San Fran. St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 735 (#529) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 778 (#509) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 858 (#642) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.4 (#186) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#467) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.100 (#537) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.137 (#387) | NetEff -13.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.216 (#511) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.214 (#518) | AdjNet -11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.341 (#516) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.390 (#533) | AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.343 (#492) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#507) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 793 (#472) | RD 95 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 95 - 35 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Saint Mary's (CA) | L | 38 - 77 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Jessup | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Menlo | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Fresno Pacific | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 92 - 52 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 83 - 40 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Chico St. | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Stanislaus St. | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | UC Merced | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | CSUSB | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Cal State LA | L | 66 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Anderson | - | 1 | 28.4 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 183 | 8.3 | 41.5 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 4.17 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Meghan McIntyre | - | 1 | 23.6 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 87.5 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nat Martinez | - | 1 | 19.3 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 62.5 | 50.0 |
| Candy Edokpaigbe | - | 1 | 14.4 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 77.8 | 77.8 |
| Naomi Panganiban | - | 1 | 26.8 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Sol Castro | - | 1 | 13.5 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | - | 61.1 | 50.0 |
| Geriah Bradley | - | 19 | 30.1 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4.9 | 11.2 | 5.6 | -78 | -3.7 | -16.8 | 37.3 | 14.3 | 74.2 | 1.04 | 45.5 | 38.0 |
| Nala Williams | - | 1 | 22.1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 142 | 5.9 | 31.9 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.65 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Alyssa Jackson | - | 1 | 15.6 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 61 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 33.3 | 0.82 | 103.4 | 125.0 |
| Kendall Mosley | - | 1 | 15.9 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Nevaeh Ferrara Horne | - | 1 | 22.6 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 93.5 | 100.0 |
| Athena Brombacher | - | 21 | 26.6 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 9.8 | -47 | -2.1 | -8.2 | 46.5 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 1.09 | 55.0 | 47.1 |
| Kaliyah Dillard | - | 1 | 8.6 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Amy Pateman | - | 1 | 16.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Leilani Blecha | - | 21 | 24.9 | 8.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 3.1 | -127 | -5.3 | -27.9 | 33.5 | 34.6 | 57.9 | -1.52 | 47.7 | 46.8 |
| Katarina Anderson | - | 1 | 19.1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 161 | 7.7 | 52.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.21 | 75.2 | 62.5 |
| Allie Cummins | - | 1 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Gianna Darte | - | 20 | 20.1 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 11 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 26.4 | 23.8 | 75.0 | 2.84 | 36.8 | 34.9 |
| Kennedy Lee | - | 1 | 20.2 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 81.0 | 66.7 |
| Sofia Kelemeni | - | 1 | 11.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| CJ Latta | - | 1 | 18.3 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | - | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Olivia Williams | - | 1 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 62.1 | 33.3 |
| Mara Neira | - | 1 | 10.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Paula Tirado | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Harisa Mehmedovic | - | 1 | 10.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Deonna Mayfield | - | 21 | 22.1 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 3.9 | -47 | -2.1 | -10.2 | 31.0 | 29.8 | 71.7 | -2.16 | 40.7 | 35.4 |
| Samantha Myhr | - | 21 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 6.2 | 1.4 | -96 | -4.4 | -24.0 | 31.5 | 31.7 | 80.0 | -4.82 | 47.3 | 46.5 |
| Noelia Mourino | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Stella Sgro | - | 1 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Carla Fuster | - | 1 | 20.2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Gabriela Pato | - | 1 | 17.2 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Amira Brown | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 127 | 5.8 | 35.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.22 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Maria Konstantinidou | - | 1 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Rylei Waugh | - | 1 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Kaelyn Hamilton | - | 1 | 14.2 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -2.0 | 62 | 2.8 | 28.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Simone Murray | - | 19 | 22.5 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | -57 | -2.9 | -19.3 | 32.5 | 40.0 | 59.1 | 0.52 | 43.3 | 40.3 |
| Tegan Gaines | - | 21 | 15.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | -60 | -2.7 | -13.8 | 29.9 | 24.5 | 70.8 | 0.44 | 42.0 | 37.4 |
| Monique Cavness | - | 9 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 47.0 | 57.9 |
| Ellie Chen | - | 1 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bailey Barnhard | - | 1 | 17.9 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sophia Priestley | - | 1 | 16.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mecca Alexander | - | 1 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 38 | 2.2 | 35.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Malea Scobie | - | 20 | 11.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | -47 | -2.2 | -18.6 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 78.6 | 0.27 | 48.6 | 41.2 |
| Alexandra Thompson | - | 5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | -15 | -3.8 | -112.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Talia Garner | - | 11 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.6 | -0.1 | -48 | -4.4 | -1028.6 | 20.7 | 7.7 | 50.0 | -0.7 | 23.4 | 22.4 |
| Amelie Sitterud | - | 1 | 13.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Anyce Jefferson | - | 5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -17 | -4.2 | -23.5 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 25.4 | 14.3 |
| Paris Kaea | - | 9 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.33 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Tiera O'Connor | - | 8 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.9 | 19.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.37 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Asia Jackson | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | 61 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Karli Muagututia | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aubrey Cook | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natasa Tausova | - | 1 | 17.4 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aina Cargol | - | 1 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Briannah McGee | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG