🐻⬇️🏀

SFA

Season:
Also known as: SFA
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1189 (#65) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1110 (#112) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.8 (#175) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.748 (#88) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.0 More → 0.657 (#126) NetEff +5.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.507 (#167) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.498 (#168) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.488 (#173) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 72.5

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.