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Rogers St.

Also known as: Rogers St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 869 (#471) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 926 (#397) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 964 (#536) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.2 (#209) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +4.4 (#292) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.379 (#412) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.3 More → 0.247 (#349) NetEff -8.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.612 (#348) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.3 More → 0.652 (#340) AdjNet +5.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 59.4 More → 0.569 (#343) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 59.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.488 (#396) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 60.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.510 (#344) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.508 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 972 (#278) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Southwestern Okla. L 49 - 65
2025-11-15 vs Okla. Baptist L 45 - 82
2025-11-18 @ East Central L 40 - 52
2025-11-21 vs Ozark Christian W 83 - 36
2025-11-24 @ Regis (CO) W 68 - 48
2025-11-25 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 73 - 79
2025-11-29 vs Henderson St. L 59 - 75
2025-12-04 @ Mo. Southern St. L 67 - 84
2025-12-06 @ Pittsburg St. L 51 - 73
2025-12-11 vs Central Okla. W 66 - 63
2025-12-13 vs Haskell L 69 - 77
2025-12-20 vs Okla. Christian W 70 - 66
2026-01-01 @ Newman W 62 - 53
2026-01-10 vs Northeastern St. L 44 - 86
2026-01-14 vs Pittsburg St. L 57 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Mo. Southern St. L 62 - 66
2026-01-22 @ Fort Hays St. L 46 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Neb.-Kearney W 83 - 75
2026-01-29 vs Emporia St. W 70 - 57
2026-01-31 vs Newman W 65 - 58
2026-02-05 @ Missouri Western L 52 - 67
2026-02-07 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 55 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jillian Aschoff - 1 37.0 17.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.0 16.0 52 2.7 7.5 40.0 0.0 71.4 -3.27 47.0 40.0
Tara Biocanin - 1 22.0 14.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 12.0 107 5.1 19.2 75.0 0 40.0 4.28 68.6 75.0
Myleigh Weers - 1 32.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 2.0 106 5.3 15.0 26.7 28.6 75.0 0.34 38.8 33.3
Jordan Sears - 1 26.0 11.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 7.0 57 2.6 9.3 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.24 42.7 37.5
Samantha Shanks - 21 27.2 9.1 6.2 2.6 1.5 0.2 1.9 8.3 9.5 32 1.5 5.3 40.2 23.9 61.2 1.84 48.8 46.3
Ataya Casaus - 21 28.8 8.7 2.8 2.4 0.9 0.4 1.6 9.6 4.0 -84 -4.0 -14.6 32.3 22.3 88.6 -1.88 42.1 37.6
Gosia Byczkowska - 1 27.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 44.4 44.4
Ella Hafer - 18 18.1 7.8 3.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 7.8 4.1 2 0.1 0.7 42.9 27.3 66.7 -2.0 46.4 43.9
Bailey Layman - 21 20.8 7.4 2.4 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.9 6.1 4.1 7 0.3 1.9 34.4 29.9 85.7 0.18 52.2 44.5
Emma Rowan - 1 29.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 62 3.3 26.5 33.3 33.3 100.0 1.24 50.9 41.7
Kate Melton - 21 29.7 6.5 3.6 3.6 1.0 0.2 1.9 7.1 5.9 -65 -3.1 -10.4 30.9 25.9 74.4 -1.76 40.9 35.9
Cheyan McDaniel - 21 15.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 4.9 3.9 -35 -1.7 -10.1 36.3 34.7 68.4 1.67 47.1 44.6
Paige Horne - 1 9.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 32 1.8 16.0 66.7 0 25.0 0.44 52.5 66.7
Destiny Jones - 20 13.0 4.8 2.1 0.4 1.2 0.1 1.3 4.8 2.5 -26 -1.3 -9.2 38.1 0.0 69.7 0.51 43.5 38.1
Jaiana Wiggins - 21 20.5 4.5 3.3 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 5.3 4.2 -27 -1.3 -6.5 37.8 0.0 32.3 -0.5 37.7 37.8
Addison Mootry - 5 8.9 3.2 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 4.0 2.4 3 0.6 12.5 30.0 15.4 40.0 0.5 36.0 35.0
Michelle Arens - 21 13.1 3.1 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.0 22 1.0 9.4 51.7 0.0 33.3 2.0 50.6 51.7
Marcela Pinedo - 17 10.4 2.9 2.6 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.4 3.1 2.4 -53 -3.3 -20.2 34.6 46.2 87.5 -2.68 44.1 40.4
Bailey Braxton - 8 7.4 1.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.1 16 2.0 25.9 33.3 0.0 0 0.27 33.3 33.3
Kyra Allison - 5 6.0 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.2 -7 -1.8 -50.0 37.5 33.3 0 0.1 43.8 43.8
Isabella Stafford - 5 6.8 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 -0.4 -18 -3.6 -143.5 8.3 0.0 0 -0.23 8.3 8.3
Brinly Christensen - 1 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 -3 -0.3 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.72 0.0 0.0
Kenzie Macklin - 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG