🐻⬇️🏀

San Fran. St.

Also known as: San Fran. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 827 (#410) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 746 (#534) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 813 (#590) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -8.6 (#278) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -13.7 (#492) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.195 (#488) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +41.0 More → 0.990 (#90) NetEff +41.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.5 More → 0.430 (#447) AdjNet -2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.438 (#446) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.476 (#440) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.6 More → 0.255 (#561) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.163 (#555) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.174 (#558) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 22 More → 743 (#486) RD 107 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ UC Santa Barbara L 67 - 98
2025-11-14 @ Dominican (CA) L 66 - 96
2025-11-15 vs Western Wash. L 62 - 87
2025-11-22 vs Vanguard L 61 - 72
2025-11-25 @ Sacramento St. L 46 - 94
2025-11-28 @ Fresno Pacific L 71 - 87
2025-11-29 @ Menlo W 67 - 60
2025-12-04 vs Cal St. East Bay L 46 - 60
2025-12-06 @ Cal St. East Bay L 46 - 86
2025-12-14 vs Seattle Pacific L 68 - 70
2025-12-19 @ Cal State LA L 57 - 101
2025-12-21 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 71 - 80
2026-01-02 vs Cal Poly Pomona W 74 - 73
2026-01-04 vs CSUSB L 60 - 73
2026-01-08 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 83 - 90
2026-01-10 vs Chico St. L 77 - 85
2026-01-15 @ Stanislaus St. L 69 - 81
2026-01-17 @ UC Merced L 77 - 92
2026-01-22 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay L 57 - 91
2026-01-24 vs Cal St. San Marcos L 71 - 76
2026-01-29 @ CSUSB L 90 - 99
2026-01-31 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 62 - 80
2026-02-05 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 46 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Cal State LA W 84 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Malcolm Bell - 1 31.1 23.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 25.0 31 1.5 5.1 60.0 75.0 72.7 2.97 77.5 75.0
Xavier Clinton - 1 40.6 23.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 15.0 35 1.7 9.0 55.6 75.0 0.0 2.12 62.4 63.9
Gavin Davis - 1 32.7 23.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 19.0 -55 -2.5 -14.7 50.0 42.9 90.9 2.49 77.5 65.0
Chris Carrillo - 1 28.9 20.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 16.0 -29 -1.4 -8.5 50.0 66.7 100.0 -0.86 80.6 62.5
Brandon Gibson Jr. - 1 24.2 20.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 22.0 -77 -4.3 -23.5 85.7 0.0 100.0 -2.35 95.1 85.7
Henry Sandberg - 1 29.1 20.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 16.0 8 0.6 4.3 58.3 50.0 83.3 -1.94 68.3 62.5
Malachi Johnson - 1 31.9 19.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 12.0 20.0 9 0.5 3.2 66.7 50.0 50.0 0.67 73.8 75.0
Lloyd French - 1 34.4 18.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 14.0 37 1.9 11.9 50.0 40.0 44.4 2.06 56.4 58.3
Zach Broadous - 1 29.7 16.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 14.0 -29 -1.6 -6.2 50.0 50.0 85.7 -2.93 72.2 62.5
Aidan Fowler - 1 44.7 15.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 17.0 5.0 15 0.7 2.8 29.4 28.6 100.0 0.33 40.9 35.3
Harrison Pennisi - 1 22.5 13.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 57.1 0 71.4 1.65 64.5 57.1
Jamaal Unuakhalu - 1 30.2 13.0 14.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 19.0 -6 -0.3 -4.6 55.6 0.0 75.0 -1.29 60.4 55.6
Jason Cibull - 1 36.3 11.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 -55 -2.6 -44.3 57.1 60.0 0 -1.08 78.6 78.6
Amar Hot - 1 20.3 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 -22 -1.1 -12.8 57.1 100.0 0 -2.11 78.6 78.6
Devon Woods - 1 34.8 11.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 -105 -5.2 -23.3 50.0 0.0 100.0 -4.14 52.7 50.0
Julian Mora - 1 33.5 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 41 2.0 7.7 50.0 60.0 100.0 1.29 79.9 75.0
Jaylin Leslie - 1 23.9 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 12 0.6 3.2 33.3 100.0 83.3 0.51 57.9 41.7
Malachi Murrell - 1 14.2 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 -36 -1.9 -12.8 71.4 0 0 -1.22 71.4 71.4
Hugo Gonzalez Garcia - 1 19.1 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 -49 -2.6 -25.3 42.9 66.7 100.0 3.06 63.5 57.1
Logan Kilbert - 1 30.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 -1 -0.1 -0.3 50.0 40.0 100.0 1.1 72.7 66.7
Nick High - 1 28.1 10.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 5.0 -147 -6.1 -32.8 36.4 0.0 100.0 -0.23 42.1 36.4
Theo McMillan - 1 33.4 10.0 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 16.0 96 4.8 15.5 71.4 0 0.0 -0.44 63.5 71.4
Milandev Chatha - 16 24.1 9.2 4.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.7 7.1 7.0 -101 -5.0 -26.2 45.1 27.8 67.2 -1.23 52.9 47.3
Mark Jones III - 1 32.9 9.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 16.0 5 0.2 2.5 33.3 0.0 71.4 1.01 49.6 33.3
Grant Coleman - 1 33.4 9.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 14.0 70 2.9 12.4 37.5 42.9 0.0 0.84 50.7 56.2
Miles Pollard - 17 23.8 8.9 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.9 7.1 4.9 -16 -0.8 -4.6 34.2 22.0 74.4 0.08 48.9 38.8
Parsa Hadjighasemi - 17 16.6 8.8 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 8.1 2.4 -45 -2.1 -22.7 42.8 32.7 68.4 -0.23 50.9 49.3
Shyheim Parm - 1 23.8 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -1.0 -62 -5.6 -49.6 44.4 0.0 0 -1.18 44.4 44.4
Javon Johnson - 1 16.8 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 18 1.1 31.8 60.0 66.7 0 -0.39 80.0 80.0
Dexter Stratton - 1 29.1 8.0 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 11.0 -31 -1.9 -6.8 22.2 0.0 66.7 -0.75 34.4 22.2
Max Tengan - 1 25.6 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 -2.0 1 0.1 0.3 30.0 33.3 0 -0.57 40.0 40.0
Aengus Sutherland - 1 12.4 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 27 1.6 16.6 60.0 0 66.7 1.53 63.3 60.0
Bricen Buciak - 17 24.1 7.0 3.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.4 7.5 3.1 -106 -5.0 -28.4 29.9 20.0 86.1 0.82 41.7 34.6
Keavie Love - 1 23.5 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 14 0.9 3.2 33.3 0.0 75.0 2.14 45.1 33.3
Veljko Muntilak - 1 17.2 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -6 -2.0 -8.8 60.0 0 50.0 0.01 59.5 60.0
Amound Anderson II - 1 24.4 7.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -7 -0.3 -2.7 40.0 50.0 100.0 -0.61 59.5 50.0
Kaylon Mason - 1 18.9 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 25 1.8 11.9 40.0 50.0 50.0 0.15 59.5 60.0
Zion Paleo - 1 25.1 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 18 0.8 5.1 28.6 25.0 66.7 -1.01 42.1 35.7
Markees Williams - 17 29.2 6.7 2.8 3.2 1.2 0.0 3.1 7.7 3.2 -93 -11.6 -17.0 34.4 20.9 75.0 -4.39 40.8 37.8
Jake Goldberg - 1 19.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 28 1.3 6.9 40.0 40.0 0 -0.37 60.0 60.0
Kevin Simeth - 1 24.3 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 54 2.5 10.0 50.0 0 0.0 1.21 41.0 50.0
Daniel Ameyaw - 1 24.9 6.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 30 1.4 16.2 60.0 0 0.0 -0.97 51.0 60.0
Tahjae Ordonio - 1 10.2 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 5 0.3 1.8 50.0 66.7 0 1.74 75.0 75.0
Remington Rofer - 1 25.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 3 0.1 0.8 40.0 0.0 40.0 -1.65 41.7 40.0
Pablo Soumare - 1 30.4 6.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 -16 -0.8 -5.5 66.7 0 50.0 -1.52 63.0 66.7
Gabriel Quiette - 1 15.4 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 -54 -2.7 -24.6 100.0 0 50.0 3.14 79.8 100.0
Brant Heppner - 1 15.2 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 6 0.3 2.6 50.0 66.7 0 0.29 75.0 75.0
Nikias Schoenerstedt - 1 20.3 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 2 0.2 6.1 50.0 50.0 0 0.73 75.0 75.0
Mason Harris - 17 14.8 5.7 4.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 4.1 6.5 -14 -0.7 -6.2 62.3 0.0 36.7 -1.29 59.0 62.3
Asher Schroeder - 1 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 52 2.4 12.8 50.0 100.0 0 1.03 62.5 62.5
Aaron Ragen - 1 33.8 5.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 48 2.4 10.6 25.0 0.0 60.0 2.12 40.3 25.0
Seth Brown - 1 28.3 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 -25 -1.2 -5.5 40.0 33.3 0 0.98 50.0 50.0
Marvin Brumfield - 1 10.3 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -20 -1.1 -28.7 40.0 0.0 100.0 1.54 46.0 40.0
Luke Wieskamp - 1 21.7 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 2.0 -127 -5.8 -35.7 12.5 25.0 100.0 -1.42 28.2 18.8
Michael Saba - 1 11.1 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -12 -0.8 -4.6 66.7 0 0 0.13 66.7 66.7
Jordan Smith - 1 12.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -21 -0.8 -29.6 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.33 69.4 50.0
Abram Potts - 1 5.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jonathan Moxie - 1 28.6 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 -1.0 -74 -3.7 -40.4 25.0 0.0 0 0.64 25.0 25.0
Quentin Thompson - 1 13.4 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 -2.0 -32 -1.5 -10.0 22.2 0.0 0 2.56 22.2 22.2
Evan McKnight - 17 15.4 3.4 3.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 2.3 4.9 -67 -3.4 -22.7 69.2 0.0 57.1 -0.62 68.9 69.2
Brandon Lucas - 15 11.2 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.5 1.1 -20 -1.2 -10.4 32.1 30.2 33.3 1.21 44.0 44.3
Edric Dennis - 1 19.4 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 16 0.7 5.9 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.25 33.8 25.0
Micah Boone - 1 11.3 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -11 -0.6 -4.0 33.3 50.0 0 -3.05 50.0 50.0
Nick Davidson - 1 13.6 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 20.0 0.0 100.0 -0.6 27.6 20.0
Loukas Jones - 1 9.2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -46 -2.6 -32.0 100.0 100.0 0 0.46 150.0 150.0
Jamison Beesley - 1 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 10 0.5 10.1 50.0 50.0 0 1.15 75.0 75.0
Max Sheridan - 1 15.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 15 0.9 21.6 25.0 25.0 0 0.43 37.5 37.5
Demarreya Lewis-Cooper - 1 29.9 2.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 89 4.5 13.7 16.7 0.0 0 3.08 16.7 16.7
Nate Simon - 1 6.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 30 1.6 11.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.81 25.8 0.0
Liam Switzer - 1 10.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 -83 -4.2 -33.9 100.0 0 0 -2.6 100.0 100.0
Jalen Keago - 1 6.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -7 -1.0 -11.6 33.3 0.0 0 -1.75 33.3 33.3
Maximilian Parmigiani - 10 9.7 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.0 -30 -2.7 -34.3 20.8 27.8 100.0 -1.28 34.2 31.2
Elijah Edwards - 1 13.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -3 -0.2 -1.4 0.0 0.0 25.0 -1.54 13.3 0.0
Cormac Springsteel - 15 7.5 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 -16 -1.1 -31.8 38.5 0.0 50.0 -0.56 42.4 38.5
Reid Brear - 5 5.3 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.6 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Diego Martinez - 11 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -37 -2.5 -19.1 16.7 0.0 0 -1.12 16.7 16.7
Mathes Klein - 11 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2 0.2 16.2 16.7 0.0 0 -0.15 16.7 16.7
Sam Hunter - 1 4.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 -30 -1.6 -18.3 0 0 0 -1.27 0 0
Skylar Strickland - 1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Court Franklin - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37 1.8 51.4 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Walter Hamilton - 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -30 -2.7 -37.9 0.0 0 0 -0.49 0.0 0.0
Gavyn Cirricione - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Parr - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Salim Arikat - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
Sebastian Arius - 1 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Connor Drinkwine - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 0.2 1.1 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
Trace Evans - 1 10.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -3.0 48 2.3 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.59 0.0 0.0
Logan Kinloch - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 6 0.8 10.4 0.0 0.0 0 1.53 0.0 0.0
David Zachman - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.2 -2.4 0 0 0 0.12 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG