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Salem St.

Also known as: Salem St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 984 (#406) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1055 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 963 (#579) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -6.0 (#205) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -13.1 (#581) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.579 (#418) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.198 (#542) AdjNet -12.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.193 (#541) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 82.0 More → 0.308 (#534) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 82.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.372 (#607) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 76.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#589) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.300 (#585) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 81 | GP 39 More → 968 (#421) RD 81 | GP 39

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Minn.-Morris W 84 - 70
2025-11-11 @ Emerson W 84 - 80
2025-11-12 @ North Dakota St. L 38 - 111
2025-11-13 vs UMass Boston W 91 - 86
2025-11-14 @ Buena Vista W 73 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Suffolk L 58 - 77
2025-11-15 @ Neb. Wesleyan W 78 - 75
2025-11-18 @ Minn. Duluth L 58 - 89
2025-11-18 vs MIT L 68 - 73
2025-11-21 @ Wheaton (IL) L 64 - 85
2025-11-22 vs Rose-Hulman L 53 - 64
2025-11-22 @ Colby-Sawyer W 96 - 76
2025-11-25 @ Gordon W 85 - 79
2025-11-25 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 71 - 55
2025-12-01 vs Lasell W 82 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Augsburg L 60 - 82
2025-12-04 @ Rivier W 71 - 64
2025-12-06 vs Carleton L 59 - 73
2025-12-08 vs Curry W 100 - 92
2025-12-10 vs Wis.-Superior L 56 - 64
2025-12-11 vs Wesleyan (CT) L 61 - 75
2025-12-13 @ Endicott L 82 - 90
2025-12-13 vs Bethany Lutheran L 74 - 83
2025-12-31 @ Crown (MN) L 68 - 71
2026-01-03 @ Concordia-M'head L 68 - 87
2026-01-07 vs Anna Maria W 87 - 47
2026-01-07 vs Hamline L 72 - 95
2026-01-10 @ Bridgewater St. W 89 - 75
2026-01-10 @ St. Olaf L 71 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Framingham St. L 55 - 74
2026-01-14 @ Macalester W 96 - 92
2026-01-17 @ Fitchburg St. L 79 - 80
2026-01-17 vs Bethel (MN) W 93 - 73
2026-01-21 vs Worcester St. L 75 - 90
2026-01-24 vs Westfield St. L 65 - 87
2026-01-28 vs MCLA W 86 - 54
2026-01-31 @ Anna Maria W 86 - 81
2026-02-04 vs Bridgewater St. W 79 - 78
2026-02-07 @ Framingham St. W 84 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenneth Rogers Jr. - 1 40.0 32.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 23.0 21.0 68 8.5 68.2 56.5 40.0 50.0 1.36 60.3 60.9
Jalen Jackson - 1 38.0 28.0 11.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 29.0 -3 -0.8 -1.6 66.7 50.0 87.5 0.61 75.6 70.0
Josh Campbell - 1 34.8 20.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 18.0 7.0 -43 -3.9 -13.7 50.0 33.3 50.0 -1.93 53.0 52.8
Dyree Rogers - 1 32.8 19.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 11.0 -23 -2.6 -22.5 70.0 100.0 60.0 -0.29 77.9 80.0
Aidan Rock - 1 33.7 19.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 18.0 -66 -4.7 -35.6 100.0 100.0 80.0 1.79 103.3 107.1
Davion Butler - 18 29.4 15.7 2.8 2.8 1.7 0.1 2.5 11.0 9.6 -162 -7.4 -33.5 47.5 38.7 85.5 -0.27 62.0 56.6
Jamel Walker - 16 31.6 15.1 4.0 3.9 1.5 0.3 2.7 11.1 11.1 28 2.0 7.6 45.2 10.3 69.9 0.26 53.4 46.0
Jason James - 1 33.8 15.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 9.0 90 6.4 32.3 60.0 100.0 100.0 3.67 68.9 65.0
Ali Barry - 9 35.4 14.1 4.7 2.8 2.0 0.7 1.6 12.1 10.6 3 0.3 5.2 40.4 31.6 75.0 -0.15 52.3 48.6
Josh Saint Jean - 1 35.7 14.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 19.0 -4 -0.4 -7.2 55.6 0 57.1 0.71 57.9 55.6
Sam Sweeney - 1 40.0 14.0 8.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 14.0 -13 -0.8 -4.2 33.3 37.5 75.0 2.61 50.9 45.8
Raheim Orleans - 16 28.9 13.1 11.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 1.4 8.1 16.6 20 1.3 4.6 65.9 100.0 68.4 -0.01 68.1 66.3
Koy Nelson - 18 28.9 12.7 3.2 2.7 0.9 0.1 1.8 9.7 8.0 -173 -7.9 -37.7 49.1 32.8 71.2 -4.1 57.6 54.6
Omri Merryman - 16 29.6 12.2 4.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.6 11.6 5.9 11 0.7 3.2 37.6 37.2 80.0 -1.6 49.2 46.2
Takoma Rosario - 1 33.0 12.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 3 0.2 2.3 80.0 80.0 0 0.45 120.0 120.0
Sean Barclift - 1 24.0 12.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 37.5 0 54.5 - 46.7 37.5
Tanner Thomson - 11 25.4 11.1 2.8 1.3 2.4 0.1 1.7 9.8 6.1 -31 -3.1 -40.8 39.8 28.8 84.0 0.92 51.3 46.8
Vondre Chase - 2 33.9 11.0 7.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 3.5 8.5 9.0 -27 -2.1 -11.6 58.8 0.0 100.0 1.17 61.5 58.8
Nicolas Von Zboray - 1 35.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 30 2.5 19.8 42.9 50.0 100.0 4.59 69.8 64.3
Louis Jennings - 1 26.5 11.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 12.0 -21 -1.4 -9.7 83.3 0.0 50.0 2.09 79.9 83.3
Domonick Victor - 1 20.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 -5 -0.7 -6.7 62.5 0 20.0 1.44 53.9 62.5
Nicholas Martinez - 4 25.0 9.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 7.8 6.2 -11 -1.8 -3.3 51.6 66.7 50.0 -0.36 54.9 54.8
Carlos Johnson - 2 10.8 8.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 7.0 -19 -2.1 -11.7 66.7 100.0 100.0 1.14 86.0 83.3
Aaron Keykal - 14 26.2 7.6 5.7 1.4 0.9 0.4 1.5 6.5 8.0 -29 -1.6 -7.2 47.3 0.0 57.1 -1.98 49.8 47.3
Jayden Brown - 18 21.4 6.8 3.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.6 7.1 3.8 -99 -3.0 -175.1 34.6 21.1 81.5 -1.73 43.9 39.4
Michael Makiej - 16 13.6 6.8 2.8 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.6 5.1 4.9 21 1.4 10.8 47.6 44.4 66.7 1.84 57.5 54.9
Wellbi Perez Valera - 2 15.8 6.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 6.5 4.0 12 6.0 230.4 38.5 0.0 75.0 0.67 44.0 38.5
Xavier Lewis - 1 33.7 6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 43 1.7 9.8 20.0 20.0 50.0 -0.35 27.6 25.0
Dante Kikuba - 1 26.9 6.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 -94 -5.9 -37.7 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.06 43.6 41.7
Hayden Kloos - 17 19.5 5.6 4.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 4.5 6.2 -155 -7.4 -42.6 47.4 40.5 61.5 -0.05 58.1 57.2
Conner Barney - 7 9.1 4.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.0 2.7 9 1.8 29.9 52.4 44.4 66.7 0.78 64.1 61.9
Nebiyu Teklemariam - 17 12.7 4.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 4.4 2.3 -64 -3.0 -35.8 37.3 32.4 53.8 -0.95 46.5 45.3
Wil Martinez - 16 19.2 4.1 2.7 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.6 4.4 4.4 51 3.4 19.8 36.6 32.4 28.6 1.5 44.5 45.1
Jordan Lyon - 1 8.8 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 69.4 75.0
Drelyn Jones - 14 16.8 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 4.4 2.7 -36 -2.2 -20.9 29.5 22.2 80.0 -1.21 39.9 34.4
Damani Williams - 6 7.7 3.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 3.0 0.8 31 3.4 92.7 27.8 23.1 80.0 -0.6 46.9 36.1
Lorenzo Washington - 1 40.0 3.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 -34 -3.8 -36.4 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.55 31.5 0.0
Fallou Koite - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -51 -3.9 -23.4 50.0 50.0 0 -1.38 75.0 75.0
Makyle Hayes - 1 13.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -39 -3.2 -80.8 100.0 0 50.0 -0.9 79.8 100.0
Ja'Quin Taylor - 1 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 8 1.0 12.6 50.0 50.0 0 1.63 75.0 75.0
Paul Harris - 14 13.1 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 3.4 1.0 -63 -3.5 -33.7 29.2 12.5 37.5 -0.05 31.8 30.2
Steven Jean-Louis - 9 10.0 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.6 1.7 -3 -1.0 -9.6 30.4 33.3 36.4 -0.19 35.9 34.8
Drey Wisdom - 6 6.7 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.3 0.3 - - - 35.7 20.0 100.0 - 43.7 39.3
Ben Raymond - 13 14.2 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.6 2.1 2.5 -5 -0.5 -18.3 40.7 0.0 66.7 0.38 43.9 40.7
Nelson Obarisiagbon - 13 8.6 1.8 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.4 3.5 46 3.5 36.1 50.0 0 71.4 1.87 54.6 50.0
Juan Diaz Beltres - 7 7.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.0 6 0.8 26.0 41.7 0.0 66.7 0.18 45.0 41.7
Kobe Karels - 13 12.0 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.7 -19 -1.7 -65.7 28.6 14.3 57.1 0.59 37.4 33.3
Batuhan Goktas - 8 6.0 1.4 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 0.8 20 6.7 67.8 21.4 25.0 66.7 -1.93 33.1 25.0
Anthony D'Itria - 9 4.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.2 21 2.6 26.9 25.0 25.0 33.3 0.66 34.2 33.3
Owen Larsen - 6 6.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.0 -34 -5.7 -165.2 20.0 0.0 0 1.03 20.0 20.0
Ian Larsen - 5 4.9 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Benjamin Eshun - 1 7.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
French Biltcliffe - 4 2.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.05 0.0 0.0
Jeremiah Simeon - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.6 -8.1 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0
Tyriek Williams - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -13 -1.6 -11.0 0.0 0 0 -1.9 0.0 0.0
Darian Barksdale - 1 10.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -4 -1.0 -57.1 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0
Ayato Tokunaga - 1 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.3 8.1 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Jamaal McConnell - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -46 -9.2 -43.0 0 0 0 -1.76 0 0
Jacob Belsanti - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 1.0 14.3 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
Isiah Alexander - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 2.7 147.7 0 0 0 0.38 0 0
Kai Penney - 1 7.7 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2 2.0 10.5 0 0 0 0.78 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG