Saint Martin's
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1041 (#146) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#103) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1113 (#63) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.0 (#57) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.0 (#141) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.598 (#325) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.806 (#181) | NetEff +10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.860 (#242) | AdjNet +15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.832 (#262) | AdjNet +13.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.686 (#264) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 54.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.766 (#42) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 52.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.818 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1200 (#45) | RD 148 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Western Wash. | W | 56 - 48 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Simon Fraser | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | W | 68 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 67 - 47 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Travis | - | 6 | 35.3 | 14.8 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 13.2 | 86 | 3.9 | 10.7 | 36.1 | 35.0 | 88.5 | 1.69 | 53.3 | 45.8 |
| Laiken Hill | - | 6 | 36.2 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 9.8 | 8.8 | 126 | 6.3 | 15.7 | 49.2 | 46.9 | 66.7 | 1.18 | 62.7 | 61.9 |
| Avery Oaster | - | 6 | 29.9 | 11.8 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 15.3 | 85 | 4.2 | 11.8 | 49.0 | 100.0 | 67.9 | 0.85 | 56.1 | 51.0 |
| Kiana Rios | - | 6 | 28.4 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 147 | 6.7 | 21.5 | 37.9 | 31.8 | 89.5 | 1.89 | 51.2 | 44.0 |
| Harper Wagner | - | 6 | 25.6 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 99 | 4.7 | 18.2 | 34.4 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 1.63 | 45.6 | 39.1 |
| Karyss Lacanlale | - | 6 | 13.1 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 45 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 38.1 | 20.0 | 83.3 | -0.41 | 48.6 | 42.9 |
| Madelyn Brown | - | 6 | 22.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 1.06 | 36.1 | 36.0 |
| Kasey Booster | - | 6 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 34 | 3.1 | 51.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.33 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Jaylah Brown | - | 6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -38 | -2.2 | -14.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lilly Koki | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 2.2 | 29.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG