Rogers St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 992 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#134) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.1 (#187) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.379 (#412) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.251 (#291) | NetEff -8.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.612 (#348) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#340) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.569 (#343) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 59.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hafer | - | 28 | 25.5 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 8.4 | -23 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 44.2 | 35.7 | 68.2 | -0.23 | 48.7 | 46.3 |
| Cheyan Mcdaniel | - | 2 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | -63 | -1.7 | -2.8 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 66.7 | -0.95 | 63.8 | 62.5 |
| Kate Melton | - | 28 | 29.0 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 35.3 | 29.5 | 77.3 | -0.02 | 46.4 | 39.7 |
| Alyza Aikins | - | 28 | 28.2 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 40.9 | 24.7 | 55.6 | 0.35 | 48.2 | 46.7 |
| Destiny Jones | - | 28 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 36.2 | 20.0 | 72.3 | 0.08 | 47.1 | 36.6 |
| Bailey Layman | - | 22 | 16.5 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 17 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 39.1 | 30.4 | 71.4 | 0.4 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Jaiana Wiggins | - | 28 | 23.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 44.1 | 20.0 | 38.9 | 0.48 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Michelle Arens | - | 28 | 9.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -12 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| Isabella Stafford | - | 13 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | -20 | -2.5 | -5.8 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -0.37 | 24.3 | 24.1 |
| Payton Conner | - | 27 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | -17 | -1.3 | -5.0 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -0.17 | 38.4 | 34.6 |
| Cayden Mershon | - | 28 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.2 | 21.4 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 40.8 | 35.4 |
| Addison Mootry | - | 28 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -12 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.04 | 41.2 | 35.7 |
| Emma kay Martin | - | 2 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -37 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Ataya Casaus | - | 14 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Chloe Martin | - | 21 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 182 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.73 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kyra Allison | - | 19 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG