Salem St.
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1020 (#156) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1060 (#125) | HCA +62 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1020 (#136) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.7 (#198) | HCA +1.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.1 (#203) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.495 (#172) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.528 (#154) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.499 (#173) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1053 (#132) | RD 216 | GP 1 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Emerson | L | 74 - 87 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.