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Saint Mary's (CA)

Also known as: Saint Mary's (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1047 (#128) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.8 (#128) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#105) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.218 (#480) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.1 More → 0.973 (#26) NetEff +25.1
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.1 More → 0.571 (#200) NetEff +2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +42.3 More → 0.993 (#63) AdjNet +42.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.606 (#354) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.8 More → 0.993 (#66) AdjNet +41.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.628 (#347) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6 More → 0.898 (#76) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.576 (#336) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 49 - 72
2024-11-09 @ Regis (CO) W 69 - 68
2024-11-15 @ Sul Ross St. W 74 - 68
2024-11-20 @ Texas-Dallas W 69 - 65
2024-11-25 @ UTRGV L 42 - 73
2024-11-29 vs Shippensburg L 55 - 57
2024-11-30 vs Okla. Baptist W 64 - 59
2024-12-05 vs Western N.M. W 64 - 45
2024-12-07 vs Sul Ross St. W 63 - 38
2024-12-12 @ Lubbock Christian L 43 - 71
2024-12-15 @ Midwestern St. L 56 - 61
2024-12-21 @ Tarleton St. L 31 - 64
2025-01-03 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 46 - 50
2025-01-05 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 76 - 71
2025-01-09 @ Texas Woman's L 40 - 49
2025-01-11 @ UT Tyler L 31 - 37
2025-01-16 @ Cameron W 56 - 51
2025-01-18 @ Okla. Christian W 59 - 51
2025-01-23 vs Angelo St. W 74 - 64
2025-01-25 vs UT Permian Basin L 54 - 74
2025-01-30 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 73 - 50
2025-02-01 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 48 - 57
2025-02-06 vs UT Tyler L 51 - 54
2025-02-08 vs Texas Woman's L 45 - 58
2025-02-13 vs Okla. Christian L 71 - 74
2025-02-15 vs Cameron L 62 - 68
2025-02-20 @ West Tex. A&M W 65 - 57
2025-02-22 @ Eastern N.M. L 48 - 62
2025-02-26 @ St. Edward's W 63 - 61
2025-03-01 vs St. Edward's W 60 - 57

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Christin Callens - 29 27.4 14.0 5.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 3.2 11.3 7.1 58 1.4 1.6 47.9 22.6 73.8 0.92 54.3 50.0
Imani Ivery - 30 23.0 8.3 4.5 2.0 0.9 0.5 2.3 7.1 6.8 13 0.5 0.5 42.1 31.2 65.2 0.22 51.2 47.9
Raynne Malik - 30 25.0 7.7 7.1 0.9 0.4 1.9 2.2 6.1 9.7 26 0.7 0.8 42.9 27.1 73.8 -0.11 53.2 47.3
Quezia Bertoni - 24 23.4 5.8 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.1 77 2.9 3.4 36.3 36.7 76.5 -0.05 51.3 44.2
Stina Svilberg - 30 17.0 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.4 5.1 2.3 -33 -1.2 -2.0 38.2 27.7 73.1 -0.41 46.8 44.1
Andrea Montesinos - 30 21.2 4.2 3.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 2.2 4.3 3.6 -5 -0.1 -0.2 30.8 22.9 59.1 -0.68 41.8 38.1
Tiara Louis - 30 21.2 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.0 3.2 1.4 29 0.8 1.2 28.4 33.3 70.0 -0.25 41.9 38.4
Brooke Kleinig - 29 15.3 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.3 2.7 2.3 -7 -0.2 -0.5 31.6 11.5 76.2 -0.21 39.1 33.5
Lena Newby - 30 7.5 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.4 2.1 -44 -1.3 -4.2 35.2 11.1 68.0 -0.32 42.1 36.6
Charli Graziano - 14 8.5 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.8 - - - 27.3 27.8 100.0 -0.38 49.0 38.6
Daniela Ciscar - 30 9.3 1.8 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.6 -15 -0.6 -1.7 25.9 7.7 45.5 -0.19 30.3 27.8
Sian Phipps - 28 4.9 1.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.9 1 0.0 0.2 47.9 0 29.4 -0.29 46.0 47.9
Sheridan Kavanagh - 17 5.1 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.8 -19 -1.3 -2.2 25.0 20.0 87.5 -0.37 38.1 30.4
Kaydence Menchaca - 22 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 - - - 35.3 40.0 28.6 0.2 39.8 41.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG