Samford
Model Outputs
1988-1989
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 883 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 822 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 901 (#251) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.0 (#227) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.2 (#224) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.291 (#232) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.204 (#237) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.202 (#237) | AdjNet -11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.342 (#225) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.395 (#224) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.283 (#235) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.292 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 814 (#247) | RD 155 | GP 24 |
1989 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1988-11-25 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 80 - 75 |
| 1988-11-29 | @ | Oklahoma State | L | 44 - 70 |
| 1988-12-02 | N | Coppin State | L | 61 - 65 |
| 1988-12-03 | @ | Liberty | W | 77 - 65 |
| 1988-12-06 | @ | Louisiana | L | 70 - 84 |
| 1988-12-17 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 68 - 87 |
| 1988-12-19 | vs | Stetson | L | 68 - 87 |
| 1989-01-05 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 52 - 54 |
| 1989-01-07 | @ | UTSA | L | 45 - 73 |
| 1989-01-09 | vs | New Orleans | L | 46 - 60 |
| 1989-01-12 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 77 - 63 |
| 1989-01-14 | vs | Houston Christian | W | 75 - 59 |
| 1989-01-21 | vs | Little Rock | L | 84 - 87 |
| 1989-01-26 | @ | Mercer | L | 68 - 69 |
| 1989-01-28 | @ | Georgia State | L | 61 - 71 |
| 1989-02-02 | vs | UTSA | W | 56 - 53 |
| 1989-02-04 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 69 - 63 |
| 1989-02-09 | @ | Houston Christian | L | 62 - 79 |
| 1989-02-11 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 101 - 87 |
| 1989-02-18 | @ | Little Rock | L | 62 - 73 |
| 1989-02-23 | vs | Georgia State | L | 66 - 68 |
| 1989-02-25 | vs | Mercer | L | 55 - 57 |
| 1989-03-02 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 52 - 71 |
| 1989-03-04 | @ | Stetson | L | 65 - 70 |
1989 Roster
No roster data available for this season.