Rogers St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 869 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 926 (#397) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 964 (#536) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#209) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.4 (#292) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.379 (#412) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.247 (#349) | NetEff -8.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.612 (#348) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#340) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.569 (#343) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.488 (#396) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.510 (#344) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.508 (#345) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 972 (#278) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 45 - 82 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | East Central | L | 40 - 52 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Ozark Christian | W | 83 - 36 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Henderson St. | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 67 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Haskell | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Okla. Christian | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Newman | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Northeastern St. | L | 44 - 86 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Newman | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 55 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 1 | 37.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -3.27 | 47.0 | 40.0 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 75.0 | 0 | 40.0 | 4.28 | 68.6 | 75.0 |
| Myleigh Weers | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 26.7 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 0.34 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Samantha Shanks | - | 21 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 32 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 40.2 | 23.9 | 61.2 | 1.84 | 48.8 | 46.3 |
| Ataya Casaus | - | 21 | 28.8 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 4.0 | -84 | -4.0 | -14.6 | 32.3 | 22.3 | 88.6 | -1.88 | 42.1 | 37.6 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Ella Hafer | - | 18 | 18.1 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 42.9 | 27.3 | 66.7 | -2.0 | 46.4 | 43.9 |
| Bailey Layman | - | 21 | 20.8 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 34.4 | 29.9 | 85.7 | 0.18 | 52.2 | 44.5 |
| Emma Rowan | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 62 | 3.3 | 26.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.24 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Kate Melton | - | 21 | 29.7 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | -65 | -3.1 | -10.4 | 30.9 | 25.9 | 74.4 | -1.76 | 40.9 | 35.9 |
| Cheyan McDaniel | - | 21 | 15.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 3.9 | -35 | -1.7 | -10.1 | 36.3 | 34.7 | 68.4 | 1.67 | 47.1 | 44.6 |
| Paige Horne | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.44 | 52.5 | 66.7 |
| Destiny Jones | - | 20 | 13.0 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 2.5 | -26 | -1.3 | -9.2 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 69.7 | 0.51 | 43.5 | 38.1 |
| Jaiana Wiggins | - | 21 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | -27 | -1.3 | -6.5 | 37.8 | 0.0 | 32.3 | -0.5 | 37.7 | 37.8 |
| Addison Mootry | - | 5 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 12.5 | 30.0 | 15.4 | 40.0 | 0.5 | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| Michelle Arens | - | 21 | 13.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 51.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 2.0 | 50.6 | 51.7 |
| Marcela Pinedo | - | 17 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | -53 | -3.3 | -20.2 | 34.6 | 46.2 | 87.5 | -2.68 | 44.1 | 40.4 |
| Bailey Braxton | - | 8 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 16 | 2.0 | 25.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kyra Allison | - | 5 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -7 | -1.8 | -50.0 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.1 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Isabella Stafford | - | 5 | 6.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | -0.4 | -18 | -3.6 | -143.5 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Brinly Christensen | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kenzie Macklin | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG