Rogers St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1047 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1060 (#115) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.5 (#39) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.2 (#80) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.705 (#212) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#1) | NetEff +101.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.902 (#136) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.891 (#149) | AdjNet +18.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.776 (#143) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.745 (#41) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.806 (#63) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.800 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1147 (#78) | RD 92 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ouachita Baptist | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Harding | W | 88 - 61 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Southern Ark. | W | 96 - 88 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Southern Nazarene | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Haskell | W | 110 - 66 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | DBU | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 87 - 59 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Newman | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Northeastern St. | L | 87 - 96 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pittsburg St. | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 86 - 48 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Newman | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 77 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | - | 16 | 29.1 | 14.0 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 10.6 | -16 | -0.9 | -7.4 | 53.3 | 31.4 | 61.4 | -0.36 | 59.4 | 56.9 |
| Tim Jordan Jr. | - | 22 | 25.8 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 106 | 4.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 86.7 | 4.15 | 61.1 | 55.0 |
| Caden Fry | - | 23 | 29.1 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 10.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 50.8 | 28.6 | 69.9 | 0.42 | 58.2 | 54.1 |
| Jabryn Anderson | - | 22 | 33.4 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 12.5 | 69 | 3.0 | 12.7 | 46.2 | 24.3 | 69.8 | -0.65 | 53.9 | 48.6 |
| Benard Omooria | - | 21 | 30.4 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 61 | 2.9 | 13.8 | 39.0 | 39.4 | 88.0 | 2.04 | 57.0 | 54.4 |
| Damondre McKnight | - | 22 | 22.8 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 7.5 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 45.4 | 32.0 | 71.1 | 3.25 | 56.0 | 53.3 |
| Stephon Thomas | - | 23 | 17.8 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 68 | 3.1 | 20.4 | 51.9 | 27.3 | 77.1 | 2.02 | 60.0 | 54.6 |
| Angus Ole | - | 23 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 4.2 | -27 | -1.2 | -12.5 | 55.7 | 30.4 | 63.2 | -0.1 | 62.7 | 61.5 |
| Bromo Dorn | - | 7 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | -19 | -3.2 | -54.2 | 72.7 | 75.0 | 50.0 | -1.35 | 82.3 | 86.4 |
| Aydan Perdue | - | 13 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -6 | -0.5 | -8.6 | 54.2 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.44 | 64.9 | 62.5 |
| Jackson Welch | - | 9 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | -3 | -0.4 | -15.0 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 1.05 | 79.9 | 78.6 |
| Marlo Fox | - | 10 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | -16 | -1.6 | -58.7 | 28.6 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 40.0 | 28.6 |
| Kaleb Bickel | - | 9 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3 | 0.4 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.05 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG