Saint Elizabeth
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#328) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#442) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 964 (#547) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.6 (#343) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.0 (#586) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.742 (#338) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.437 (#375) | NetEff -1.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.046 (#608) | AdjNet -26.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.038 (#611) | AdjNet -27.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.187 (#599) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.267 (#626) | AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#562) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.252 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 945 (#378) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | FDU-Florham | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Wilkes | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Purchase | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | King's (PA) | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 91 - 26 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Drew | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Penn College | W | 51 - 46 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Eastern | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Misericordia | L | 48 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Neumann | L | 41 - 61 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Immaculata | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Marywood | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Pratt | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Immaculata | L | 47 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Neumann | W | 72 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahjionae Cobb | - | 20 | 34.7 | 17.3 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 18.2 | 6.3 | 70 | 3.3 | 12.9 | 34.9 | 34.7 | 80.6 | -1.05 | 43.7 | 39.6 |
| Yasminah White | - | 13 | 36.8 | 13.2 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 15.4 | 5.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 14.3 | 65.2 | -1.24 | 39.0 | 35.5 |
| Elyssa Russo | - | 20 | 30.1 | 11.3 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 12.4 | 6.4 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 31.3 | 27.8 | 60.3 | -1.21 | 40.8 | 37.8 |
| Mya Davis | - | 20 | 31.9 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 64 | 2.9 | 12.8 | 34.0 | 31.6 | 68.4 | -0.13 | 47.1 | 43.8 |
| My'shiah McQueen | - | 18 | 24.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 6.5 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 43.5 | 9.1 | 60.0 | 1.06 | 45.6 | 44.0 |
| Alana Nickels | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ty'la Holmes | - | 18 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.5 | 33.3 | 29.4 | 43.5 | 1.6 | 43.7 | 42.6 |
| Myshiah Mcqueen | - | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.06 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jasmine Pierce | - | 18 | 23.4 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 27 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 23.8 | 12.9 | 70.0 | -1.46 | 29.0 | 26.2 |
| Jakayla Jenkins | - | 19 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 65 | 3.4 | 58.6 | 44.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 46.6 | 45.6 |
| Jada Peterson | - | 6 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 21 | 3.0 | 62.1 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.36 | 42.1 | 45.5 |
| Mileyshka Delgado | - | 9 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 26 | 2.6 | 48.1 | 22.7 | 12.5 | 0 | -0.18 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
| Nacheca Joseph | - | 17 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 50 | 2.8 | 48.2 | 32.1 | 12.5 | 25.0 | -1.17 | 33.6 | 33.9 |
| Julia Stewart | - | 10 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -14 | -1.3 | -14.0 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.59 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG