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SFA

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2022 2021 2020 2018 2017 2014 2013
Also known as: SFA
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1036 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1105 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1000 (#453) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +23.6 (#94) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.988 (#180) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.9 More → 0.947 (#140) AdjNet +24.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.4 More → 0.947 (#144) AdjNet +24.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.852 (#139) AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.1 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.806 (#25) AdjO 88.1 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.834 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.821 (#66) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 305 | GP 2 More → 1181 (#81) RD 305 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Millsaps W 103 - 76
2025-12-21 vs Dallas W 103 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lateef Patrick Jr - 2 20.4 18.0 2.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 11.0 11.5 - - - 59.1 62.5 0 - 81.8 81.8
Keon Thompson - 2 20.1 17.0 5.0 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 11.5 16.0 4 0.4 3.7 56.5 50.0 66.7 3.06 63.1 60.9
Marcus Scurry - 2 17.9 12.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.5 6.5 - - - 47.1 55.6 66.7 - 63.6 61.8
Jerald Colonel - 2 18.8 10.5 8.5 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 7.5 17.5 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 66.1 66.7
Narit Chotikavanic - 2 15.9 9.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 7.0 4.5 - - - 42.9 41.7 66.7 - 62.0 60.7
Gediminas Alisas - 2 12.9 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.0 7.0 - - - 70.0 0.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Eltramon Smith Jr. - 1 17.6 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 2 0.4 28.2 37.5 20.0 0 -0.58 43.8 43.8
Chrishawn Christmas - 2 19.8 6.5 7.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 14.5 - - - 45.5 0 50.0 - 47.7 45.5
Kam Burton - 2 16.4 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 6.5 1.5 - - - 30.8 30.0 0 - 42.3 42.3
Tichyque Musaka - 2 7.3 4.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.5 - - - 66.7 0.0 0.0 - 58.1 66.7
Christian Green - 2 9.4 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Bryceson Melvin - 2 9.1 2.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.5 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 23.0 20.0
Ahamed Mohammed - 2 16.2 2.5 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 8.0 - - - 18.2 20.0 0 - 22.7 22.7
Harris Dar - 2 7.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG