Rowan
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 973 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1024 (#207) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.3 (#150) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#323) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.915 (#69) | NetEff +16.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.631 (#332) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.622 (#335) | AdjNet +4.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#331) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 61.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Salisbury | W | 64 - 40 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Messiah | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Brooklyn | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 75 - 45 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 77 - 38 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 78 - 44 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Kean | W | 50 - 47 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Wm. Paterson | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Delaware Valley | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | DeSales | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | TCNJ | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Ramapo | W | 73 - 44 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Stockton | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | New Jersey City | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 75 - 41 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 92 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Kean | W | 64 - 47 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Ramapo | W | 65 - 41 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | TCNJ | L | 53 - 69 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 90 - 58 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Stockton | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Kean | L | 68 - 74 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Herlihy | - | 26 | 28.6 | 18.4 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 9.3 | -31 | -1.2 | -1.4 | 47.6 | 43.6 | 80.3 | -0.15 | 57.3 | 55.0 |
| Sabrina Araujo | - | 24 | 23.2 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 31.9 | 33.1 | 79.2 | 0.33 | 45.4 | 42.9 |
| Kristina Johnson | - | 26 | 23.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 38.2 | 24.7 | 75.0 | 0.42 | 47.7 | 45.1 |
| Charlotte Carlies | - | 25 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 25 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 43.1 | 0 | 39.2 | 0.09 | 43.3 | 43.1 |
| Shayla Johnson | - | 26 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 6.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 39.3 | 16.7 | 73.5 | -0.02 | 44.0 | 39.6 |
| Haley Selmer | - | 26 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 4.0 | -26 | -0.7 | -1.8 | 43.4 | 0 | 73.2 | -0.12 | 49.2 | 43.4 |
| Abigail Jazmin | - | 25 | 14.7 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | -18 | -0.5 | -1.0 | 28.7 | 28.6 | 84.2 | 0.07 | 44.3 | 32.4 |
| Jes Mastriano | - | 26 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 | -58 | -1.6 | -3.6 | 41.2 | 0 | 78.8 | -0.28 | 53.4 | 41.2 |
| Reagan Russo | - | 26 | 22.6 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 27 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 32.9 | 23.5 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 38.5 | 35.4 |
| Kelli Kuenzel | - | 26 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 36.2 | 30.8 | 50.0 | 0.07 | 50.2 | 50.0 |
| Lily Bross | - | 26 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 71.4 | -0.17 | 39.5 | 31.6 |
| Victoria Crooker | - | 26 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.5 | -3.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 0.02 | 50.7 | 46.7 |
| Emily Poulas | - | 26 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 35.7 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Cornysha Davis | - | 21 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | -28 | -5.6 | -6.4 | 37.5 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.62 | 49.0 | 37.5 |
| Adriana Santiago | - | 25 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -20 | -1.7 | -9.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.3 | 52.4 | 40.0 |
| Jess Mclaughlin | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -111 | -3.6 | -4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Juliet Schott | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG