SMU
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1361 (#116) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +28.2 (#117) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.382 (#76) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.360 (#81) | AdjNet -5.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.355 (#81) | AdjNet -5.1 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | @ | - | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2003-11-28 | @ | - | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2003-12-01 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2003-12-03 | @ | - | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2003-12-15 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2003-12-18 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2003-12-20 | @ | - | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2003-12-21 | @ | - | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2003-12-31 | @ | - | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | - | L | 54 - 89 |
| 2004-01-06 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2004-01-08 | @ | - | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | - | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2004-01-15 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2004-01-20 | @ | - | L | 40 - 80 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2004-01-29 | @ | - | L | 62 - 88 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | - | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2004-02-05 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | - | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | - | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2004-02-26 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 89 - 50 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2004-03-04 | @ | - | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2004-03-09 | @ | - | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2004-03-11 | @ | - | L | 60 - 75 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.