Rollins
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 806 (#509) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 822 (#491) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 864 (#640) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.1 (#274) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.9 (#498) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.440 (#384) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.231 (#354) | NetEff -9.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.004 (#465) | NetEff -48.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.611 (#351) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.619 (#350) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.573 (#338) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.304 (#610) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.285 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.284 (#544) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 867 (#407) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 79 - 37 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | W | 74 - 38 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lynn | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Thomas (GA) | W | 91 - 56 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 48 - 80 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Tampa | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Ave Maria | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Saint Leo | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Barry | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 33 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 40 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Lynn | L | 45 - 52 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Eckerd | L | 43 - 71 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 53 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 53 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Erickson | - | 18 | 33.5 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 7.8 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 39.0 | 37.0 | 68.2 | -0.6 | 52.4 | 49.4 |
| Zai Mitchell | - | 8 | 25.9 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.4 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 41.8 | 48.0 | 66.7 | - | 53.8 | 50.7 |
| Grace Craig | - | 20 | 28.8 | 9.7 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 8.9 | 10.4 | -43 | -1.9 | -10.7 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 52.9 | -0.09 | 47.9 | 46.4 |
| Faith Newton | - | 20 | 28.0 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 5.1 | -39 | -1.8 | -10.2 | 33.2 | 27.7 | 67.6 | 0.59 | 43.3 | 40.8 |
| Elaina Kline-Ruminski | - | 18 | 21.8 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 3.1 | -26 | -1.4 | -7.1 | 37.2 | 24.6 | 60.0 | 0.55 | 43.5 | 41.7 |
| Ellie Thompson | - | 9 | 24.1 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 31.4 | 32.1 | 50.0 | - | 44.6 | 43.6 |
| Victoria Escribano | - | 20 | 24.6 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 5.7 | -118 | -5.4 | -38.3 | 39.2 | 23.1 | 60.0 | -2.68 | 45.2 | 40.7 |
| Tara Murray | - | 16 | 17.1 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 28.0 | 25.4 | 64.3 | -0.13 | 40.7 | 38.0 |
| McKenna Murphy | - | 19 | 15.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.3 | -85 | -4.2 | -47.0 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 38.9 | 0.7 | 48.5 | 49.1 |
| Jordyn Egger | - | 16 | 12.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | -97 | -5.4 | -55.5 | 21.6 | 24.3 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 31.3 | 30.4 |
| Makayla Daube | - | 18 | 10.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.7 | -24 | -1.2 | -30.4 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.47 | 42.1 | 36.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG