RustModel Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#279) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.7 (#721) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.9 (#491) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#405) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.275 (#487) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.306 (#491) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 938 (#309) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Troy Trojans | L | 48 - 81 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Strothers
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 57.1 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
K. Huntsman
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 90.0 | 90.0 |
J. Watkins
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.9 | 33.3 |
D. Lanier
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
K. Tabb
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.8 | 16.7 |
T. Jennings
|
F | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
W. Anderson
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
T. Lancaster
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
E. Johnson
|
F | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -14 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
M. Anderson
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -4.0 | 49 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG