SUNY Poly
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1149 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1119 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1123 (#41) | HCA +58 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.9 (#244) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#228) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.740 (#76) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.519 (#218) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.519 (#217) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.522 (#206) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.616 (#106) | AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.586 (#164) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.604 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1123 (#99) | RD 144 | GP 24 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 75 - 100 |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Utica | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2016-11-30 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Wells | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2016-12-04 | vs | Keuka | W | 77 - 49 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Cazenovia | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | RIT | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | Coe | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2016-12-19 | vs | Wartburg | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2017-01-10 | vs | Alfred St. | W | 86 - 85 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Keuka | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2017-01-15 | @ | Wells | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2017-01-17 | @ | Hamilton | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Gallaudet | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2017-01-22 | @ | Wilson | W | 92 - 84 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Penn College | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2017-01-29 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 92 - 73 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Cazenovia | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Bryn Athyn | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2017-02-12 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2017-02-17 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 123 - 90 |
| 2017-02-21 | vs | Cazenovia | L | 82 - 83 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.