Salem St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1027 (#270) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1041 (#302) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 963 (#579) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.2 (#321) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.1 (#581) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.579 (#418) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.198 (#542) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.193 (#541) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.308 (#534) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 82.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.372 (#607) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#589) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.300 (#585) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#416) | RD 81 | GP 39 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Minn.-Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Emerson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | North Dakota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | MIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Gordon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Lasell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Rivier | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Curry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Anna Maria | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Hamline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Fitchburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Worcester St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | MCLA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Anna Maria | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Rogers Jr. | - | 1 | 40.0 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 68 | 8.5 | 68.2 | 56.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 1.67 | 60.3 | 60.9 |
| Jalen Jackson | - | 1 | 38.0 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | -3 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 87.5 | 0.08 | 75.6 | 70.0 |
| Josh Campbell | - | 1 | 34.8 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | -43 | -3.9 | -13.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.81 | 53.0 | 52.8 |
| Aidan Rock | - | 1 | 33.7 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | -66 | -4.7 | -35.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 80.0 | -1.3 | 103.3 | 107.1 |
| Dyree Rogers | - | 1 | 32.8 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -22.5 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 60.0 | -0.87 | 77.9 | 80.0 |
| Davion Butler | - | 16 | 30.8 | 16.5 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 10.6 | -162 | -7.4 | -33.5 | 48.4 | 37.2 | 87.5 | -2.16 | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Jamel Walker | - | 16 | 31.6 | 15.1 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 28 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 45.2 | 10.3 | 69.9 | 0.38 | 53.4 | 46.0 |
| Jason James | - | 1 | 33.8 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 90 | 6.4 | 32.3 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Ali Barry | - | 9 | 35.4 | 14.1 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 10.6 | 3 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 40.4 | 31.6 | 75.0 | -1.26 | 52.3 | 48.6 |
| Sam Sweeney | - | 1 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | -13 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 1.68 | 50.9 | 45.8 |
| Koy Nelson | - | 16 | 30.5 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 10.5 | 8.6 | -173 | -7.9 | -37.7 | 51.2 | 35.2 | 68.8 | -2.48 | 59.2 | 56.8 |
| Josh Saint Jean | - | 1 | 35.7 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -7.2 | 55.6 | 0 | 57.1 | -1.48 | 57.9 | 55.6 |
| Raheim Orleans | - | 16 | 28.9 | 13.1 | 11.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 8.1 | 16.6 | 20 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 65.9 | 100.0 | 68.4 | 0.95 | 68.1 | 66.3 |
| Omri Merryman | - | 16 | 29.6 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 11 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 37.6 | 37.2 | 80.0 | -3.53 | 49.2 | 46.2 |
| Sean Barclift | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 54.5 | - | 46.7 | 37.5 |
| Tanner Thomson | - | 10 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 10.3 | 7.3 | -31 | -3.1 | -40.8 | 40.8 | 29.4 | 84.0 | 0.25 | 52.6 | 48.1 |
| Takoma Rosario | - | 1 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 80.0 | 80.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 120.0 | 120.0 |
| Louis Jennings | - | 1 | 26.5 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -21 | -1.4 | -9.7 | 83.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.27 | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Vondre Chase | - | 2 | 33.9 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | -27 | -2.1 | -11.6 | 58.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.14 | 61.5 | 58.8 |
| Domonick Victor | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -6.7 | 62.5 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.59 | 53.9 | 62.5 |
| Nicolas Von Zboray | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 30 | 2.5 | 19.8 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 3.98 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| Nicholas Martinez | - | 4 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.8 | 6.2 | -11 | -1.8 | -3.3 | 51.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -1.11 | 54.9 | 54.8 |
| Carlos Johnson | - | 2 | 10.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 | -19 | -2.1 | -11.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.63 | 86.0 | 83.3 |
| Aaron Keykal | - | 12 | 27.7 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 9.1 | -29 | -1.6 | -7.2 | 51.3 | 0.0 | 58.6 | 3.47 | 53.4 | 51.3 |
| Jayden Brown | - | 16 | 21.9 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 4.5 | -99 | -3.0 | -175.1 | 35.9 | 20.8 | 81.5 | 0.93 | 45.4 | 40.6 |
| Michael Makiej | - | 16 | 13.6 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 21 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 47.6 | 44.4 | 66.7 | -1.61 | 57.5 | 54.9 |
| Wellbi Perez Valera | - | 2 | 15.8 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 12 | 6.0 | 230.4 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 44.0 | 38.5 |
| Xavier Lewis | - | 1 | 33.7 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 43 | 1.7 | 9.8 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Dante Kikuba | - | 1 | 26.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -94 | -5.9 | -37.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -2.61 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
| Hayden Kloos | - | 15 | 20.4 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 6.9 | -155 | -7.4 | -42.6 | 50.0 | 43.8 | 54.5 | -2.46 | 60.4 | 60.3 |
| Nebiyu Teklemariam | - | 15 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.7 | -64 | -3.0 | -35.8 | 38.8 | 33.3 | 53.8 | -1.83 | 48.1 | 47.0 |
| Wil Martinez | - | 16 | 19.2 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 51 | 3.4 | 19.8 | 36.6 | 32.4 | 28.6 | 1.44 | 44.5 | 45.1 |
| Drelyn Jones | - | 12 | 17.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.3 | -36 | -2.2 | -20.9 | 31.4 | 22.7 | 80.0 | 0.04 | 42.5 | 36.3 |
| Conner Barney | - | 5 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 | 29.9 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.53 | 66.9 | 66.7 |
| Damani Williams | - | 6 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 31 | 3.4 | 92.7 | 27.8 | 23.1 | 80.0 | 0.89 | 46.9 | 36.1 |
| Fallou Koite | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -51 | -3.9 | -23.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.53 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Makyle Hayes | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -39 | -3.2 | -80.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.31 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Ja'Quin Taylor | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 1.0 | 12.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.2 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Lorenzo Washington | - | 1 | 40.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | -34 | -3.8 | -36.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.86 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
| Paul Harris | - | 12 | 13.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | -63 | -3.5 | -33.7 | 25.6 | 12.5 | 40.0 | -1.39 | 29.6 | 26.9 |
| Ben Raymond | - | 11 | 14.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | -5 | -0.5 | -18.3 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.57 | 44.8 | 44.0 |
| Steven Jean-Louis | - | 9 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.7 | -3 | -1.0 | -9.6 | 30.4 | 33.3 | 36.4 | -0.79 | 35.9 | 34.8 |
| Nelson Obarisiagbon | - | 13 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 46 | 3.5 | 36.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 71.4 | 2.09 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Drey Wisdom | - | 4 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.2 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Juan Diaz Beltres | - | 7 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.8 | 26.0 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.65 | 45.0 | 41.7 |
| Batuhan Goktas | - | 8 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 20 | 6.7 | 67.8 | 21.4 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.42 | 33.1 | 25.0 |
| Kobe Karels | - | 11 | 11.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -19 | -1.7 | -65.7 | 27.8 | 9.1 | 50.0 | -2.7 | 32.9 | 30.6 |
| Anthony D'Itria | - | 9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 21 | 2.6 | 26.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 1.26 | 34.2 | 33.3 |
| Ian Larsen | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Owen Larsen | - | 5 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | -0.2 | -34 | -5.7 | -165.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.44 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Darian Barksdale | - | 1 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -57.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayato Tokunaga | - | 1 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jamaal McConnell | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -9.2 | -43.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.92 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Belsanti | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isiah Alexander | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 2.7 | 147.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Eshun | - | 1 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| French Biltcliffe | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Engel-Chatten | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -30 | -3.8 | -21.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Simeon | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.6 | -8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.85 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyriek Williams | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -13 | -1.6 | -11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kai Penney | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG