Saint Michael's
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 946 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 982 (#184) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.3 (#219) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.318 (#434) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.522 (#217) | NetEff +0.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.223 (#507) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.230 (#507) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.373 (#484) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 65.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Bloomfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Post | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | FDU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Caldwell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Furch | - | 21 | 32.6 | 11.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 34.2 | 28.1 | 63.6 | 0.07 | 42.2 | 40.6 |
| Jayla Tyler | - | 21 | 26.9 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 12.4 | 63 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 49.0 | 33.3 | 65.3 | 0.38 | 55.5 | 50.0 |
| Bella Franchi | - | 21 | 30.8 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 22 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 48.5 | 0.18 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Ashlee Talbot | - | 20 | 24.9 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 34 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 37.9 | 34.1 | 67.7 | -0.17 | 46.2 | 43.2 |
| Margaret Montplaisir | - | 21 | 17.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 74 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 33.6 | 30.1 | 85.7 | 0.55 | 44.8 | 42.5 |
| Ruby Santos | - | 21 | 24.6 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 33 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 38.8 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 0.09 | 45.7 | 42.2 |
| Makayla Blake | - | 19 | 21.2 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 40.2 | 27.8 | 76.5 | 0.04 | 45.7 | 42.6 |
| Amber Furch | - | 11 | 17.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 23.1 | 9.7 | 90.0 | -0.09 | 34.6 | 25.4 |
| Molly Brophy | - | 8 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 77 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 52.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.33 | 65.1 | 61.8 |
| Kelli Cieplicki | - | 20 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 14 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 45.7 | 42.9 |
| Julie Lyden | - | 21 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 13 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Ava MacDonough | - | 8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.11 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
| Hannah Polumbo | - | 21 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG