Sam Houston Bearkats
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 854 (#254) | Preseason prior 867 (returning production + recruiting): last season 997, returning -29, transfers -100, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 893 (#254) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 895 (#254) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.7 (#287) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.7 (#288) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.125 (#278) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.307 (#252) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.305 (#250) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.337 (#260) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.339 (#260) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.288 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.289 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 884 (#256) | RD 220 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.269 (#260) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | McMurry War Hawks | W | 111 - 59 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Houston Cougars | L | 50 - 78 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Jarvis Christian Bulldogs | W | 114 - 31 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Northern Colorado Bears | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | UL Monroe Warhawks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fanta Kone
|
G | 4 | 29.5 | 12.2 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 18.0 | 57 | 3 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 44.1 | 44.4 | 62.5 | 2.24 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
Hannah Wallace
|
G | 4 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 105 | 3 | 35.0 | 55.5 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 61.5 | 6.65 | 53.8 | 51.4 |
Esther Rodellar
|
G | 4 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 61 | 3 | 20.3 | 43.9 | 44.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.53 | 56.2 | 52.0 |
Lanaijha Johnson
|
F | 4 | 25.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 45 | 3 | 15.0 | 24.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 46.2 | -0.4 | 46.5 | 45.5 |
Mar'Cyah Willis
|
G | 4 | 15.2 | 7.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 45.8 | 37.5 | 50.0 | - | 58.2 | 58.3 |
Deborah Ogayemi
|
F | 4 | 26.2 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 50 | 3 | 16.7 | 25.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -0.17 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
Taylor Spencer
|
G | 4 | 15.2 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 41 | 3 | 13.7 | 33.8 | 36.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Kylah McCullers
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 41 | 3 | 13.7 | 66.4 | 41.7 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 0.53 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
Ruke Ogbevire
|
G | 4 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 41 | 3 | 13.7 | 34.7 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 68.8 | -0.55 | 43.0 | 31.8 |
Leanna Pabst
|
G | 4 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 22.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.65 | 41.8 | 36.7 |
Laila Harrison
|
F | 4 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 40 | 3 | 13.3 | 62.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.5 | 59.8 | 42.9 |
Alani Owens
|
G | 3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 56.8 | 0 |
Tiana Mathis
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Amyah Hall
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maci Quiller
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
275 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Hannah WallaceFanta KoneLanaijha JohnsonMar'Cyah WillisDeborah OgayemiKylah McCullersTaylor SpencerRuke Ogbevire
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 73-134 | 54.5 | 146 | Hannah Wallace 18% (26 pts) | Fanta Kone 15% (22 pts) | Taylor Spencer 18% (11 misses) | Fanta Kone 15% (9 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 11-36 | 30.6 | 22 | Lanaijha Johnson 36% (8 pts) | Hannah Wallace 18% (4 pts) | Hannah Wallace 20% (5 misses) | Lanaijha Johnson 20% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-18 | 16.7 | 6 | Deborah Ogayemi 33% (2 pts) | Hannah Wallace 33% (2 pts) | Taylor Spencer 27% (4 misses) | Leanna Pabst 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-8 | 12.5 | 2 | Kylah McCullers 100% (2 pts) | - | Deborah Ogayemi 29% (2 misses) | Esther Rodellar 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 10-23 | 43.5 | 20 | Hannah Wallace 30% (6 pts) | Kylah McCullers 20% (4 pts) | Lanaijha Johnson 23% (3 misses) | Deborah Ogayemi 15% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-15 | 33.3 | 15 | Kylah McCullers 40% (6 pts) | Esther Rodellar 20% (3 pts) | Kylah McCullers 40% (4 misses) | Leanna Pabst 20% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Mar'Cyah Willis 67% (2 misses) | Hannah Wallace 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-19 | 36.8 | 21 | Fanta Kone 43% (9 pts) | Kylah McCullers 29% (6 pts) | Fanta Kone 33% (4 misses) | Mar'Cyah Willis 33% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 6 | Fanta Kone 50% (3 pts) | Mar'Cyah Willis 50% (3 pts) | Ruke Ogbevire 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-16 | 43.8 | 21 | Mar'Cyah Willis 57% (12 pts) | Esther Rodellar 29% (6 pts) | Mar'Cyah Willis 33% (3 misses) | Esther Rodellar 22% (2 misses) |