San Fran. St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 808 (#364) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 767 (#362) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | -1.2 (#218) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.100 (#537) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.264 (#286) | NetEff -7.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.216 (#511) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.214 (#518) | AdjNet -11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.341 (#516) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alysa Lopez | - | 1 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 24 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 41.2 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.84 | 48.4 | 44.1 |
| Alexsandra Alvarado | - | 27 | 31.3 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 13.8 | 8.5 | -50 | -1.9 | -1.8 | 36.6 | 33.3 | 78.6 | -0.12 | 49.9 | 43.4 |
| Breanna Hurt | - | 1 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -13 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.14 | 78.4 | 75.0 |
| Ava Ranson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 82.9 | 87.5 |
| Erin Houpt | - | 1 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 102.8 | 100.0 |
| Adryana Quezada | - | 1 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Truitt Reilly | - | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Jayla Green | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | -39 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 60.7 | 61.1 |
| Ana Daniels | - | 26 | 28.5 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 11.2 | 6.2 | -36 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 40.5 | 16.7 | 63.5 | -0.23 | 44.3 | 40.7 |
| Kim Villalobos | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Sydney Peterson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.03 | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Khylee Pepe | - | 1 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 75.3 | 50.0 |
| Veronica Sheffey | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Jennifer Moreno | - | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 36.4 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.08 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Natalia Martinez | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 46.9 | 20.0 |
| Kylie Horstmeyer | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 40.5 | 33.3 |
| Anisa Rillo | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -86 | -3.1 | -3.4 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Jayme Blackard | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Geriah Bradley | - | 26 | 25.2 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 6.6 | 5.5 | -102 | -2.8 | -3.1 | 42.1 | 21.1 | 63.0 | -0.59 | 47.8 | 43.3 |
| Sage Bridges-Bey | - | 23 | 19.4 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 3.5 | -20 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 34.1 | 31.9 | 75.8 | -0.41 | 44.4 | 40.9 |
| Courtney Wristen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 44.4 | 42.9 |
| Lilly Amor | - | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Jasmine Heu | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Nyana Asiasi | - | 27 | 24.9 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 4.1 | -33 | -1.2 | -1.5 | 31.2 | 30.3 | 54.5 | -0.23 | 43.0 | 42.1 |
| Cali Clark | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Paris Santacaterina | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Lydia Manu | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | -41 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -0.25 | 69.4 | 83.3 |
| Angela Whitfield | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -114 | -2.9 | -4.9 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.79 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Naomi Panganiban | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.43 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Aaliyah Seuell | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 22 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Jenna Kurz | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.3 | 37.0 | 40.0 |
| Seilala Lautaimi | - | 27 | 17.4 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 5.9 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 48.2 | 0 | 64.9 | 0.11 | 55.3 | 48.2 |
| Malia Tharpe | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hallie Rhodes | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Lauren McCall | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Erica Carr | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Kali Myers | - | 24 | 29.2 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 2.7 | -53 | -2.1 | -2.6 | 32.7 | 34.2 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 47.2 | 46.0 |
| Kira Wilmurt | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -61 | -1.5 | -3.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.76 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Sheriene Arikat | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Sienna Cherwinski | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ixchel Rojo | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Eva Ruse | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Julie Ramirez | - | 1 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Olivia Garcia | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -68 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Imani Felix | - | 20 | 13.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -34 | -1.8 | -3.5 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 68.4 | -0.3 | 55.7 | 43.3 |
| Meghan Fiso | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.26 | 23.1 | 0.0 |
| Dresha Moore | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kate Evans | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -30 | -0.9 | -5.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Genesis Hopkins | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.22 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Meredith Gilbertson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -12 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| PersΓΒ©as Gioukaris | - | 25 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 34.0 | 11.8 | 47.1 | -0.28 | 38.0 | 35.8 |
| Carleigh Adams | - | 10 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 35.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | -0.26 | 43.1 | 45.0 |
| PersΓ©as Gioukaris | - | 26 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 32.1 | 5.9 | 47.1 | -0.28 | 35.5 | 33.0 |
| Jaden Roan | - | 22 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | -0.4 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 26.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.17 | 32.1 | 30.6 |
| Trinity Tolbert | - | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Natalija Grizelj | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kaelyn Hamilton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jazlen Green | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ellie Chen | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Claire Gallagher | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alyssa Kem | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Talia Garner | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Monique Cavness | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.8 | -6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Eryn Gardner | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -41 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Madisyn Clark | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG