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San Fran. St.

Also known as: San Fran. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 735 (#529) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 778 (#509) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 858 (#642) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.4 (#186) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.8 (#467) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.100 (#537) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.6 More → 0.137 (#387) NetEff -13.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.2 More → 0.216 (#511) AdjNet -11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.214 (#518) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.341 (#516) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.390 (#533) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#492) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.333 (#507) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 26 More → 793 (#472) RD 95 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 95 - 35
2025-11-09 @ Saint Mary's (CA) L 38 - 77
2025-11-14 vs Jessup W 80 - 71
2025-11-15 @ Menlo W 62 - 55
2025-11-21 vs Dominican (CA) L 53 - 64
2025-11-22 vs Fresno Pacific L 59 - 72
2025-11-28 @ Central Wash. L 44 - 65
2025-11-29 @ Western Wash. L 59 - 76
2025-11-30 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 92 - 52
2025-12-04 vs Cal St. East Bay L 61 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Cal St. East Bay L 67 - 70
2025-12-11 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 83 - 40
2025-12-19 @ Cal State LA L 57 - 80
2025-12-21 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 66 - 78
2026-01-02 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 61 - 76
2026-01-10 vs Chico St. L 55 - 73
2026-01-15 @ Stanislaus St. W 80 - 71
2026-01-17 @ UC Merced L 58 - 63
2026-01-22 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 62 - 51
2026-01-24 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 69 - 57
2026-01-29 @ CSUSB L 65 - 77
2026-01-31 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 57 - 76
2026-02-05 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 60 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Cal State LA L 66 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maya Anderson - 1 28.4 18.0 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 18.0 183 8.3 41.5 57.1 0.0 50.0 4.17 57.1 57.1
Meghan McIntyre - 1 23.6 16.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 17.0 - - - 87.5 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Nat Martinez - 1 19.3 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 44.4 16.7 100.0 - 62.5 50.0
Candy Edokpaigbe - 1 14.4 14.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 77.8 77.8
Naomi Panganiban - 1 26.8 13.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 - - - 50.0 60.0 0 - 65.0 65.0
Sol Castro - 1 13.5 13.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 0 83.3 - 61.1 50.0
Geriah Bradley - 19 30.1 12.1 3.9 3.8 1.7 0.2 4.9 11.2 5.6 -78 -3.7 -16.8 37.3 14.3 74.2 1.04 45.5 38.0
Nala Williams - 1 22.1 12.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 142 5.9 31.9 62.5 0.0 100.0 0.65 67.6 62.5
Alyssa Jackson - 1 15.6 11.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 61 2.9 21.0 100.0 100.0 33.3 0.82 103.4 125.0
Kendall Mosley - 1 15.9 11.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 57.1 60.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Nevaeh Ferrara Horne - 1 22.6 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 50.0 - 93.5 100.0
Athena Brombacher - 21 26.6 10.5 5.5 1.2 1.7 0.4 2.0 7.5 9.8 -47 -2.1 -8.2 46.5 40.0 73.0 1.09 55.0 47.1
Kaliyah Dillard - 1 8.6 10.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 102.5 100.0
Amy Pateman - 1 16.5 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Leilani Blecha - 21 24.9 8.1 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.9 8.1 3.1 -127 -5.3 -27.9 33.5 34.6 57.9 -1.52 47.7 46.8
Katarina Anderson - 1 19.1 8.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 161 7.7 52.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.21 75.2 62.5
Allie Cummins - 1 21.2 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 - 62.1 58.3
Gianna Darte - 20 20.1 7.0 2.8 0.8 1.1 0.3 1.6 9.1 1.4 11 0.5 2.4 26.4 23.8 75.0 2.84 36.8 34.9
Kennedy Lee - 1 20.2 7.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 81.0 66.7
Sofia Kelemeni - 1 11.7 7.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
CJ Latta - 1 18.3 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 50.0 - 71.7 75.0
Olivia Williams - 1 12.9 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 83.3 - 62.1 33.3
Mara Neira - 1 10.7 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 100.0 - 78.8 75.0
Paula Tirado - 1 23.0 7.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Harisa Mehmedovic - 1 10.6 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 60.0 100.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Deonna Mayfield - 21 22.1 6.9 3.7 1.9 1.6 0.0 2.7 7.5 3.9 -47 -2.1 -10.2 31.0 29.8 71.7 -2.16 40.7 35.4
Samantha Myhr - 21 16.7 6.0 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 6.2 1.4 -96 -4.4 -24.0 31.5 31.7 80.0 -4.82 47.3 46.5
Noelia Mourino - 1 16.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Stella Sgro - 1 22.1 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 22.2 25.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Carla Fuster - 1 20.2 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 28.6 40.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Gabriela Pato - 1 17.2 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Amira Brown - 1 18.0 6.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 9.0 127 5.8 35.6 37.5 0.0 0 2.22 37.5 37.5
Maria Konstantinidou - 1 11.2 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 60.0 - 59.5 50.0
Rylei Waugh - 1 6.9 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Kaelyn Hamilton - 1 14.2 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 -2.0 62 2.8 28.7 25.0 0.0 0 -0.52 25.0 25.0
Simone Murray - 19 22.5 3.9 2.3 1.1 1.4 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.6 -57 -2.9 -19.3 32.5 40.0 59.1 0.52 43.3 40.3
Tegan Gaines - 21 15.3 3.9 3.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 4.1 3.5 -60 -2.7 -13.8 29.9 24.5 70.8 0.44 42.0 37.4
Monique Cavness - 9 10.5 2.4 3.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.1 3.2 - - - 57.9 0 0.0 - 47.0 57.9
Ellie Chen - 1 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Bailey Barnhard - 1 17.9 2.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Sophia Priestley - 1 16.7 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mecca Alexander - 1 12.5 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 38 2.2 35.5 50.0 0.0 0 0.02 50.0 50.0
Malea Scobie - 20 11.9 1.9 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.8 -47 -2.2 -18.6 41.2 0.0 78.6 0.27 48.6 41.2
Alexandra Thompson - 5 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 -15 -3.8 -112.1 50.0 50.0 0 -0.61 66.7 66.7
Talia Garner - 11 8.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.6 -0.1 -48 -4.4 -1028.6 20.7 7.7 50.0 -0.7 23.4 22.4
Amelie Sitterud - 1 13.7 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Anyce Jefferson - 5 7.5 0.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4 -17 -4.2 -23.5 14.3 0.0 100.0 -0.19 25.4 14.3
Paris Kaea - 9 5.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 3 0.4 5.4 28.6 0.0 0 1.33 28.6 28.6
Tiera O'Connor - 8 3.6 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 6 0.9 19.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.37 10.2 0.0
Asia Jackson - 2 3.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 -1.5 61 2.9 21.0 0.0 0 0 0.82 0.0 0.0
Karli Muagututia - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aubrey Cook - 1 3.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Natasa Tausova - 1 17.4 0.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aina Cargol - 1 12.6 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Briannah McGee - 1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG