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Saint Mary's (MN)

Also known as: Saint Mary's (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1068 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1162 (#50) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +7.4 (#105) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.303 (#538) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.9 More → 0.296 (#298) NetEff -6.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.517 (#377) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.509 (#377) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.501 (#372) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-17 @ Coe L 69 - 76
2024-12-10 vs Saint Benedict L 62 - 68
2024-12-28 @ Hardin-Simmons L 53 - 83
2024-12-29 @ McMurry L 50 - 64
2025-01-04 vs Trine L 44 - 78
2025-01-04 @ Wilson W 76 - 68
2025-01-04 @ Concordia-M'head W 63 - 58
2025-01-08 @ Augsburg W 70 - 65
2025-01-08 vs Rosemont W 82 - 22
2025-01-08 @ Kalamazoo W 65 - 54
2025-01-11 vs Alma L 61 - 75
2025-01-11 @ Penn St.-Berks W 78 - 58
2025-01-11 vs Carleton W 75 - 39
2025-01-14 @ Valley Forge W 96 - 47
2025-01-15 @ Olivet L 52 - 54
2025-01-15 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 41 - 71
2025-01-18 @ Adrian L 57 - 70
2025-01-18 vs Lancaster Bible W 65 - 57
2025-01-18 @ Macalester W 67 - 54
2025-01-22 vs Gallaudet L 54 - 61
2025-01-22 @ Albion L 53 - 54
2025-01-22 vs St. Olaf W 71 - 54
2025-01-25 @ Saint Benedict L 64 - 73
2025-01-25 vs Calvin L 47 - 66
2025-01-28 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 54 - 51
2025-01-29 @ Hamline L 38 - 64
2025-02-01 vs Bethel (MN) L 55 - 60
2025-02-01 @ Trine L 61 - 81
2025-02-01 vs Wilson W 83 - 47
2025-02-04 @ Cedar Crest W 56 - 54
2025-02-05 @ Rosemont W 76 - 45
2025-02-05 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 39 - 73
2025-02-05 vs Hope L 41 - 79
2025-02-08 vs Kalamazoo L 73 - 83
2025-02-08 vs Penn St.-Berks W 72 - 52
2025-02-08 vs St. Scholastica W 71 - 62
2025-02-12 vs Augsburg W 79 - 58
2025-02-12 vs Olivet W 65 - 57
2025-02-13 vs Valley Forge W 77 - 53
2025-02-15 @ Alma W 66 - 62
2025-02-15 @ Lancaster Bible W 65 - 42
2025-02-15 @ Carleton W 59 - 53
2025-02-19 @ St. Olaf W 66 - 49
2025-02-19 vs Albion L 65 - 69
2025-02-22 vs Adrian L 71 - 82
2025-02-22 vs Macalester W 67 - 58
2025-02-22 vs Saint Elizabeth W 64 - 63
2025-02-25 vs Bryn Athyn W 54 - 46
2025-02-25 @ Hamline L 61 - 73
2025-03-01 vs Gallaudet L 70 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Julia Schutz - 14 27.6 16.4 6.0 2.4 1.1 1.1 2.7 14.0 10.2 -5 -0.2 -0.2 41.8 26.9 57.8 -0.08 49.5 46.4
Brianna Nusbaum - 20 31.8 14.4 4.0 2.8 2.8 0.1 2.7 12.1 9.3 -104 -3.0 -3.0 45.6 30.8 77.4 0.0 54.7 51.5
Kate Restovich - 14 32.4 13.4 3.6 2.7 2.0 0.0 3.6 10.6 7.6 23 0.7 0.7 33.6 38.2 88.2 -0.05 51.5 40.6
Samantha Blaylock - 16 23.5 12.8 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 10.2 5.7 122 3.3 5.0 45.7 38.1 90.0 0.86 60.6 59.5
Rylie Sternquist - 20 31.4 12.1 5.1 1.8 1.1 0.1 2.1 10.2 7.8 -47 -1.3 -1.6 43.1 30.1 78.2 0.33 52.8 48.5
Olivia Liszt - 16 26.8 11.9 5.7 1.6 1.4 0.4 1.6 9.9 9.4 63 1.7 2.0 46.5 31.6 77.4 0.53 55.0 52.2
Keira Mason - 16 22.9 11.8 8.6 1.0 2.3 1.5 2.6 9.4 13.1 52 1.4 1.8 43.7 0.0 63.6 -0.02 49.5 43.7
Kali Olson - 20 22.3 8.3 8.8 0.8 1.1 1.0 2.3 6.5 11.2 -167 -4.8 -6.3 48.5 33.3 67.8 -0.35 53.5 48.8
Julia Koch - 20 30.0 8.2 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 2.3 7.2 4.8 -76 -2.3 -2.7 39.3 26.9 75.0 0.59 50.2 45.5
Tramarie Mobray - 16 22.5 7.1 4.7 3.5 2.2 0.4 3.4 6.9 7.8 -11 -0.3 -0.3 40.0 0.0 52.0 0.11 43.2 40.0
Lindsey Lettner - 20 28.6 6.6 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.8 7.8 1.6 -88 -2.5 -3.2 28.2 29.6 71.4 0.36 39.9 37.5
Marley Saunders - 16 17.1 6.2 2.6 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.9 7.0 3.8 40 1.2 2.2 31.2 27.5 61.5 0.49 42.5 41.1
Annie Restovich - 11 19.9 6.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 5.9 2.9 37 1.3 1.7 33.8 34.5 62.5 -0.27 49.6 48.5
Tessa Mcmahon - 2 19.0 5.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 -24 -1.5 -4.2 50.0 100.0 66.7 -0.35 63.7 58.3
Lauren Gumma - 14 20.1 5.3 2.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 1.8 4.1 4.2 -7 -0.3 -0.5 43.9 47.5 100.0 -0.07 62.5 60.5
Ella Notaro - 14 22.0 5.2 3.6 0.4 1.4 0.2 2.0 5.4 3.4 49 1.5 1.9 34.7 9.1 83.3 -0.13 42.7 35.3
Saffiyah Gibson - 13 15.0 5.2 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.1 2.0 5.8 1.8 52 2.4 6.6 32.9 6.7 53.3 -0.17 37.6 33.6
Kate Passinault - 14 20.9 5.1 3.9 1.6 1.4 0.2 2.0 5.9 4.4 -20 -0.6 -0.8 30.5 20.8 63.0 -0.18 38.3 33.5
Nicole Connolly - 14 27.4 4.7 2.8 0.9 1.1 0.1 1.1 5.8 2.7 -25 -0.8 -0.9 29.6 25.6 50.0 0.02 37.9 36.4
Sidney Shaw - 16 18.1 4.1 3.1 2.1 1.9 0.2 1.6 4.1 5.8 87 2.8 5.1 40.9 31.6 46.2 0.62 46.0 45.5
Ji-Young Hartman - 16 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.9 - - - 48.8 43.5 50.0 - 60.8 61.0
Emma Mann - 20 13.3 3.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.9 -113 -3.5 -7.2 44.4 33.3 90.9 0.04 60.2 55.6
Rayna Miller - 16 19.6 2.9 3.1 1.0 1.6 0.9 1.4 3.6 4.6 -37 -1.0 -1.3 24.1 0.0 73.1 -1.01 33.8 24.1
Alyssa Coleman - 19 13.5 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.7 3 0.1 0.2 40.4 50.0 55.2 -0.03 46.0 41.5
Halimah Hajhassan - 16 10.6 2.7 2.9 0.6 1.2 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 43 1.5 4.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.38 58.3 58.3
Breacia Carter - 15 9.8 2.6 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 2.7 2.3 -26 -1.4 -4.1 40.0 33.3 60.0 -0.35 46.2 45.0
Samantha Miller - 16 8.8 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 2.1 2.2 15 0.6 0.5 39.4 15.4 45.5 -1.34 43.6 42.4
Avery Schiesser - 14 13.2 1.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.0 2.2 -10 -0.4 -1.0 57.1 0.0 40.0 -0.06 54.3 57.1
Victoria Marial - 19 2.4 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 -3 -0.2 -1.1 47.6 0 16.7 -0.22 44.4 47.6
Alyssa Matuza - 13 7.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.2 22 0.8 2.8 31.6 12.5 0 0.16 34.2 34.2
Kori Dues - 12 4.9 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.1 15 0.8 5.0 20.0 15.4 0 0.39 26.7 26.7
Skylar Kaplan - 16 2.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 43.5 40.0
Maggie Newhouse - 19 2.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 -0.1 -1 -0.1 -0.3 16.7 21.4 60.0 -0.11 29.7 25.0
Kathleen Martin - 12 4.4 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 0.04 25.5 20.0
Jaiden Thompson - 17 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 18.2 25.0 50.0 0.16 31.3 27.3
Kristin Sabatini - 16 3.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 -5 -0.3 -2.9 37.5 0 50.0 -0.19 39.4 37.5
Maeve Lundt - 12 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.2 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Casey Beck - 19 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 - - - 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 36.8 40.0
Grace King - 20 2.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.2 -86 -3.9 -3.9 7.7 0.0 0.0 -0.07 7.2 7.7
Josey Cook - 15 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Makenna Moran - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -0.8 -5.3 0 0 0 -0.6 0 0
Maria Stevens - 11 2.2 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 -13 -1.0 -5.7 0.0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Hedrick - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.2 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG