Salisbury
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1043 (#143) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#164) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#125) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#178) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.1 (#335) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.424 (#483) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.680 (#287) | NetEff +5.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.285 (#454) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.268 (#458) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.390 (#447) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.612 (#217) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.614 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.622 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1101 (#156) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | York (PA) | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 43 - 49 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lehman | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Immaculata | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 114 - 40 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Stevenson | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | WestConn | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 56 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Chris. Newport | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 50 - 52 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 82 - 56 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 63 - 60 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Miller | - | 17 | 30.8 | 17.4 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 13.2 | 9.8 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 49.8 | 34.6 | 72.6 | 0.88 | 58.7 | 55.8 |
| Abby Plaugher | - | 17 | 31.8 | 14.4 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 78.2 | 4.59 | 54.7 | 50.5 |
| Keturah Stewart | - | 17 | 27.6 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 5.3 | -40 | -2.0 | -13.7 | 31.5 | 24.7 | 71.2 | -2.17 | 41.7 | 36.7 |
| Kayla Nieberlein | - | 16 | 25.4 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 64.0 | -0.44 | 49.7 | 47.9 |
| Jen Juhring | - | 17 | 28.6 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 8.2 | 7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 40.5 | 38.5 | 80.0 | -0.85 | 51.5 | 49.4 |
| Kisa Lilly | - | 16 | 17.7 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 42 | 2.3 | 21.0 | 32.5 | 16.7 | 76.9 | 0.08 | 38.1 | 34.4 |
| Samantha Shively | - | 5 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 26 | 4.3 | 462.2 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.16 | 49.2 | 47.2 |
| Sayuri Penaranda | - | 12 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 30 | 1.9 | 193.0 | 48.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 2.01 | 50.4 | 48.0 |
| Evelyn Steele | - | 9 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 25 | 2.5 | 60.1 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.72 | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| Ella Inacio | - | 16 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 26.0 | 21.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 31.4 | 31.0 |
| Izzy Diaz | - | 16 | 10.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4.0 | -28 | -1.5 | -31.6 | 48.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.15 | 50.7 | 48.0 |
| Nadia Bullock | - | 10 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 22 | 2.8 | 13.5 | 18.2 | 8.3 | 66.7 | 0.65 | 23.8 | 19.7 |
| Remy Tolar | - | 12 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 14 | 1.6 | 22.9 | 38.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 43.8 | 38.5 |
| Faith Re | - | 8 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 53 | 4.8 | 1551.2 | 12.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Abbie Switzer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG