Saint Martin's
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1179 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1273 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1086 (#85) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.0 (#7) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.5 (#128) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.828 (#147) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.955 (#156) | NetEff +27.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.847 (#199) | AdjNet +14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.853 (#195) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.743 (#191) | AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 71.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.647 (#108) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.712 (#130) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.723 (#115) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1095 (#123) | RD 143 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Central Wash. | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Seattle Pacific | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Western Ore. | W | 74 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Trejo-Delgado | - | 3 | 36.5 | 24.7 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 16.0 | 20.3 | 173 | 8.7 | 35.0 | 52.1 | 50.0 | 84.0 | 0.48 | 62.7 | 55.2 |
| Miles Gurske | - | 1 | 35.1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 63 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 42.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.81 | 51.7 | 47.4 |
| Patrick Kilfoil | - | 3 | 31.8 | 20.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 154 | 7.0 | 33.5 | 60.6 | 55.0 | 90.0 | 0.57 | 80.2 | 77.3 |
| Julian Mora | - | 1 | 36.1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 41 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 83.3 | 1.29 | 64.9 | 58.3 |
| Grant Coleman | - | 1 | 31.5 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 70 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0.84 | 91.1 | 100.0 |
| Mason Landdeck | - | 1 | 35.6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 83 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 38.5 | 36.4 | 60.0 | -2.84 | 55.9 | 53.8 |
| Jakob Milling | - | 1 | 34.5 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 70 | 2.8 | 11.4 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -0.36 | 72.6 | 64.3 |
| Brandon Tchouya | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 71 | 2.8 | 12.0 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 3.03 | 52.1 | 37.5 |
| Trace Evans | - | 1 | 29.5 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 48 | 2.3 | 9.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Brant Heppner | - | 1 | 18.9 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Theo McMillan | - | 1 | 37.6 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 96 | 4.8 | 15.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.44 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Anthony Simo | - | 3 | 33.2 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 15.7 | 211 | 9.6 | 49.4 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 4.04 | 82.4 | 78.1 |
| Kaden Hansen | - | 1 | 32.3 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 190 | 10.0 | 51.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.87 | 53.6 | 43.8 |
| Dae'Kwon Watson | - | 2 | 37.9 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 15.5 | -1.0 | 200 | 11.1 | 73.1 | 25.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 30.2 | 30.6 |
| Jonas La Tour | - | 1 | 32.3 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 76 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 2.23 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Croix Cox | - | 1 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 56 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.07 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Mate Mamrikishvili | - | 1 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.27 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Connor Drinkwine | - | 1 | 30.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Omer Ege Peksari | - | 3 | 19.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 94 | 4.3 | 35.4 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ronyo Obou | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 167 | 8.8 | 162.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ty Cox | - | 1 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -21 | -0.9 | -5.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Pedro Ellery | - | 1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42 | 1.7 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rhyse Owens | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -36 | -2.2 | -32.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Aengus Sutherland | - | 1 | 15.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 27 | 1.6 | 16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG