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Rose-Hulman

Also known as: Rose-Hulman
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1034 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1067 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1026 (#261) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.0 (#111) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -0.7 (#361) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.504 (#465) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.255 (#486) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.7 More → 0.314 (#441) AdjNet -6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.395 (#438) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.566 (#268) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.504 (#390) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#385) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1052 (#294) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ Wabash L 68 - 85
2025-11-15 @ Illinois Tech W 73 - 72
2025-11-21 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 73 - 84
2025-11-22 @ St. Scholastica W 64 - 53
2025-12-03 vs Manchester W 95 - 72
2025-12-06 vs Bluffton W 85 - 78
2025-12-09 vs WashU L 74 - 87
2025-12-13 @ Anderson (IN) W 70 - 69
2025-12-17 vs Earlham W 79 - 71
2025-12-20 vs DePauw L 66 - 78
2025-12-23 vs Olivet W 85 - 81
2026-01-03 vs Berea W 96 - 64
2026-01-07 @ Mt. St. Joseph L 58 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Transylvania L 63 - 65
2026-01-14 vs Hanover W 81 - 61
2026-01-17 @ Franklin W 74 - 48
2026-01-21 @ Manchester W 73 - 59
2026-01-23 @ Berea W 66 - 58
2026-01-28 vs Franklin L 63 - 64
2026-01-31 vs Transylvania L 48 - 61
2026-02-04 @ Hanover W 87 - 80
2026-02-07 vs Anderson (IN) L 70 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joey Schmitz - 22 29.8 13.8 2.9 1.7 1.7 0.0 1.9 11.3 6.9 -37 -1.7 -10.3 45.2 40.3 78.1 1.45 57.8 56.0
Cole Pride - 17 27.1 12.9 5.2 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.1 10.2 10.4 18 1.1 5.6 48.6 30.0 68.5 2.94 55.9 52.9
Daniel Savovic - 21 28.9 10.5 3.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.6 9.3 6.2 -31 -1.5 -8.9 43.6 27.1 87.5 -1.33 52.9 49.5
Evan Gentile - 22 23.9 10.3 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.0 0.9 8.8 6.8 -63 -3.0 -18.5 43.8 36.8 73.7 -1.29 55.8 54.6
Christian Torres - 21 20.8 9.0 7.1 1.4 0.5 0.5 1.3 6.3 11.0 - - - 54.9 20.0 56.5 - 58.2 56.8
Nate Smith - 21 23.6 6.7 2.4 3.2 1.9 0.1 1.7 5.3 7.3 -15 -0.8 -5.1 48.2 41.7 61.1 2.0 54.8 52.7
Jack Jenniges - 11 18.9 6.1 4.1 1.1 0.8 0.5 1.2 4.6 6.8 -12 -1.1 -5.5 54.9 42.9 44.4 -0.07 56.9 57.8
Will McElheney - 22 13.4 4.5 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.4 -53 -2.6 -42.3 55.0 10.0 62.0 -0.85 59.8 55.8
Kobe Stoudemire - 20 19.7 4.5 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 5.0 1.9 -68 -3.4 -34.6 31.3 25.0 73.3 -1.42 42.1 39.4
Jack Murphy - 18 12.0 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.5 2.4 -15 -0.7 -22.7 51.9 0 37.5 0.11 50.8 51.9
Jackson Kochalka - 7 4.1 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Kaden Rogowski - 8 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.8 -3 -0.5 -28.2 44.4 0.0 100.0 -0.22 50.6 44.4
BJ Wesley - 8 5.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 31 5.2 635.9 14.3 0.0 66.7 0.35 24.0 14.3
Sam Piontek - 7 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 53.2 100.0
Ashton Hazelwood - 5 2.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.6 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aston Sylvester - 3 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jack Toles - 4 2.9 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Philip Randolph - 3 5.6 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Benny Smith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26 1.3 9.4 0 0 0 0.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG