🐻⬇️🏀

Rollins

Also known as: Rollins
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 815 (#363) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 805 (#353) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.2 (#171) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.440 (#384) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.0 More → 0.321 (#266) NetEff -6.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.611 (#351) AdjNet +3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.619 (#350) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.573 (#338) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 61.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Lee L 62 - 67
2024-11-09 vs UAH L 54 - 55
2024-11-12 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 75 - 48
2024-11-18 vs P.R.-Mayaguez W 64 - 34
2024-11-21 vs Fort Lauderdale W 82 - 44
2024-11-23 vs Nova Southeastern L 47 - 49
2024-11-26 @ Florida Tech L 56 - 58
2024-11-30 vs Northwood W 77 - 72
2024-12-03 vs Warner W 75 - 46
2024-12-07 @ Barry L 73 - 82
2024-12-16 vs Webber Int'l W 93 - 50
2025-01-04 @ Tampa L 48 - 58
2025-01-08 vs Saint Leo W 78 - 62
2025-01-11 vs Lynn L 53 - 60
2025-01-15 @ Eckerd L 38 - 85
2025-01-18 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) L 46 - 58
2025-01-22 @ Fla. Southern L 69 - 76
2025-01-25 vs Barry L 71 - 75
2025-02-01 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 53 - 60
2025-02-05 vs Florida Tech L 67 - 71
2025-02-08 vs Tampa L 63 - 70
2025-02-12 @ Saint Leo W 75 - 61
2025-02-15 @ Lynn L 62 - 65
2025-02-19 vs Eckerd L 38 - 69
2025-02-22 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) L 73 - 75
2025-02-26 vs Fla. Southern W 75 - 58
2025-03-01 @ Nova Southeastern L 60 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlyn Sanders - 27 29.3 11.7 3.5 3.1 1.7 0.3 1.6 8.9 9.9 -1 -0.0 -0.0 46.9 43.8 76.1 0.44 60.7 58.5
Claire Erickson - 27 29.5 8.2 3.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 1.1 6.9 6.9 10 0.4 0.2 41.6 36.0 69.2 -0.3 53.4 50.3
Emily McIntosh - 24 19.9 6.9 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.8 6.2 5.0 28 1.0 1.6 41.2 38.8 50.0 0.21 54.1 54.1
Aaliyah Irizarry-Perez - 24 16.7 6.1 7.9 1.9 1.1 0.6 2.5 6.4 8.6 29 1.1 2.1 39.0 24.1 46.3 0.14 42.4 41.2
Faith Newton - 27 19.4 6.1 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.8 7.2 3.3 -67 -1.8 -2.9 31.8 22.4 69.2 -0.05 40.2 37.9
Ajalon Gillard - 23 21.2 5.6 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.4 5.7 3.9 27 1.0 1.5 36.2 36.5 55.0 0.21 46.1 45.0
Zai Mitchell - 27 15.6 4.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 1.9 5.0 2.7 -18 -0.6 -1.0 37.3 18.2 71.4 0.23 43.2 38.8
Maddie Dillinger - 27 11.6 4.6 3.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.3 4.3 3.4 17 0.7 1.7 38.5 0 70.2 0.29 44.7 38.5
Paris Triplett - 27 7.5 3.3 2.6 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 3.3 2.6 87 2.7 5.5 38.9 0.0 45.5 0.74 41.1 38.9
Anna Kimball - 25 8.5 3.1 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.2 2.0 -6 -0.3 -0.8 41.8 0 61.1 -0.3 44.3 41.8
Tara Murray - 26 9.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.8 1.4 -55 -1.6 -3.0 33.3 28.8 83.3 -0.12 48.8 43.8
Caroline Swartz - 26 6.0 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4 0.2 0.7 29.4 23.1 56.2 0.06 45.8 38.2
Emma Steidle - 25 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 12 1.1 4.6 41.7 50.0 0 -0.23 62.5 62.5
McKenna Murphy - 25 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 7 0.9 0.9 23.1 0.0 75.0 0.69 30.5 23.1
Aaliy Irizarry-perez - 1 22.0 0.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 9.0 29 1.1 2.1 0.0 0 0.0 0.14 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG