Saint Leo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 931 (#429) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 959 (#335) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 783 (#682) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#264) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.7 (#556) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.455 (#377) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.318 (#329) | NetEff -5.7 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#505) | NetEff -61.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.570 (#371) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.576 (#375) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#358) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.222 (#657) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.186 (#608) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.191 (#612) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 693 (#506) | RD 148 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 53 - 98 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rollins | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 69 - 92 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Lynn | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 66 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailenn Green | - | 6 | 21.0 | 14.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 14.2 | 4.8 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 35.3 | 38.9 | 88.0 | 2.03 | 46.4 | 39.4 |
| Olivia Agunzo | - | 6 | 31.2 | 14.2 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 12.7 | 5.8 | 20 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 39.5 | 40.8 | 62.5 | -1.11 | 53.4 | 52.6 |
| Zoe Oleary | - | 6 | 19.9 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 48.7 | 0 | 52.4 | 0.5 | 50.8 | 48.7 |
| Amy Duggan | - | 6 | 27.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 25 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 33.3 | 13.3 | 44.4 | -3.89 | 36.2 | 35.2 |
| Jocelyn Gagnon | - | 6 | 29.2 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 92 | 5.4 | 26.7 | 30.0 | 21.2 | 44.4 | -1.86 | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| Mira Hanna | - | 6 | 17.4 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 42 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 38.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.32 | 41.1 | 38.5 |
| Paula Llovich | - | 6 | 17.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | -32 | -2.0 | -14.7 | 33.3 | 18.2 | 50.0 | 0.93 | 37.7 | 37.0 |
| Samiya Fletcher | - | 3 | 18.2 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 46 | 4.6 | 52.1 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| Dackjerlin Senior Feliz | - | 6 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 24 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 47.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.44 | 49.1 | 47.1 |
| Kaitynn Weaver | - | 2 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 20.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.73 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Aniya Morelli | - | 2 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 33.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.58 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Meghan Conley | - | 3 | 10.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -7 | -0.6 | -9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.71 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Jasmine Fajardo | - | 2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -15 | -2.5 | -610.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Marie Bangoura | - | 2 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23 | 2.1 | 206.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Nala Louis | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -122.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG