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Salem St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Salem St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 928 (#368) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 953 (#392) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 900 (#610) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -12.3 (#307) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -15.0 (#556) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.497 (#452) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.6 More → 0.440 (#374) NetEff -1.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.4 More → 0.177 (#500) AdjNet -13.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.159 (#504) AdjNet -14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.299 (#505) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.361 (#574) AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.217 (#582) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.236 (#581) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 6 More → 804 (#484) RD 145 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Worcester St. W 60 - 59
2026-01-24 vs Westfield St. L 75 - 80
2026-01-28 vs MCLA W 94 - 43
2026-01-31 @ Anna Maria L 59 - 71
2026-02-04 vs Bridgewater St. L 47 - 56
2026-02-07 @ Framingham St. L 57 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ernidia Goncalves - 6 33.6 18.0 12.2 2.3 3.8 0.3 4.7 15.3 16.7 84 5.6 22.6 45.7 100.0 53.5 2.27 48.7 46.2
Kylie Schrock - 6 27.2 12.5 4.5 0.3 2.2 0.0 1.2 11.7 6.7 37 2.5 11.3 34.3 20.0 78.1 0.79 44.6 35.7
Keisha Perez-Vazquez - 1 20.3 12.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 10.0 26 13.0 62.5 66.7 0.0 80.0 1.22 73.2 66.7
Maria Orfanos - 6 34.4 9.7 3.3 2.5 2.3 0.2 3.2 11.2 3.7 45 3.0 12.0 32.8 20.0 69.2 1.24 39.9 36.6
Shakera Fullenwilder - 6 19.5 7.8 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.3 6.8 2.5 48 3.2 20.8 48.8 0.0 63.6 0.75 51.3 48.8
Sunali Carter - 5 17.2 4.2 3.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 4.6 3.0 -38 -2.7 -19.6 26.1 40.0 77.8 -2.96 38.9 30.4
Destiny Alce - 4 14.4 4.0 1.5 0.2 1.0 0.0 2.8 4.2 -0.2 46 3.8 50.3 35.3 33.3 100.0 -0.52 43.7 38.2
Lamia Ashley - 6 8.5 3.0 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.7 1 0.1 1.0 50.0 0 33.3 -2.78 48.3 50.0
Lauren Wilson - 5 10.2 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.6 26 2.4 30.2 54.5 33.3 50.0 2.79 58.8 59.1
Yamilette Guerrero - 5 26.5 2.6 5.8 3.4 3.4 0.4 4.2 5.4 6.0 16 1.1 6.5 14.8 0.0 50.0 -2.03 20.7 14.8
Amayah McConney - 4 23.6 1.8 3.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 3.5 1.8 9 0.7 4.7 21.4 0.0 50.0 -0.68 23.5 21.4
Morgan Reynolds - 3 4.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.7 17 4.2 76.0 25.0 0 0 -0.07 25.0 25.0
Maggy Sarnacki - 1 6.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2 0.7 13.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG