🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Michael's

Also known as: Saint Michael's
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1144 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1044 (#184) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.3 (#131) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#47) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.799 (#311) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.7 More → 0.812 (#114) NetEff +10.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.6 More → 0.751 (#294) AdjNet +9.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.710 (#310) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.7 More → 0.771 (#283) AdjNet +9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.712 (#310) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 64.7 More → 0.761 (#197) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 64.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.599 (#301) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 57.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Otterbein L 60 - 70
2024-11-09 @ Baldwin Wallace L 49 - 75
2024-11-16 vs Marietta L 50 - 61
2024-11-20 @ Chatham L 60 - 72
2024-11-23 @ Thiel W 84 - 42
2024-11-26 vs Franciscan W 104 - 60
2024-11-30 @ Simpson W 76 - 69
2024-12-07 vs Geneva W 97 - 70
2024-12-15 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 41 - 65
2024-12-19 @ Westminster (PA) W 78 - 39
2024-12-29 vs SUNY Canton W 81 - 54
2024-12-30 @ Redlands L 53 - 64
2025-01-03 @ Russell Sage W 74 - 55
2025-01-04 vs Hamline W 47 - 44
2025-01-04 vs Waynesburg W 76 - 66
2025-01-07 @ New England Col. W 71 - 64
2025-01-08 @ Bethany (WV) W 86 - 79
2025-01-08 vs Bethel (MN) L 69 - 78
2025-01-11 @ St. Catherine L 65 - 70
2025-01-11 vs Norwich W 68 - 29
2025-01-11 vs Allegheny W 76 - 61
2025-01-15 vs Chatham L 62 - 73
2025-01-15 @ Concordia-M'head L 68 - 80
2025-01-15 @ Anna Maria W 75 - 55
2025-01-18 vs Rivier W 72 - 60
2025-01-18 @ Grove City L 47 - 59
2025-01-18 vs St. Scholastica L 51 - 74
2025-01-21 @ Emmanuel (MA) L 67 - 78
2025-01-22 @ Franciscan W 97 - 48
2025-01-22 @ Augsburg W 63 - 44
2025-01-25 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 73 - 64
2025-01-25 vs Thiel W 98 - 34
2025-01-25 @ Regis (MA) W 76 - 55
2025-01-29 vs Mitchell W 77 - 38
2025-01-29 @ St. Olaf W 63 - 52
2025-02-01 @ Geneva W 76 - 73
2025-02-01 @ Carleton W 65 - 60
2025-02-02 vs Williams L 65 - 73
2025-02-04 vs Dean W 98 - 44
2025-02-05 vs Westminster (PA) W 63 - 56
2025-02-05 @ St. Scholastica W 84 - 53
2025-02-08 @ Albertus Magnus L 73 - 90
2025-02-08 vs Wash. & Jeff. L 36 - 53
2025-02-08 vs Concordia-M'head L 73 - 83
2025-02-12 vs JWU (Providence) L 64 - 69
2025-02-12 @ Waynesburg L 50 - 61
2025-02-12 vs Macalester W 69 - 58
2025-02-15 vs Elms W 77 - 38
2025-02-15 @ Allegheny L 54 - 66
2025-02-15 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 62 - 73
2025-02-18 @ Lasell W 68 - 54
2025-02-19 vs Bethany (WV) L 47 - 55
2025-02-19 vs Augsburg W 75 - 58
2025-02-22 vs Grove City W 57 - 52
2025-02-22 @ Colby-Sawyer W 97 - 61
2025-02-22 @ Bethel (MN) L 66 - 78
2025-02-25 @ Grove City L 38 - 58
2025-02-25 @ Concordia-M'head W 68 - 64
2025-02-25 vs Rivier W 93 - 84
2025-02-27 @ Bethel (MN) L 50 - 79
2025-02-27 @ JWU (Providence) W 89 - 73
2025-03-01 @ St. Joseph's (ME) W 66 - 59
2025-03-07 @ Johns Hopkins L 50 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Ouellette - 19 31.2 19.7 7.9 1.7 0.6 0.7 2.1 15.4 13.1 -25 -0.9 -0.8 57.3 0.0 74.5 0.11 59.3 57.3
Maya Slisz - 19 31.1 15.1 5.0 4.7 1.4 0.1 3.4 12.3 10.5 -39 -1.3 -1.3 41.5 32.8 83.7 -0.09 52.6 45.7
Taylor Verboven - 19 31.3 14.7 5.9 2.8 1.3 0.1 2.7 12.5 9.6 -11 -0.4 -0.3 49.6 0.0 62.0 0.19 52.0 49.6
Sophia Jonas - 18 32.3 13.1 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.1 1.2 12.4 5.8 -48 -1.8 -2.0 36.2 32.1 74.2 -0.42 49.7 47.5
Lauren Arnold - 18 28.8 10.9 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.4 2.7 7.9 7.3 10 0.3 0.3 51.4 33.3 86.4 0.16 61.0 56.0
Megan Morgan - 18 30.8 10.9 4.9 2.9 0.8 0.3 2.1 9.3 8.6 -54 -2.0 -1.7 35.9 29.6 82.4 -0.0 50.0 42.2
Makenna Maier - 26 26.6 10.8 8.3 1.7 1.0 0.6 1.8 8.9 11.7 48 1.4 1.6 40.3 30.4 88.3 0.31 54.4 49.1
Camdon Bashor - 26 28.8 10.0 5.9 1.8 1.1 1.9 1.7 8.0 11.1 25 0.7 0.9 49.3 40.0 75.3 0.17 54.6 49.8
Emily Thompson - 26 25.5 9.8 3.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.9 12.0 2.0 -46 -1.8 -2.5 31.9 25.2 69.0 -0.73 38.6 36.3
Olivia Boily - 18 25.4 9.4 3.7 0.6 1.0 0.4 1.1 8.8 5.2 -40 -1.5 -1.6 47.5 0.0 50.0 0.28 48.4 47.5
Reese Gadsby - 26 23.0 8.3 4.2 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.2 9.5 3.3 3 0.1 0.1 32.9 27.5 74.5 -0.66 40.5 36.8
Kira Young - 18 28.3 8.2 7.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 1.1 7.3 9.9 -27 -0.8 -1.0 44.3 29.0 71.9 -0.29 51.0 47.7
Tatum Findley - 16 16.4 6.3 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.8 4.5 3.5 -4 -0.2 -0.3 41.7 31.2 73.5 -0.04 54.0 45.1
Olivia Heslin - 17 23.5 5.9 6.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 4.2 8.5 24 0.9 1.3 40.3 0 80.8 0.27 52.7 40.3
Danielle Pontius - 26 21.8 5.5 2.0 2.2 0.5 0.1 1.5 6.1 2.7 60 1.7 2.4 30.2 30.8 71.1 0.75 40.3 35.2
Maci Dorantes - 19 13.7 4.7 2.6 0.9 1.1 0.2 1.4 3.2 4.9 -53 -1.8 -3.4 50.0 0 78.9 -0.18 58.7 50.0
Jillian Mannarino - 22 13.9 4.7 2.0 1.1 1.3 0.5 1.4 4.9 3.3 - - - 37.4 24.4 68.4 - 44.6 42.1
Brooke Evans - 26 20.1 4.5 5.1 2.7 1.5 0.5 1.7 3.7 8.9 54 1.6 2.2 48.4 50.0 56.4 1.0 52.2 50.0
Jelly Frigo - 19 20.5 4.3 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 1.5 4.3 3.6 -34 -1.2 -2.2 35.8 34.0 100.0 -0.11 48.8 46.3
Sofia Baldessari - 7 12.3 4.3 3.3 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.3 4.7 2.3 -11 -0.9 -1.3 36.4 0.0 50.0 -0.04 39.2 36.4
Sequoia turcotte Bri - 1 13.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Ashley Lippold - 24 9.3 3.4 2.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.2 3.9 1.4 -30 -1.5 -3.2 39.8 23.1 41.7 -0.66 41.7 41.4
Emerson Peffer - 25 8.8 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 3.0 2.9 -28 -1.0 -2.0 48.7 0 42.1 0.28 48.6 48.7
Megan Driste - 18 13.8 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 3.5 2.2 24 0.9 1.3 28.6 26.5 66.7 -0.01 40.4 38.9
Janai Oliver - 19 6.5 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.8 3.8 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 58.3 0.05 53.9 50.0
Kate Bollinger - 25 5.9 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 7 0.4 1.5 53.3 0 70.0 -0.13 57.6 53.3
Nevaeh Yorke - 19 17.4 2.3 3.2 1.9 1.7 0.1 1.8 2.5 4.8 35 0.9 1.2 37.5 0 43.8 0.14 39.1 37.5
Janay Rissmiller - 12 9.2 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.2 -2 -0.1 -0.2 47.6 20.0 37.5 -0.18 48.9 50.0
Daichelle san Nicola - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Emily Crandall - 18 11.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.7 1.4 -34 -1.4 -2.3 41.9 40.0 100.0 -0.63 53.3 51.6
Kayla Sharman - 25 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 -4 -0.2 -2.7 44.8 40.0 50.0 -0.09 58.5 58.6
Ella Kulas - 17 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 -86 -4.5 -10.4 43.8 0 50.0 -0.47 45.0 43.8
Ella Beeler - 17 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 12 0.9 2.6 57.1 75.0 100.0 0.21 82.5 78.6
Bethany Smith - 25 1.8 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 31 1.1 0.9 37.5 0 100.0 -0.55 43.3 37.5
Rachel Tallion - 22 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
Morgan Chmielewski - 6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 104.2 100.0
Daichelle San Nicolas - 15 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.1 -31 -5.2 -18.2 14.3 0 100.0 -0.48 25.4 14.3
Julia Olson - 13 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Madison Hertzler - 25 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 - - - 37.5 20.0 0 - 43.8 43.8
Emiah Soto - 18 5.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 -0.3 24 1.7 10.9 8.0 0 0 0.4 8.0 8.0
Emily Glass - 25 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ava Baeslach - 25 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 25.0 0 100.0 - 47.0 25.0
Olivia Yancy - 26 2.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.1 16 0.8 2.1 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.95 15.1 15.8
Samantha Straub - 25 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -2 -0.3 -1.5 100.0 0 0 -0.06 100.0 100.0
Alyssa Sadlovsky - 16 1.6 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 22 1.0 2.8 25.0 0.0 0 0.23 25.0 25.0
Loucie Jean - 17 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2 0.2 2.0 25.0 0 0.0 -0.05 17.4 25.0
Cara Dupilka - 25 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3
Evie Schmitz - 17 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 46 2.2 4.5 20.0 0.0 0 0.44 20.0 20.0
Trinity Cruz - 8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -4 -0.3 -0.6 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
Gjamory'a Mctier - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -39 -1.6 -4.3 0.0 0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0
Taigan Parent - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sequoia turcotte Briggs - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -66 -1.8 -3.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.85 0.0 0.0
Cadence Smith - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.3 -0.3 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
Cailtyn Cooley - 23 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Diana Mosten - 22 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emily Gates - 14 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lauren Schultz - 16 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cora Beeler - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kristen Hilbert - 17 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.32 0.0 0.0
Margaret Silgen - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Natalie Gates - 15 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ Johnson - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 163 4.7 6.7 0 0 0 0.78 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG