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Saint Michael's

Also known as: Saint Michael's
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 946 (#277) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 982 (#184) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.3 (#219) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.318 (#434) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.6 More → 0.522 (#217) NetEff +0.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.223 (#507) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.230 (#507) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.373 (#484) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 65.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Bloomfield W 83 - 57
2024-11-09 vs Post W 76 - 49
2024-11-13 vs Southern Conn. St. L 65 - 77
2024-11-16 @ D'Youville W 58 - 56
2024-11-17 @ Daemen L 49 - 67
2024-11-20 @ Saint Anselm L 55 - 57
2024-11-26 @ Southern N.H. L 59 - 85
2024-12-04 vs Assumption W 63 - 61
2024-12-07 @ Pace L 51 - 59
2024-12-19 @ FDU L 52 - 91
2024-12-21 vs Caldwell L 62 - 66
2025-01-02 @ American Int'l L 55 - 56
2025-01-05 vs Adelphi W 47 - 43
2025-01-08 @ Bentley L 56 - 85
2025-01-11 vs Franklin Pierce L 43 - 61
2025-01-18 @ New Haven L 49 - 56
2025-01-22 vs Southern N.H. W 54 - 42
2025-01-25 vs Pace W 50 - 47
2025-01-28 vs American Int'l W 74 - 66
2025-02-01 @ Southern Conn. St. W 80 - 79
2025-02-05 @ Assumption L 43 - 49
2025-02-08 @ Franklin Pierce W 67 - 45
2025-02-11 vs Saint Anselm W 48 - 47

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brianna Furch - 23 32.3 11.8 2.8 1.9 2.0 0.1 2.1 13.2 3.3 2 0.1 0.1 34.0 28.9 64.9 0.07 42.4 40.8
Jayla Tyler - 23 26.8 10.0 8.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.3 12.0 63 1.8 1.9 49.1 30.0 65.3 0.38 55.0 50.0
Bella Franchi - 23 31.0 7.8 4.0 2.1 1.3 0.4 2.6 8.7 4.3 22 0.6 0.7 35.7 27.3 48.5 0.18 41.9 41.0
Ashlee Talbot - 22 25.2 7.1 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.5 34 1.0 1.2 38.1 34.0 65.6 -0.17 46.1 43.5
Margaret Montplaisir - 23 17.9 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.9 6.7 2.8 74 2.1 3.2 32.7 28.9 85.7 0.55 43.4 41.2
Ruby Santos - 23 24.7 5.8 7.2 1.5 1.1 0.6 2.1 5.6 8.5 33 0.9 1.2 38.3 20.9 61.9 0.09 45.4 41.8
Makayla Blake - 21 21.4 5.3 4.0 1.2 0.4 0.2 2.1 5.4 3.6 3 0.1 0.2 40.4 25.0 78.9 0.04 45.8 42.5
Amber Furch - 11 17.0 4.6 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.4 5.9 0.0 13 0.7 0.9 23.1 9.7 90.0 -0.09 34.6 25.4
Molly Brophy - 8 8.1 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.1 2.1 3.1 77 5.5 6.4 52.9 50.0 66.7 0.33 65.1 61.8
Kelli Cieplicki - 22 4.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 14 0.9 2.7 39.1 28.6 100.0 0.13 50.3 47.8
Julie Lyden - 23 4.7 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 13 0.7 2.6 27.8 0.0 0 -0.02 27.8 27.8
Ava MacDonough - 8 3.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9 0.7 2.0 0.0 0 75.0 -0.11 54.3 0.0
Hannah Polumbo - 22 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG