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Samford

Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History

Model Outputs

1988-1989
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 883 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 822 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 901 (#251) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -8.0 (#227) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -7.2 (#224) HCA +3.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.291 (#232) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.8 More โ†’ 0.204 (#237) AdjNet -11.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.9 More โ†’ 0.202 (#237) AdjNet -11.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.342 (#225) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.395 (#224) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 67.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.283 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.292 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 24 More โ†’ 814 (#247) RD 155 | GP 24

1989 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1988-11-25 vs Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 75
1988-11-29 @ Oklahoma State L 44 - 70
1988-12-02 N Coppin State L 61 - 65
1988-12-03 @ Liberty W 77 - 65
1988-12-06 @ Louisiana L 70 - 84
1988-12-17 vs Georgia Southern L 68 - 87
1988-12-19 vs Stetson L 68 - 87
1989-01-05 @ Hardin-Simmons L 52 - 54
1989-01-07 @ UTSA L 45 - 73
1989-01-09 vs New Orleans L 46 - 60
1989-01-12 vs Centenary (LA) W 77 - 63
1989-01-14 vs Houston Christian W 75 - 59
1989-01-21 vs Little Rock L 84 - 87
1989-01-26 @ Mercer L 68 - 69
1989-01-28 @ Georgia State L 61 - 71
1989-02-02 vs UTSA W 56 - 53
1989-02-04 vs Hardin-Simmons W 69 - 63
1989-02-09 @ Houston Christian L 62 - 79
1989-02-11 @ Centenary (LA) W 101 - 87
1989-02-18 @ Little Rock L 62 - 73
1989-02-23 vs Georgia State L 66 - 68
1989-02-25 vs Mercer L 55 - 57
1989-03-02 @ Georgia Southern L 52 - 71
1989-03-04 @ Stetson L 65 - 70

1989 Roster

No roster data available for this season.