Salem St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 928 (#368) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 924 (#340) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.1 (#273) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.497 (#452) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.619 (#194) | NetEff +3.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.177 (#500) | AdjNet -13.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.159 (#504) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.299 (#505) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 71.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Emerson | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Suffolk | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Endicott | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Gordon | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | JWU (Providence) | L | 61 - 88 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | WPI | W | 55 - 51 |
| 2024-12-10 | @ | Wellesley | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Endicott | L | 64 - 72 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernidia Goncalves | - | 10 | 31.0 | 14.6 | 12.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 14.7 | 12.7 | 74 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 42.2 | 0.0 | 62.9 | 0.41 | 45.0 | 42.2 |
| Abuk Teng | - | 10 | 36.2 | 14.2 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 14.3 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 20.0 | 78.6 | 0.31 | 44.0 | 38.1 |
| Kylie Gates | - | 10 | 37.2 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 41.0 | 32.1 | 75.8 | 0.4 | 50.2 | 45.2 |
| Nicolette D'Itra | - | 3 | 27.3 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 50.4 | 48.2 |
| Liz Zaiter | - | 10 | 22.5 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 31.8 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.07 | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| Jaylen Nieves | - | 9 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 23.2 | 20.0 | 84.2 | -0.03 | 38.1 | 29.5 |
| Nicolette D’itria | - | 4 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.2 | 44.8 | 42.1 |
| Nicolette D’it | - | 4 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 21.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 28.9 | 21.1 |
| Maria Orfanos | - | 10 | 15.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 110 | 3.7 | 6.1 | 24.2 | 25.0 | 69.2 | 0.54 | 34.9 | 27.3 |
| Kylie Schrock | - | 9 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 38 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 34.3 | 33.3 |
| Haley Phillips | - | 6 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.45 | 34.9 | 33.3 |
| Sunali Carter | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 43 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.51 | 19.0 | 14.3 |
| Lamia Ashley | - | 7 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 28 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Amayah McConney | - | 3 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 35 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.3 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Maggy Sarnacki | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marisa Boccelli | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarielis Perez | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Reynolds | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -69 | -3.6 | -14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Janeishelly Morales | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG