Rowan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 995 (#393) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 970 (#415) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1025 (#264) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#224) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.2 (#420) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#462) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.585 (#324) | AdjNet +3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.578 (#323) | AdjNet +2.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.541 (#327) | AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.517 (#360) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.415 (#469) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.447 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1006 (#358) | RD 104 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Penn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Drew | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Delaware Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Montclair St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | New Jersey City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Kean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Wm. Paterson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ramapo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Stockton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Montclair St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | New Jersey City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wm. Paterson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Kean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ramapo | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Randall | - | 1 | 40.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 76 | 4.8 | 30.1 | 90.9 | 100.0 | 22.2 | -1.38 | 76.9 | 95.5 |
| Taz Cantey | - | 21 | 31.7 | 17.2 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 29 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 47.5 | 30.8 | 67.8 | 0.27 | 53.9 | 50.8 |
| Brycen Williams | - | 21 | 33.5 | 16.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 6.4 | 48 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 41.2 | 30.8 | 84.2 | 1.16 | 55.5 | 49.0 |
| Khalil Baker | - | 21 | 22.0 | 12.1 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 33 | 1.6 | 12.4 | 49.0 | 20.0 | 64.4 | -0.01 | 53.1 | 49.3 |
| Kaden Bates | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 139 | 8.7 | 66.4 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 5.5 | 59.8 | 50.0 |
| Michael Pirone | - | 21 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 5.7 | -10 | -0.5 | -3.7 | 45.6 | 25.0 | 70.3 | -1.59 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| CJ Hayes | - | 17 | 13.4 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 41 | 2.7 | 101.0 | 55.4 | 52.6 | 82.1 | 0.27 | 68.0 | 62.2 |
| Khamai Orange | - | 19 | 23.7 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 8.7 | 84 | 4.7 | 32.4 | 50.0 | 39.4 | 65.8 | 3.6 | 60.2 | 57.4 |
| Skip Burton | - | 2 | 16.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.59 | 51.1 | 38.9 |
| Chris McCarron | - | 18 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 33 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.62 | 52.2 | 50.0 |
| Ife Okebiorun | - | 21 | 21.2 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 31 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 68.0 | -0.27 | 60.1 | 57.1 |
| Dan Mason | - | 8 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | -51 | -6.4 | -90.9 | 29.0 | 20.8 | 100.0 | -3.98 | 41.2 | 37.1 |
| Colin Mitchell | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 58 | 3.9 | 74.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.5 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nafi Walker-Muhammad | - | 7 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.4 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -4.07 | 30.1 | 29.2 |
| Christian Conklin | - | 8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 27.3 | 100.0 | - | 54.0 | 50.0 |
| Nic Johnson | - | 18 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 25 | 1.8 | 82.9 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 70.6 | 1.82 | 42.7 | 30.4 |
| Damien Edwards | - | 4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 100 | 4.8 | 27.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jordan Jones | - | 8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 140 | 7.0 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 83.3 | 4.44 | 46.7 | 28.6 |
| Owen Pottenburgh | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 74 | 4.4 | 205.6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.19 | 56.8 | 0 |
| LJ Hagan | - | 6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Giorgio Franceschi | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG