Saint Michael's
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1118 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1145 (#41) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.7 (#250) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.517 (#326) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.275 (#327) | NetEff -8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.554 (#392) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.553 (#394) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.519 (#407) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 75.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Caldwell | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Bloomfield | L | 86 - 92 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Assumption | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 69 - 95 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Pace | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Bridgeport | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Mercy | W | 94 - 84 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Daemen | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | American Int'l | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Adelphi | L | 50 - 74 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bentley | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 82 - 60 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Pace | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | American Int'l | W | 88 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Crews | - | 20 | 31.4 | 15.5 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 13.2 | 8.1 | - | - | - | - | 35.1 | 34.0 | 76.9 | - | 50.8 | 45.3 |
| Alan Brzezinski | - | 13 | 26.3 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 8.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.7 | 37.5 | 90.5 | - | 61.1 | 54.8 |
| Jacob Duniver | - | 12 | 28.2 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.6 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 37.9 | 37.7 | 80.0 | - | 53.5 | 51.9 |
| Rico Byrd | - | 20 | 30.1 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 5.7 | - | - | - | - | 42.2 | 33.3 | 64.6 | - | 50.2 | 47.3 |
| Nolan Marold | - | 20 | 23.9 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 11.1 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 77.4 | - | 64.4 | 55.6 |
| Greg Kenney | - | 20 | 18.8 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 28.9 | 81.6 | - | 46.5 | 39.4 |
| Abdur-Rahman De Leon | - | 20 | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.0 | 32.8 | 79.2 | - | 46.2 | 42.2 |
| Marcus Meeks | - | 13 | 14.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 12.5 | 44.4 | - | 55.4 | 56.5 |
| TJ Henaghen | - | 20 | 14.6 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 34.3 | 19.2 | 47.1 | - | 40.4 | 39.4 |
| Sebastian Andersson | - | 19 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 48.8 | 48.0 |
| Eddie Fisher | - | 19 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 51.0 | 45.0 |
| Kingsley Breen | - | 9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Darrel Yepdo | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Geng | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tay Dzingou | - | 19 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG