Rowan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 973 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#214) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1071 (#134) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.1 (#175) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.8 (#359) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#323) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.790 (#225) | NetEff +8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.631 (#332) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.622 (#335) | AdjNet +4.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#331) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.580 (#258) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 56.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#273) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.626 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1100 (#160) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | DeSales | W | 43 - 38 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Kean | W | 88 - 30 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Stevens | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ramapo | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Stockton | L | 43 - 55 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 87 - 57 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wm. Paterson | L | 49 - 58 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Kean | W | 70 - 40 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ramapo | W | 56 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jes Mastriano | - | 18 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 6.6 | -35 | -1.7 | -11.9 | 44.8 | 0 | 79.5 | 1.49 | 56.2 | 44.8 |
| Haley Selmer | - | 18 | 18.0 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 5.8 | -32 | -1.5 | -9.7 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 76.7 | -0.2 | 43.8 | 40.0 |
| Megan Donelson | - | 18 | 23.4 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 40 | 1.9 | 12.1 | 38.5 | 22.7 | 71.8 | 2.73 | 46.9 | 42.3 |
| Abigail Jazmin | - | 13 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 5.2 | -53 | -3.5 | -26.5 | 24.7 | 20.0 | 71.7 | -0.28 | 39.7 | 28.4 |
| Charlotte Carlies | - | 18 | 24.7 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 5.9 | 10.9 | -35 | -1.7 | -8.4 | 47.7 | 0 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 49.9 | 47.7 |
| Jess McLaughlin | - | 18 | 31.4 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 0.4 | -94 | -4.5 | -19.7 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 52.5 | -0.85 | 31.6 | 28.9 |
| Natalia Barrera | - | 17 | 16.2 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 5.8 | -49 | -2.5 | -23.4 | 49.4 | 0 | 46.4 | 0.96 | 49.8 | 49.4 |
| Ava Kraybill | - | 18 | 19.8 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 25.9 | 15.4 | 64.7 | 3.48 | 35.4 | 28.4 |
| Christina Sikaras | - | 11 | 10.5 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | -48 | -3.4 | -40.6 | 36.4 | 36.0 | 53.8 | 1.02 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Emily Poulas | - | 17 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 0.8 | -56 | -2.8 | -30.5 | 28.2 | 23.2 | 60.0 | -1.75 | 39.1 | 37.3 |
| Lily Bross | - | 18 | 11.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | -48 | -2.3 | -28.8 | 27.3 | 14.3 | 73.3 | -0.76 | 34.1 | 28.2 |
| Tuts Davis | - | 5 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | -7 | -1.2 | -76.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 53.0 | 55.6 |
| Vanessa Haas | - | 3 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 47.0 | 25.0 |
| Adriana Santiago | - | 4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -10 | -2.0 | -727.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Talijah Davis | - | 4 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -7 | -1.2 | -76.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.72 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG