.3 33.3
Geriah Bradley - 26 25.2 7.5 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.2 3.6 6.6 5.5 -102 -2.8 -3.1 42.1 21.1 63.0 -0.59 47.8 43.3
Sage Bridges-Bey - 23 19.4 7.1 3.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 1.6 7.4 3.5 -20 -1.2 -1.3 34.1 31.9 75.8 -0.41 44.4 40.9
Courtney Wristen - 1 14.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 42.9 0 50.0 - 44.4 42.9
Lilly Amor - 1 9.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 121.5 125.0
Jasmine Heu - 1 23.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 24 0.9 1.0 25.0 28.6 50.0 0.28 39.4 37.5
Nyana Asiasi - 27 24.9 6.7 3.6 0.8 1.3 0.3 1.1 7.5 4.1 -33 -1.2 -1.5 31.2 30.3 54.5 -0.23 43.0 42.1
Cali Clark - 1 19.0 6.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 10.0 - - - 25.0 0 100.0 0.06 33.8 25.0
Paris Santacaterina - 1 18.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
Lydia Manu - 1 20.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 -41 -1.5 -2.3 66.7 100.0 33.3 -0.25 69.4 83.3
Angela Whitfield - 1 17.0 6.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -114 -2.9 -4.9 28.6 33.3 0 -0.79 42.9 42.9
Naomi Panganiban - 1 17.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 75.0 0.43 37.0 20.0
Aaliyah Seuell - 1 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 22 0.6 1.9 25.0 25.0 100.0 -0.03 51.2 37.5
Jenna Kurz - 1 11.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 40.0 0 25.0 0.3 37.0 40.0
Seilala Lautaimi - 27 17.4 4.8 3.9 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 3.1 5.9 -11 -0.4 -0.7 48.2 0 64.9 0.11 55.3 48.2
Malia Tharpe - 1 18.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Hallie Rhodes - 1 15.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Lauren McCall - 1 18.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 1.0 - - - 22.2 0.0 0 - 22.2 22.2
Erica Carr - 1 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Kali Myers - 24 29.2 4.0 1.7 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.7 -53 -2.1 -2.6 32.7 34.2 100.0 0.11 47.2 46.0
Kira Wilmurt - 1 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -61 -1.5 -3.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.76 69.4 50.0
Sheriene Arikat - 1 23.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -3.0 -8 -0.3 -0.4 12.5 0.0 100.0 -0.13 22.5 12.5
Sienna Cherwinski - 1 11.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 7 0.2 0.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.34 50.0 50.0
Ixchel Rojo - 1 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1 0.0 0.1 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.01 69.4 50.0
Eva Ruse - 1 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Julie Ramirez - 1 28.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 24 1.0 1.3 20.0 25.0 0 0.56 30.0 30.0
Olivia Garcia - 1 14.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 -68 -2.4 -4.5 50.0 50.0 0 -0.23 75.0 75.0
Imani Felix - 20 13.7 2.6 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.9 1.5 1.8 -34 -1.8 -3.5 43.3 0.0 68.4 -0.3 55.7 43.3
Meghan Fiso - 1 19.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.26 23.1 0.0
Dresha Moore - 1 10.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kate Evans - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -30 -0.9 -5.2 100.0 0 0 -0.09 100.0 100.0
Genesis Hopkins - 1 12.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 12 0.3 0.7 100.0 0 0 1.22 100.0 100.0
Meredith Gilbertson - 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -12 -0.4 -0.6 50.0 0 0 0.19 50.0 50.0
Perséas Gioukaris - 25 10.8 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.8 - - - 34.0 11.8 47.1 -0.28 38.0 35.8
Carleigh Adams - 10 5.9 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.3 -5 -0.8 -2.8 35.0 28.6 0.0 -0.26 43.1 45.0
PersΓ©as Gioukaris - 26 10.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.7 - - - 32.1 5.9 47.1 -0.28 35.5 33.0
Jaden Roan - 22 9.6 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.2 -0.4 6 0.3 0.6 26.5 16.7 100.0 0.17 32.1 30.6
Trinity Tolbert - 1 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 24 0.8 2.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.08 26.6 0.0
Natalija Grizelj - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaelyn Hamilton - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -3 -0.1 -1.2 0.0 0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Jazlen Green - 1 15.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 45 5.0 8.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ellie Chen - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Claire Gallagher - 1 13.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.24 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Kem - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Talia Garner - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.7 -4.5 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
Monique Cavness - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -1.8 -6.8 0 0 0 -0.25 0 0
Eryn Gardner - 1 16.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 -41 -1.5 -1.6 0 0 0.0 -1.21 0.0 0
Madisyn Clark - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 1.3 1.7 0 0 0 0.1 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG