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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

2025-2026 Team Stats (31 games)

71.5
PPG
81.0
Opp
-9.5
Margin
43.0%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
32.6
RPG
13.4
APG
12.9
TO
69.9
Est. poss./game
68.5
Adj PPG
84.6
Adj Opp PPG
#351
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 614 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +81 elo More โ†’ 700 (#355) HCA +81 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +79 elo More โ†’ 710 (#354) HCA +79 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -17.2 (#351) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -16.8 (#350) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.123 (#349) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.5 More โ†’ 0.070 (#351) AdjNet -24.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.1 More โ†’ 0.065 (#350) AdjNet -25.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 84.6 More โ†’ 0.188 (#351) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 84.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 84.8 More โ†’ 0.197 (#351) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 84.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.120 (#355) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.122 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 173 | GP 29 More โ†’ 667 (#357) RD 173 | GP 29
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.110 (#351) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2025-2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 66 - 102
2025-11-06 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 63 - 104
2025-11-11 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 66 - 74
2025-11-18 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 62 - 79
2025-11-24 @ Belmont Bruins L 57 - 94
2025-11-26 @ Troy Trojans L 64 - 74
2025-11-29 vs Franciscan Barons W 85 - 60
2025-12-01 @ Xavier Musketeers L 74 - 96
2025-12-03 vs Penn State Shenango Nittany Lions W 100 - 41
2025-12-07 @ Radford Highlanders L 56 - 89
2025-12-14 @ Temple Owls L 67 - 95
2025-12-17 @ Florida Gators L 61 - 102
2025-12-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 70 - 79
2026-01-02 vs Le Moyne Dolphins L 58 - 84
2026-01-04 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 85 - 82
2026-01-08 @ Wagner Seahawks W 71 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Long Island University Sharks L 63 - 67
2026-01-17 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 90 - 98
2026-01-19 vs Stonehill Skyhawks W 63 - 61
2026-01-23 vs Chicago State Cougars W 81 - 60
2026-01-25 @ New Haven Chargers - Postponed
2026-01-31 vs New Haven Chargers L 69 - 81
2026-02-05 @ Mercyhurst Lakers L 89 - 98
2026-02-07 @ Le Moyne Dolphins L 84 - 86
2026-02-09 @ Chicago State Cougars L 75 - 80
2026-02-12 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 59 - 66
2026-02-14 vs Mercyhurst Lakers L 79 - 94
2026-02-19 vs Long Island University Sharks L 89 - 91
2026-02-21 vs Wagner Seahawks L 56 - 65
2026-02-24 @ New Haven Chargers W 73 - 67
2026-02-26 @ Stonehill Skyhawks L 77 - 103
2026-02-28 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 64 - 69

2025-2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Skylar Wicks Skylar Wicks G 28 33.3 17.8 6.7 2.8 1.4 0.3 2.7 15.6 10.8 -239 25 -9.6 -11.8 41.0 36.3 72.5 -1.87 51.3 47.9
Zion Russell Zion Russell G 28 29.3 12.4 4.0 2.9 1.6 0.1 2.0 10.0 9.0 -226 24 -9.4 -12.9 43.0 38.1 69.9 -1.39 54.4 50.7
Chris Moncrief Chris Moncrief G 21 27.6 9.5 2.8 1.8 1.3 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.5 -110 21 -5.2 -7.6 49.7 34.6 68.8 -1.0 56.8 52.7
Ahmad Harrison Ahmad Harrison G 31 25.3 8.2 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.2 1.6 8.4 4.1 -168 27 -6.2 -9.8 37.3 35.3 58.1 -1.94 45.7 44.2
Gestin Liberis Gestin Liberis F 31 23.9 7.3 5.2 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.6 4.4 8.3 -71 27 -2.6 -4.4 54.4 18.2 64.7 0.23 60.1 55.1
Victor Payne Victor Payne G 31 23.9 6.8 3.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 5.2 6.7 -121 27 -4.5 -7.7 43.8 37.6 76.3 -0.33 59.3 56.5
Ralph Martino Jr. Ralph Martino Jr. G 19 21.9 6.7 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.3 4.4 6.7 -125 15 -8.3 -14.8 55.4 50.0 77.8 -1.02 66.9 63.9
Paris Papadatos Paris Papadatos G 22 11.8 4.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 4.4 0.9 -79 21 -3.8 -12.9 38.1 26.5 82.4 -1.66 48.3 44.8
Cameron Tweedy Cameron Tweedy F 31 13.3 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.9 3.5 -191 27 -7.1 -22.0 56.2 0.0 66.7 -3.3 58.0 56.2
Trey Weiand Trey Weiand G 15 6.0 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.9 1.3 2 12 0.2 1.3 46.4 36.8 80.0 -0.41 61.3 58.9
Brandon Russell Brandon Russell G 29 10.8 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.8 1.1 -121 25 -4.8 -19.5 23.2 14.3 85.0 -2.93 34.1 27.4
Ryen Gresko Ryen Gresko G 2 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
KJ Swain Jr. KJ Swain Jr. G 14 6.9 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.3 1.0 -3 10 -0.3 -2.2 31.2 25.0 66.7 -0.2 42.0 40.6
Carson Rhodes Carson Rhodes G 2 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Melvin Weaver Iii Melvin Weaver Iii G 6 3.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 7 4 1.8 40.3 40.0 0.0 0.0 -0.18 27.8 40.0
Kofi Asare Kofi Asare C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brandon Rabish Brandon Rabish G 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kam Wylie Kam Wylie F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1843 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Russell17% Wicks18% Wicks47% Harrison33% Wicks50% Russell25% Wicks35% Wicks34% Wicks38% Payne25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wicks24% Wicks23% Wicks37% Wicks23% Wicks36% Payne18% Payne22% Wicks28% Wicks30% Wicks23%
Misses: who misses most here

Skylar WicksZion RussellAhmad HarrisonVictor Payne

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 208-337 61.7 416 Zion Russell 17% (72 pts) Gestin Liberis 17% (70 pts) Skylar Wicks 24% (31 misses) Zion Russell 21% (27 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 273-603 45.3 546 Skylar Wicks 18% (100 pts) Chris Moncrief 15% (82 pts) Skylar Wicks 23% (75 misses) Ahmad Harrison 17% (55 misses)
Mid-range left 17-76 22.4 34 Skylar Wicks 47% (16 pts) Ahmad Harrison 29% (10 pts) Skylar Wicks 37% (22 misses) Ahmad Harrison 29% (17 misses)
Mid-range center 12-25 48.0 24 Ahmad Harrison 33% (8 pts) Skylar Wicks 25% (6 pts) Skylar Wicks 23% (3 misses) Ahmad Harrison 15% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 44-100 44.0 88 Skylar Wicks 50% (44 pts) Ahmad Harrison 14% (12 pts) Skylar Wicks 36% (20 misses) Ahmad Harrison 11% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 28-93 30.1 84 Zion Russell 25% (21 pts) Ralph Martino Jr. 21% (18 pts) Victor Payne 18% (12 misses) Paris Papadatos 14% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 20-60 33.3 60 Skylar Wicks 35% (21 pts) Ahmad Harrison 15% (9 pts) Victor Payne 22% (9 misses) Brandon Russell 20% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 left 80-227 35.2 240 Skylar Wicks 34% (81 pts) Zion Russell 16% (39 pts) Skylar Wicks 28% (41 misses) Ahmad Harrison 14% (21 misses)
Above-break 3 center 24-93 25.8 72 Skylar Wicks 38% (27 pts) Ahmad Harrison 17% (12 pts) Skylar Wicks 30% (21 misses) Zion Russell 22% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 right 87-229 38.0 261 Victor Payne 25% (66 pts) Skylar Wicks 18% (48 pts) Skylar Wicks 23% (33 misses) Ahmad Harrison 18% (26 misses)