Santa Cruz Warriors
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 905 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 874 (#17) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.3 (#17) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.354 (#17) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | BAK | W | 104 - 87 |
| 2015-11-14 | @ | LAD | L | 96 - 104 |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | LAD | T | 100 - 100 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | RNO | L | 108 - 114 |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | BAK | L | 103 - 113 |
| 2015-11-27 | vs | AUS | T | 92 - 92 |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | AUS | L | 81 - 98 |
| 2015-12-04 | vs | TEX | L | 99 - 115 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | TEX | W | 110 - 108 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ | TEX | W | 113 - 106 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | OKL | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2015-12-15 | vs | CTN | W | 108 - 101 |
| 2015-12-18 | vs | BAK | W | 97 - 93 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | IDA | L | 107 - 117 |
| 2015-12-22 | vs | LAD | L | 82 - 104 |
| 2015-12-27 | @ | RGV | L | 103 - 107 |
| 2015-12-29 | @ | AUS | L | 86 - 111 |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | AUS | L | 76 - 109 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | MNE | L | 83 - 104 |
| 2016-01-03 | @ | WES | W | 114 - 105 |
| 2016-01-08 | vs | IWA | L | 89 - 101 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | SXF | L | 81 - 102 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ | IDA | L | 91 - 101 |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | TEX | L | 88 - 108 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | TEX | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | IDA | L | 97 - 108 |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | RGV | W | 119 - 118 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | RGV | W | 128 - 126 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | BAK | L | 108 - 123 |
| 2016-01-31 | @ | RNO | L | 91 - 102 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ | BAK | L | 101 - 104 |
| 2016-02-09 | vs | RNO | L | 123 - 129 |
| 2016-02-18 | @ | LAD | L | 103 - 113 |
| 2016-02-19 | vs | RGV | L | 100 - 116 |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | RGV | W | 107 - 84 |
| 2016-02-26 | vs | RNO | W | 121 - 115 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | RNO | L | 124 - 133 |
| 2016-03-02 | vs | BAK | L | 104 - 108 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ | OKL | L | 106 - 107 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ | OKL | W | 111 - 98 |
| 2016-03-12 | vs | LAD | L | 110 - 114 |
| 2016-03-13 | vs | DEL | W | 132 - 117 |
| 2016-03-18 | vs | OKL | L | 108 - 114 |
| 2016-03-19 | vs | OKL | L | 106 - 107 |
| 2016-03-24 | vs | IDA | W | 107 - 96 |
| 2016-03-26 | @ | LAD | W | 116 - 97 |
| 2016-03-27 | vs | AUS | L | 72 - 98 |
| 2016-03-30 | vs | RNO | W | 121 - 118 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ | IDA | L | 104 - 108 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ | IDA | L | 106 - 109 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Williams | G | 21 | 0.0 | 28.4 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 20.4 | 19.1 | - | - | - | 49.1 | 34.3 | 78.9 | - | 58.9 | 53.2 |
| Darington Hobson | G | 44 | 0.0 | 17.6 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 15.4 | 14.5 | - | - | - | 42.6 | 37.8 | 71.8 | - | 52.3 | 49.6 |
| Luis Montero | F | 4 | 0.0 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 12.8 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 38.5 | 78.3 | - | 53.2 | 46.1 |
| Verdell Jones | G | 50 | 0.0 | 16.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.8 | 9.8 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 36.9 | 71.6 | - | 55.3 | 51.8 |
| Xavier Henry | - | 9 | 0.0 | 15.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 8.6 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 35.0 | 82.1 | - | 60.1 | 48.9 |
| Cliff Alexander | C | 4 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 12.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 52.1 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 55.4 | 52.1 |
| Aaron Craft | G | 30 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 4.6 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 11.2 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 27.8 | 82.3 | - | 54.3 | 50.3 |
| Daniel Orton | C | 20 | 0.0 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 8.9 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 100.0 | 69.4 | - | 59.5 | 54.8 |
| Daniel Nwaelele | G | 16 | 0.0 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 39.9 | 37.0 | 84.4 | - | 54.5 | 49.7 |
| Mychel Thompson | F | 14 | 0.0 | 12.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 32.1 | 74.4 | - | 52.3 | 48.7 |
| Kevon Looney | - | 12 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 39.6 | 31.0 | 71.4 | - | 47.4 | 43.7 |
| Jarred Shaw | C | 17 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 56.8 | 0.0 | 78.8 | - | 60.5 | 56.8 |
| Juwan Staten | G | 13 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 45.2 | 33.3 | 65.5 | - | 49.7 | 46.6 |
| Mac Koshwal | C | 17 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 8.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 10.9 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 0 | 35.0 | - | 46.4 | 47.4 |
| Ronnie Brewer | G | 41 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 25.7 | 53.3 | - | 47.0 | 46.4 |
| Terrence Drisdom | - | 26 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6.2 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 28.1 | 70.6 | - | 51.1 | 48.5 |
| Daniel Coursey | C | 24 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 60.5 | 0 | 86.7 | - | 62.6 | 60.5 |
| Chris Udofia | F | 45 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 47.9 | 0.0 | 48.9 | - | 49.0 | 47.9 |
| Anthony Vereen | C | 43 | 0.0 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 0.0 | 65.8 | - | 51.8 | 47.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG