SUNY Poly
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 908 (#397) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 793 (#536) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 860 (#647) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.2 (#382) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.0 (#632) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.036 (#682) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.048 (#526) | NetEff -19.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.006 (#681) | AdjNet -44.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.005 (#678) | AdjNet -45.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.092 (#666) | AdjO 42.6 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.192 (#670) | AdjO 50.5 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.113 (#653) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.121 (#655) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 812 (#484) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Keystone | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cedar Crest | W | 37 - 36 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | SUNY Canton | L | 39 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Clarkson | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Alfred St. | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Oswego St. | L | 33 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Houghton | L | 51 - 90 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | SUNY Brockport | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Elmira | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Keuka | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Utica | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | St. John Fisher | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Nazareth | L | 41 - 66 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Houghton | L | 45 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Alfred | W | 57 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alysa Jackson | - | 18 | 32.7 | 16.6 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 15.4 | 6.6 | -158 | -7.5 | -28.4 | 36.7 | 29.6 | 74.1 | 2.1 | 47.4 | 42.4 |
| Bryanna Lucas | - | 18 | 29.1 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 9.1 | 1.7 | -203 | -10.2 | -41.6 | 33.1 | 23.8 | 36.8 | -4.97 | 35.3 | 34.7 |
| Alivia Turk | - | 18 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 3.7 | -108 | -5.1 | -31.7 | 36.4 | 38.0 | 81.5 | 0.86 | 49.6 | 45.0 |
| Kayla Wilson | - | 18 | 26.0 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 4.8 | -185 | -6.4 | -43.0 | 35.2 | 19.4 | 55.6 | -0.48 | 42.5 | 38.6 |
| Jenna Kocienda | - | 7 | 21.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 1.9 | -16 | -2.3 | -20.0 | 28.0 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 1.05 | 30.4 | 31.0 |
| Sanaa Lee | - | 18 | 32.8 | 4.2 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 9.9 | -235 | -11.2 | -44.8 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.43 | 35.3 | 32.3 |
| Isabella Kroll | - | 17 | 14.4 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.7 | -0.4 | -104 | -5.2 | -33.7 | 24.7 | 26.8 | 80.0 | 1.71 | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| Kelsey Meca | - | 17 | 26.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 4.1 | -175 | -8.8 | -36.6 | 21.5 | 18.2 | 52.9 | -2.05 | 33.8 | 27.7 |
| Amiyah Ferebee | - | 16 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | -50 | -2.6 | -36.9 | 41.7 | 0 | 53.8 | -0.71 | 45.4 | 41.7 |
| Rebeckah Tittle | - | 7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | -16 | -2.0 | -120.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Kiana Rojas | - | 7 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -50 | -6.2 | -97.2 | 28.6 | 0 | 40.0 | -2.4 | 32.6 | 28.6 |
| Kirsten Lighthall | - | 13 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -68 | -4.5 | -170.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.33 | 26.8 | 20.0 |
| Addison Fabbio | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Amanie Jadwick | - | 2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG