San Diego
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
73.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
+2.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
32.1%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
40.3
RPG
9.3
APG
18.7
TO
73.0
Est. poss./game
67.8
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#186
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 901 (#226) | Preseason prior 863 (returning production + recruiting): last season 916, returning -0, transfers -53, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 942 (#222) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 943 (#222) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.8 (#176) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.9 (#176) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.368 (#180) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.424 (#187) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.424 (#189) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.448 (#186) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.447 (#186) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#180) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#180) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 927 (#223) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.372 (#212) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | New Mexico State Aggies | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 88 - 90 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Portland State Vikings | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Arizona State Sun Devils | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kylie Ray
|
G | 3 | 37.0 | 19.7 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 16.3 | 9.3 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 49.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.04 | 55.7 | 51.0 |
Kiera Pemberton
|
F | 3 | 24.7 | 11.7 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 11.7 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 63.6 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -2.25 | 68.6 | 65.9 |
Olivia Owens
|
G | 2 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 36.4 | 37.5 | 80.0 | 0.56 | 47.5 | 43.2 |
Jessica Ajayi
|
G | 3 | 28.7 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 52.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.98 | 65.9 | 66.7 |
Eva Ruse
|
F | 3 | 30.3 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 11.7 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 34.8 | 25.0 | 68.8 | 0.07 | 46.6 | 37.0 |
Sammie Wagner
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 9.8 | 30.4 | 20.0 | 55.6 | -1.11 | 38.9 | 34.8 |
Braelynn Barnett
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -18.3 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.93 | 74.2 | 64.3 |
Lilly Amor
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -13.4 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | -4.28 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
Ayla Williams
|
C | 3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -11.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.82 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
Kate Danner
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Rosalie Esser
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ryanne Bahnsen-Price
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Lauren McCall
|
G | 3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -20.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.96 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
179 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kylie RayJessica AjayiOlivia OwensSammie WagnerEva RuseBraelynn BarnettLilly Amor
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28-47 | 59.6 | 56 | Kylie Ray 29% (16 pts) | Kiera Pemberton 25% (14 pts) | Eva Ruse 26% (5 misses) | Olivia Owens 21% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 27-54 | 50.0 | 54 | Kylie Ray 30% (16 pts) | Kiera Pemberton 22% (12 pts) | Kylie Ray 37% (10 misses) | Eva Ruse 19% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-11 | 45.5 | 10 | Kylie Ray 80% (8 pts) | Eva Ruse 20% (2 pts) | Sammie Wagner 67% (4 misses) | Kylie Ray 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Eva Ruse 33% (1 misses) | Kylie Ray 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-8 | 25.0 | 4 | Kylie Ray 100% (4 pts) | - | Kylie Ray 67% (4 misses) | Eva Ruse 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Lilly Amor 67% (6 pts) | Jessica Ajayi 33% (3 pts) | Jessica Ajayi 60% (3 misses) | Kiera Pemberton 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Olivia Owens 100% (3 pts) | - | Lilly Amor 40% (2 misses) | Eva Ruse 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-16 | 37.5 | 18 | Jessica Ajayi 33% (6 pts) | Kiera Pemberton 17% (3 pts) | Kylie Ray 30% (3 misses) | Jessica Ajayi 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Braelynn Barnett 50% (3 pts) | Eva Ruse 50% (3 pts) | Eva Ruse 29% (2 misses) | Jessica Ajayi 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-17 | 35.3 | 18 | Jessica Ajayi 50% (9 pts) | Kylie Ray 17% (3 pts) | Olivia Owens 27% (3 misses) | Sammie Wagner 27% (3 misses) |