Salem (NC)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 880 (#429) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 776 (#544) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 847 (#654) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -29.2 (#392) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#553) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.067 (#653) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.101 (#487) | NetEff -13.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.004 (#692) | AdjNet -47.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.003 (#687) | AdjNet -48.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.057 (#694) | AdjO 48.4 | AdjD 79.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.245 (#639) | AdjO 52.8 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.174 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.178 (#625) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 811 (#480) | RD 85 | GP 33 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Elms | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Regent | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Suffolk | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | JWU Charlotte | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Pfeiffer | L | 53 - 76 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Gordon | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Mid-Atlantic Christ. | W | 87 - 22 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Nichols | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | WPI | L | 48 - 83 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | JWU (Providence) | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Emerson | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Endicott | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Methodist | L | 41 - 51 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Meredith | L | 36 - 42 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lasell | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Methodist | L | 42 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Brevard | L | 46 - 98 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 67 - 34 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Mary Baldwin | L | 41 - 63 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | William Peace | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Brevard | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Greensboro | L | 68 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Pedroza | - | 1 | 39.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 52.8 | 45.5 |
| Ernidia Goncalves | - | 15 | 31.2 | 12.7 | 11.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 13.6 | 84 | 5.6 | 22.6 | 34.3 | 14.3 | 62.7 | 2.27 | 40.2 | 34.6 |
| Nicole Hester | - | 14 | 32.6 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 11.1 | -198 | -14.1 | -108.6 | 40.6 | 0 | 52.5 | -0.16 | 43.4 | 40.6 |
| Lauren Ringwood | - | 14 | 26.6 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 11.1 | 3.0 | -75 | -5.4 | -54.8 | 34.2 | 10.0 | 65.6 | 1.16 | 41.2 | 35.2 |
| Sunali Carter | - | 15 | 23.0 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 3.7 | -38 | -2.7 | -19.6 | 37.7 | 36.7 | 42.9 | -2.96 | 45.4 | 45.1 |
| Maria Orfanos | - | 15 | 28.4 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 45 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 30.3 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 1.24 | 38.9 | 34.5 |
| Yamilette Guerrero | - | 15 | 28.3 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 7.1 | 10.4 | 16 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 38.3 | 29.0 | 57.1 | -2.03 | 45.8 | 42.5 |
| Amy Velediaz-Pedroza | - | 14 | 35.6 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 5.2 | 11.1 | 1.0 | -241 | -16.1 | -126.2 | 16.7 | 13.7 | 73.6 | 0.41 | 28.2 | 19.9 |
| Anayah Noell | - | 10 | 25.1 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 0.5 | -123 | -12.3 | -220.1 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 63.2 | -4.62 | 30.0 | 26.7 |
| Kylie Schrock | - | 15 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 37 | 2.5 | 11.3 | 36.1 | 14.3 | 67.4 | 0.79 | 43.6 | 37.1 |
| Catherine Jordan Cano | - | 14 | 23.9 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 3.9 | -163 | -10.2 | -103.4 | 36.5 | 31.2 | 57.7 | -1.11 | 45.1 | 42.4 |
| Amayah McConney | - | 15 | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 9 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 61.1 | -0.68 | 37.8 | 35.7 |
| Cristina Battistini | - | 15 | 26.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 4.5 | -132 | -8.8 | -96.0 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.22 | 38.3 | 26.7 |
| Shakera Fullenwilder | - | 15 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 48 | 3.2 | 20.8 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 60.6 | 0.75 | 46.4 | 41.3 |
| Triana Smallwood | - | 15 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 2.0 | -170 | -13.1 | -174.7 | 31.9 | 24.1 | 56.2 | -1.49 | 39.5 | 37.0 |
| Catherine Jordan Can | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Destiny Alce | - | 13 | 14.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 46 | 3.8 | 50.3 | 33.3 | 34.6 | 33.3 | -0.52 | 41.3 | 41.7 |
| Tyla Whitehead | - | 10 | 17.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | -49 | -4.9 | -464.8 | 25.5 | 0.0 | 52.4 | -1.11 | 31.1 | 25.5 |
| Jade Ware | - | 2 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Lamia Ashley | - | 14 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 53.3 | 0 | 55.6 | -2.78 | 54.5 | 53.3 |
| Lauren Wilson | - | 9 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 26 | 2.4 | 30.2 | 41.2 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 2.79 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Keniya Waring | - | 10 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | -69 | -7.7 | -244.2 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -0.24 | 29.4 | 22.2 |
| Van Nguyen | - | 10 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 23.8 | 23.5 | 75.0 | - | 37.3 | 33.3 |
| Morgan Reynolds | - | 5 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | -0.2 | 17 | 4.2 | 76.0 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.07 | 20.2 | 22.2 |
| Keisha Perez-Vazquez | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 26 | 13.0 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.22 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Alison George | - | 1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marisa Boccelli | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maggy Sarnacki | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -1.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG