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Rose-Hulman

Also known as: Rose-Hulman
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 983 (#270) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 858 (#500) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More β†’ 947 (#570) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More β†’ -1.6 (#213) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More β†’ -0.6 (#381) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.360 (#513) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.3 More β†’ 0.180 (#457) NetEff -11.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More β†’ 0.455 (#396) AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.9 More β†’ 0.443 (#395) AdjNet -1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 65.1 More β†’ 0.455 (#397) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 65.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 61.1 More β†’ 0.496 (#393) AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.412 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.430 (#433) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More β†’ 916 (#403) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ CWRU L 33 - 81
2025-11-08 @ MSOE L 46 - 56
2025-11-11 vs Millikin L 68 - 71
2025-11-14 vs Elmhurst L 51 - 72
2025-11-15 @ Benedictine (IL) L 58 - 65
2025-11-22 @ UChicago L 54 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Manchester L 63 - 78
2025-12-10 vs Greenville W 75 - 50
2025-12-13 @ Anderson (IN) L 63 - 73
2025-12-17 @ Earlham W 76 - 56
2026-01-10 @ Transylvania L 48 - 76
2026-01-14 @ Hanover L 58 - 65
2026-01-17 vs Franklin L 67 - 79
2026-01-21 vs Manchester W 67 - 62
2026-01-23 @ Berea L 51 - 68
2026-01-28 @ Franklin L 67 - 74
2026-01-31 vs Transylvania L 44 - 62
2026-02-04 vs Hanover W 66 - 59
2026-02-07 vs Anderson (IN) W 79 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Katelyn Fennell - 19 33.5 13.8 5.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 2.8 11.5 9.0 -58 -2.9 -11.5 44.0 35.5 89.6 -0.71 54.8 50.2
Kaia Peterson - 19 26.1 9.9 3.4 1.3 1.2 0.4 2.3 8.1 5.8 -56 -2.8 -15.2 44.8 14.3 77.4 -1.59 52.1 45.8
Sophia Reese - 13 29.8 9.6 2.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 3.2 9.4 3.7 -4 -0.2 -1.0 39.3 28.1 80.0 2.34 47.0 43.0
Emma Schipp - 19 27.7 9.3 6.3 2.2 0.8 0.4 3.0 10.2 5.8 -6 -0.3 -1.4 37.3 21.7 65.1 -0.64 41.8 38.6
Julia Meyer - 19 17.4 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.5 5.9 2.2 23 1.3 11.9 34.5 26.2 71.4 -5.75 42.5 39.4
CK Gallegos Rodriguez - 14 19.9 5.0 4.4 1.5 1.1 0.7 1.4 4.4 6.8 -49 -3.1 -12.7 41.9 20.0 80.0 2.67 49.4 43.5
MarΓ­a Godoy Rodriguez - 19 22.7 3.7 3.5 2.3 2.6 0.9 2.0 4.8 6.2 -14 -0.7 -4.6 36.3 5.6 30.0 0.13 36.7 36.8
Reagan Lorenzen - 12 14.0 3.4 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.3 4.9 0.8 -19 -1.6 -14.5 28.8 9.1 100.0 -1.71 33.3 29.7
Anaya Hawkins - 19 14.9 3.4 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 4.5 2.9 -62 -3.1 -36.4 30.6 5.3 68.8 0.64 34.8 31.2
Columba Rodriguez - 7 4.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 21 2.6 62.1 45.5 66.7 50.0 1.32 54.7 54.5
Aubrey Barrett - 7 7.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.4 -0.3 -31 -4.4 -100.5 20.0 0.0 100.0 -2.31 27.6 20.0
Abigale Shearer - 13 4.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 -16 -1.1 -102.7 33.3 0 100.0 -0.07 63.0 33.3
Jamie Hunter - 9 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 -40 -3.6 -382.5 14.3 0.0 100.0 -1.19 25.4 14.3
Emilia Diaz - 12 7.3 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.4 -0.1 -38 -3.2 -2026.7 5.9 0.0 50.0 -0.33 8.4 5.9
Sierra Snowden - 1 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -8 -8.0 -51.3 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG