St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
2005 Team Stats (5 games)
62.2
PPG
71.2
Opp
-9.0
Margin
41.4%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
32.2
RPG
15.0
APG
16.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.2
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#251
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 907 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 950 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 993 (#174) | HCA +110 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.0 (#256) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.8 (#265) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.419 (#195) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.227 (#256) | AdjNet -10.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.224 (#255) | AdjNet -10.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.363 (#251) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 71.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.419 (#244) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.342 (#242) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.353 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 904 (#231) | RD 155 | GP 27 |
2005 Schedule & Results
2005 Roster
No roster data available for this season.