Rollins
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 996 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1015 (#176) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.5 (#156) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.530 (#320) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.500 (#219) | NetEff +0.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.709 (#291) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#294) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.640 (#285) | AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 74.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 107 - 98 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Warner | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 94 - 109 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Beacon Col. | W | 114 - 60 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Barry | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Flagler | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | P.R.-Rio Piedras | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 92 - 66 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Tampa | L | 92 - 99 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Lynn | L | 85 - 97 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Eckerd | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 82 - 98 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Barry | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Tampa | W | 95 - 78 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lynn | L | 84 - 94 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Eckerd | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 87 - 90 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 79 - 93 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 69 - 90 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilis Butkus | - | 30 | 29.0 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 11.2 | 91 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 52.4 | 36.6 | 62.9 | 0.66 | 62.1 | 60.7 |
| Beau Frericks | - | 29 | 32.3 | 16.7 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 11.0 | 12.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 50.9 | 42.3 | 85.6 | 1.21 | 64.3 | 58.3 |
| Sergey Grishaev | - | 30 | 28.4 | 15.4 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 12.9 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 48.4 | 39.3 | 70.6 | 0.69 | 56.1 | 52.9 |
| John Latimer III | - | 28 | 26.9 | 13.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.8 | 32.2 | 87.0 | -0.15 | 57.8 | 52.0 |
| Ian Hart | - | 30 | 16.9 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 5.2 | -67 | -3.0 | -16.6 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 63.6 | 0.44 | 55.9 | 54.5 |
| Matus Malovec | - | 28 | 21.9 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 73 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 50.0 | 34.6 | 80.0 | 0.91 | 62.8 | 60.0 |
| Dylan Wolle | - | 29 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 85.7 | -0.11 | 62.6 | 61.0 |
| William Jobe | - | 30 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 3.4 | -84 | -3.8 | -75.5 | 48.6 | 40.7 | 64.3 | -0.23 | 57.6 | 56.2 |
| Michael Niemann | - | 27 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -5.3 | 41.8 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 55.6 | 55.2 |
| Michael Kalina | - | 27 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3.7 | -20 | -1.0 | -13.0 | 45.5 | 16.7 | 55.2 | -0.17 | 50.2 | 47.3 |
| Braxton Barnhizer | - | 27 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 20.8 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 31.1 | 29.2 |
| Cheo James | - | 11 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Caleb Samuel | - | 25 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 68.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.79 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Omar Figueroa | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marshall Klug | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jett Wells | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG