Saint Mary's (MN)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1068 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1162 (#50) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.4 (#105) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.303 (#538) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.296 (#298) | NetEff -6.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.517 (#377) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.509 (#377) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#372) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Coe | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Saint Benedict | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2024-12-28 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 53 - 83 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | McMurry | L | 50 - 64 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Trine | L | 44 - 78 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Wilson | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Concordia-M'head | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Augsburg | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Rosemont | W | 82 - 22 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Alma | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Carleton | W | 75 - 39 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Valley Forge | W | 96 - 47 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Olivet | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 41 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Adrian | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Macalester | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Albion | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | St. Olaf | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Saint Benedict | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Calvin | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Hamline | L | 38 - 64 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Bethel (MN) | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Trine | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Wilson | W | 83 - 47 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Cedar Crest | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Rosemont | W | 76 - 45 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 39 - 73 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Hope | L | 41 - 79 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | St. Scholastica | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Augsburg | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Olivet | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 77 - 53 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Alma | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lancaster Bible | W | 65 - 42 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Carleton | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | St. Olaf | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Albion | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Adrian | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Macalester | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Bryn Athyn | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Hamline | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 70 - 71 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Schutz | - | 14 | 27.6 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 14.0 | 10.2 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 41.8 | 26.9 | 57.8 | -0.08 | 49.5 | 46.4 |
| Brianna Nusbaum | - | 20 | 31.8 | 14.4 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 12.1 | 9.3 | -104 | -3.0 | -3.0 | 45.6 | 30.8 | 77.4 | 0.0 | 54.7 | 51.5 |
| Kate Restovich | - | 14 | 32.4 | 13.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 10.6 | 7.6 | 23 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 33.6 | 38.2 | 88.2 | -0.05 | 51.5 | 40.6 |
| Samantha Blaylock | - | 16 | 23.5 | 12.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 5.7 | 122 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 45.7 | 38.1 | 90.0 | 0.86 | 60.6 | 59.5 |
| Rylie Sternquist | - | 20 | 31.4 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 7.8 | -47 | -1.3 | -1.6 | 43.1 | 30.1 | 78.2 | 0.33 | 52.8 | 48.5 |
| Olivia Liszt | - | 16 | 26.8 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 63 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 46.5 | 31.6 | 77.4 | 0.53 | 55.0 | 52.2 |
| Keira Mason | - | 16 | 22.9 | 11.8 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 9.4 | 13.1 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -0.02 | 49.5 | 43.7 |
| Kali Olson | - | 20 | 22.3 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 6.5 | 11.2 | -167 | -4.8 | -6.3 | 48.5 | 33.3 | 67.8 | -0.35 | 53.5 | 48.8 |
| Julia Koch | - | 20 | 30.0 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 4.8 | -76 | -2.3 | -2.7 | 39.3 | 26.9 | 75.0 | 0.59 | 50.2 | 45.5 |
| Tramarie Mobray | - | 16 | 22.5 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 7.8 | -11 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 0.11 | 43.2 | 40.0 |
| Lindsey Lettner | - | 20 | 28.6 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 1.6 | -88 | -2.5 | -3.2 | 28.2 | 29.6 | 71.4 | 0.36 | 39.9 | 37.5 |
| Marley Saunders | - | 16 | 17.1 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 40 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 31.2 | 27.5 | 61.5 | 0.49 | 42.5 | 41.1 |
| Annie Restovich | - | 11 | 19.9 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 37 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 33.8 | 34.5 | 62.5 | -0.27 | 49.6 | 48.5 |
| Tessa Mcmahon | - | 2 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -24 | -1.5 | -4.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -0.35 | 63.7 | 58.3 |
| Lauren Gumma | - | 14 | 20.1 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 43.9 | 47.5 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 62.5 | 60.5 |
| Ella Notaro | - | 14 | 22.0 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 49 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 34.7 | 9.1 | 83.3 | -0.13 | 42.7 | 35.3 |
| Saffiyah Gibson | - | 13 | 15.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 52 | 2.4 | 6.6 | 32.9 | 6.7 | 53.3 | -0.17 | 37.6 | 33.6 |
| Kate Passinault | - | 14 | 20.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 4.4 | -20 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 30.5 | 20.8 | 63.0 | -0.18 | 38.3 | 33.5 |
| Nicole Connolly | - | 14 | 27.4 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 2.7 | -25 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 29.6 | 25.6 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
| Sidney Shaw | - | 16 | 18.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 87 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 40.9 | 31.6 | 46.2 | 0.62 | 46.0 | 45.5 |
| Ji-Young Hartman | - | 16 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 48.8 | 43.5 | 50.0 | - | 60.8 | 61.0 |
| Emma Mann | - | 20 | 13.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -113 | -3.5 | -7.2 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 90.9 | 0.04 | 60.2 | 55.6 |
| Rayna Miller | - | 16 | 19.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.6 | -37 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 24.1 | 0.0 | 73.1 | -1.01 | 33.8 | 24.1 |
| Alyssa Coleman | - | 19 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 40.4 | 50.0 | 55.2 | -0.03 | 46.0 | 41.5 |
| Halimah Hajhassan | - | 16 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 43 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.38 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Breacia Carter | - | 15 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | -26 | -1.4 | -4.1 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.35 | 46.2 | 45.0 |
| Samantha Miller | - | 16 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 15 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 39.4 | 15.4 | 45.5 | -1.34 | 43.6 | 42.4 |
| Avery Schiesser | - | 14 | 13.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.06 | 54.3 | 57.1 |
| Victoria Marial | - | 19 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 47.6 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.22 | 44.4 | 47.6 |
| Alyssa Matuza | - | 13 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 22 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 31.6 | 12.5 | 0 | 0.16 | 34.2 | 34.2 |
| Kori Dues | - | 12 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 15 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 15.4 | 0 | 0.39 | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| Skylar Kaplan | - | 16 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 43.5 | 40.0 |
| Maggie Newhouse | - | 19 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -0.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 16.7 | 21.4 | 60.0 | -0.11 | 29.7 | 25.0 |
| Kathleen Martin | - | 12 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Jaiden Thompson | - | 17 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 31.3 | 27.3 |
| Kristin Sabatini | - | 16 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.9 | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.19 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Maeve Lundt | - | 12 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Casey Beck | - | 19 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Grace King | - | 20 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -86 | -3.9 | -3.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.07 | 7.2 | 7.7 |
| Josey Cook | - | 15 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 |
| Makenna Moran | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -0.8 | -5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Maria Stevens | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -13 | -1.0 | -5.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Hedrick | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG