Sam Houston
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
86.8
PPG
85.0
Opp
+1.8
Margin
43.8%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
47.5
RPG
15.5
APG
16.0
TO
78.7
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
74.6
Adj Opp PPG
#155
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 969 (#153) | Preseason prior 949 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1033, returning -35, transfers -49, freshmen -0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 980 (#169) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 980 (#169) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#135) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.8 (#135) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.314 (#221) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.483 (#156) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.496 (#152) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.502 (#155) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.502 (#154) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.497 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.497 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 963 (#178) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.478 (#154) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Alabama Crimson Tide | L | 74 - 96 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Howard Payne Yellow Jackets | W | 102 - 59 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Pepperdine Waves | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Illinois Fighting Illini | L | 86 - 108 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Wyoming Cowboys | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Boise State Broncos | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan McDowell
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 16.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 7.2 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 39.3 | 63.2 | - | 61.6 | 59.8 |
Jacobe Coleman
|
G | 4 | 26.2 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 39.6 | 39.3 | 100.0 | - | 56.8 | 51.0 |
Justin Begg
|
G | 4 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 35.3 | 100.0 | - | 46.9 | 39.6 |
Yoda Oke
|
G | 3 | 18.0 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 9.7 | - | - | - | - | 47.4 | 62.5 | 90.0 | - | 68.4 | 60.5 |
Matt Dann
|
F | 3 | 11.7 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.7 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 65.6 | 66.7 |
Enel St. Bernard
|
F | 4 | 26.0 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 13.5 | - | - | - | - | 52.6 | 0.0 | 41.7 | - | 51.5 | 52.6 |
Zion Pipkin
|
G | 4 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 35.7 | 66.7 | - | 49.2 | 47.5 |
Mahliq Guiseppi-Kitson
|
G | 4 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | - | 52.0 | 53.1 |
Riccardo Greppi
|
F | 4 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 59.2 | 50.0 |
Rylan Kelly
|
G | 3 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 63.7 | 58.3 |
Xavier Roberson
|
G | 3 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 32.7 | 29.2 |
Cheikh Ndiaye
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 75.1 | 83.3 |
Alec Loustau
|
F | 3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
Nathan Nguyen
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Keller Partain
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
272 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Aidan McDowellJacobe ColemanJustin BeggMatt DannZion PipkinMahliq Guiseppi-Kitson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 59-94 | 62.8 | 118 | Matt Dann 17% (20 pts) | Aidan McDowell 12% (14 pts) | Justin Begg 31% (11 misses) | Enel St. Bernard 14% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 17-49 | 34.7 | 34 | Aidan McDowell 24% (8 pts) | Justin Begg 24% (8 pts) | Justin Begg 25% (8 misses) | Jacobe Coleman 16% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jacobe Coleman 33% (1 misses) | Keller Partain 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Jacobe Coleman 50% (2 pts) | Yoda Oke 50% (2 pts) | Jacobe Coleman 43% (3 misses) | Aidan McDowell 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Justin Begg 67% (2 misses) | Matt Dann 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-13 | 23.1 | 9 | Mahliq Guiseppi-Kitson 33% (3 pts) | Rylan Kelly 33% (3 pts) | Jacobe Coleman 40% (4 misses) | Aidan McDowell 10% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Justin Begg 50% (6 pts) | Jacobe Coleman 25% (3 pts) | Aidan McDowell 25% (1 misses) | Jacobe Coleman 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 16-40 | 40.0 | 48 | Aidan McDowell 38% (18 pts) | Jacobe Coleman 25% (12 pts) | Jacobe Coleman 33% (8 misses) | Aidan McDowell 29% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Zion Pipkin 40% (6 pts) | Aidan McDowell 20% (3 pts) | Justin Begg 45% (5 misses) | Zion Pipkin 36% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-37 | 35.1 | 39 | Jacobe Coleman 46% (18 pts) | Aidan McDowell 31% (12 pts) | Aidan McDowell 29% (7 misses) | Jacobe Coleman 17% (4 misses) |