SUNY Cobleskill
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 876 (#559) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 849 (#551) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#567) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.6 (#389) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.3 (#662) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.301 (#596) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.036 (#721) | AdjNet -28.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.034 (#721) | AdjNet -28.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.125 (#720) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 84.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#617) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 86.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.249 (#625) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.252 (#633) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 901 (#478) | RD 163 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 97 - 88 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | New England Col. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 97 - 86 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | L | 108 - 111 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Husson | W | 95 - 93 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 69 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Ford | - | 3 | 30.0 | 25.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.7 | 15.7 | -16 | -1.3 | -6.9 | 57.4 | 31.6 | 84.2 | -1.32 | 68.6 | 63.8 |
| Eric Ahlers | - | 1 | 35.2 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 37 | 1.8 | 25.2 | 39.1 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -2.72 | 49.6 | 47.8 |
| Doug McCalla | - | 1 | 35.8 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 71 | 5.9 | 28.2 | 47.4 | 40.0 | 83.3 | 0.59 | 57.8 | 52.6 |
| Akhe McMichael | - | 1 | 34.7 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 65 | 3.6 | 23.0 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.93 | 77.0 | 68.2 |
| Ty Henke | - | 1 | 22.8 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | -19 | -0.9 | -16.5 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 72.3 | 70.8 |
| Connor Heald | - | 1 | 39.3 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 59 | 2.7 | 28.4 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.56 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Conor Holland | - | 3 | 26.8 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 53 | 2.5 | 18.4 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 81.2 | 5.65 | 63.6 | 55.8 |
| Gil Matondo | - | 1 | 34.5 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 47 | 2.1 | 23.3 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.22 | 54.7 | 54.5 |
| Marquay Tanksley | - | 3 | 36.2 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 9.3 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.5 | 43.3 | 30.8 | 54.5 | -0.4 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Cameron Rhode | - | 3 | 23.2 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 17.3 | -47 | -2.2 | -17.6 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 91.7 | -1.44 | 62.3 | 52.3 |
| Quanire Greene | - | 3 | 14.8 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 16.7 | 72.2 | - | 55.7 | 44.7 |
| Dylan Burpee | - | 1 | 31.1 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 33 | 1.5 | 18.9 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 39.8 | 30.0 |
| La'Anthony Fairley | - | 3 | 23.2 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 52.4 | 40.0 |
| Christian Smith | - | 1 | 28.9 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 104 | 5.8 | 27.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 3.25 | 49.5 | 40.0 |
| Tyson Enget | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 60 | 3.3 | 21.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.31 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Yuki Ishibashi | - | 1 | 26.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Bruce Wilder Jr. | - | 3 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.7 | -30 | -2.0 | -20.6 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.39 | 59.9 | 50.0 |
| Charlie Katsiaficas | - | 1 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 31.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.82 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| AJ Creech | - | 1 | 18.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 27 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.68 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zander Poissant | - | 3 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 7.0 | -34 | -1.6 | -22.7 | 62.5 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.84 | 52.1 | 62.5 |
| Ja'Lyn Griffin | - | 3 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 25.0 | 40.0 | - | 41.7 | 40.9 |
| James Yamashita | - | 1 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 38 | 2.1 | 24.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.52 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Stephan Direny | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -12.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tariq Martin | - | 1 | 36.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 28 | 1.8 | 11.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Aleix Moreno | - | 1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 7.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.85 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Quavir Coleman | - | 1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -3 | -0.6 | -38.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rowan Morel | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG