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Saint Joseph (CT)

Also known as: Saint Joseph (CT)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 897 (#407) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 844 (#512) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 892 (#620) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -21.4 (#363) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -21.0 (#615) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.757 (#329) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.4 More → 0.117 (#481) NetEff -13.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.392 (#415) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.5 More → 0.370 (#423) AdjNet -4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.434 (#417) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.274 (#622) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.167 (#620) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.180 (#621) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 5 More → 789 (#494) RD 151 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-24 vs Emmanuel (MA) L 44 - 70
2026-01-28 @ Dean W 79 - 60
2026-01-31 @ Rivier W 80 - 59
2026-02-03 vs Albertus Magnus L 56 - 70
2026-02-07 vs Colby-Sawyer L 59 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ella Kulas - 5 29.7 15.6 7.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 3.0 12.2 9.4 -132 -7.3 -49.4 49.2 0 81.8 0.94 55.2 49.2
Sequoia Turcotte Briggs - 5 33.6 13.8 4.0 2.2 1.2 1.2 3.2 16.8 2.4 -131 -6.2 -39.0 33.3 20.0 75.0 0.31 39.4 37.5
Nevaeh Yorke - 5 23.4 9.0 6.6 4.0 2.8 0.0 4.0 7.6 10.8 -56 -2.8 -24.3 34.2 0 61.3 2.95 43.6 34.2
Maddy Evans - 5 26.8 8.8 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.0 3.2 6.6 5.0 -48 -6.9 -18.0 48.5 44.4 66.7 -3.45 57.5 54.5
Kiatyanna Denmark - 5 26.1 5.4 5.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 3.2 5.8 2.6 -48 -3.0 -21.0 37.9 0 71.4 -1.87 42.1 37.9
Madeline Greene - 5 27.4 3.8 5.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.0 3.0 7.0 -21 -1.0 -8.1 60.0 0 50.0 -1.1 59.8 60.0
Gjamory'a McTier - 5 9.4 3.2 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.2 -107 -5.1 -107.5 33.3 0 85.7 -0.86 44.2 33.3
Reagan Heafey-De Angelis - 4 9.0 2.0 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.8 -44 -2.6 -43.9 30.0 66.7 0.0 -0.41 34.0 40.0
Daichelle San Nicolas - 3 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 -17 -2.4 -214.7 50.0 0 100.0 0.21 69.4 50.0
Trinity Cruz - 5 13.9 1.2 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.6 -98 -4.7 -57.8 6.7 9.1 75.0 -1.97 17.9 10.0
Loucie Jean - 3 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1 0.1 12.8 100.0 0 0 0.12 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG