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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

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Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History
Coach: Don Friday

2010 Team Stats (26 games)

61.0
PPG
70.2
Opp
-9.2
Margin
40.3%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
31.0
RPG
12.4
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#319
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 761 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 813 (#293) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 953 (#236) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -13.8 (#319) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -11.9 (#313) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.181 (#312) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.9 More → 0.092 (#315) AdjNet -19.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.1 More → 0.088 (#316) AdjNet -20.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.238 (#319) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.348 (#300) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.228 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.247 (#302) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 29 More → 852 (#264) RD 156 | GP 29

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 vs American University Eagles W 65 - 61
2009-11-16 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 72 - 95
2009-11-19 vs Lafayette Leopards L 77 - 88
2009-11-21 @ Bucknell Bison L 58 - 70
2009-11-25 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 67 - 76
2009-11-28 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 47 - 110
2009-12-03 vs Wagner Seahawks W 69 - 42
2009-12-05 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 73 - 66
2009-12-13 @ Drexel Dragons L 35 - 57
2009-12-16 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 65 - 74
2009-12-20 @ Akron Zips L 51 - 80
2009-12-22 @ Duquesne Dukes L 56 - 86
2010-01-02 vs Hartford Hawks W 64 - 52
2010-01-07 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 57 - 69
2010-01-09 @ Long Island University Sharks L 80 - 89
2010-01-14 vs Monmouth Hawks L 53 - 63
2010-01-16 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 54 - 52
2010-01-21 @ Monmouth Hawks L 40 - 69
2010-01-23 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 75 - 78
2010-01-28 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 71 - 63
2010-01-30 vs Long Island University Sharks W 74 - 73
2010-02-04 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 67 - 76
2010-02-06 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 63 - 75
2010-02-11 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 60 - 34
2010-02-13 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 59 - 57
2010-02-18 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 73 - 68
2010-02-20 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 68
2010-02-25 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 51 - 67
2010-02-27 @ Wagner Seahawks L 76 - 81
2010-03-04 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 50 - 65

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.